A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.

The number of travel-acquired dengue infections has seen a consistent global rise over the past decade. An increased volume of international passenger air traffic originating from regions with endemic dengue has contributed to a rise in the number of dengue cases in both areas of endemicity and else...

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Autores principales: Lauren Gardner, Sahotra Sarkar
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/1aeeef56b51d4f6ab9eb7a46a8cfeaa7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:1aeeef56b51d4f6ab9eb7a46a8cfeaa72021-11-18T08:57:46ZA global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0072129https://doaj.org/article/1aeeef56b51d4f6ab9eb7a46a8cfeaa72013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24009672/pdf/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203The number of travel-acquired dengue infections has seen a consistent global rise over the past decade. An increased volume of international passenger air traffic originating from regions with endemic dengue has contributed to a rise in the number of dengue cases in both areas of endemicity and elsewhere. This paper reports results from a network-based risk assessment model which uses international passenger travel volumes, travel routes, travel distances, regional populations, and predictive species distribution models (for the two vector species, Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus) to quantify the relative risk posed by each airport in importing passengers with travel-acquired dengue infections. Two risk attributes are evaluated: (i) the risk posed by through traffic at each stopover airport and (ii) the risk posed by incoming travelers to each destination airport. The model results prioritize optimal locations (i.e., airports) for targeted dengue surveillance. The model is easily extendible to other vector-borne diseases.Lauren GardnerSahotra SarkarPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 8, p e72129 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Lauren Gardner
Sahotra Sarkar
A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
description The number of travel-acquired dengue infections has seen a consistent global rise over the past decade. An increased volume of international passenger air traffic originating from regions with endemic dengue has contributed to a rise in the number of dengue cases in both areas of endemicity and elsewhere. This paper reports results from a network-based risk assessment model which uses international passenger travel volumes, travel routes, travel distances, regional populations, and predictive species distribution models (for the two vector species, Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus) to quantify the relative risk posed by each airport in importing passengers with travel-acquired dengue infections. Two risk attributes are evaluated: (i) the risk posed by through traffic at each stopover airport and (ii) the risk posed by incoming travelers to each destination airport. The model results prioritize optimal locations (i.e., airports) for targeted dengue surveillance. The model is easily extendible to other vector-borne diseases.
format article
author Lauren Gardner
Sahotra Sarkar
author_facet Lauren Gardner
Sahotra Sarkar
author_sort Lauren Gardner
title A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
title_short A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
title_full A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
title_fullStr A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
title_full_unstemmed A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
title_sort global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/1aeeef56b51d4f6ab9eb7a46a8cfeaa7
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AT laurengardner globalairportbasedriskmodelforthespreadofdengueinfectionviatheairtransportnetwork
AT sahotrasarkar globalairportbasedriskmodelforthespreadofdengueinfectionviatheairtransportnetwork
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