Alternative Definitions of Complexity for Practical Applications of Model Selection Criteria
Defining and quantifying complexity is one of the major challenges of modern science and contemporary societies. This task is particularly critical for model selection, which is aimed at properly identifying the most adequate equations to interpret the available data. The traditional solution of equ...
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2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:1bcb2024796e423b9c083749a3448a0f2021-11-15T01:20:01ZAlternative Definitions of Complexity for Practical Applications of Model Selection Criteria1099-052610.1155/2021/8887171https://doaj.org/article/1bcb2024796e423b9c083749a3448a0f2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8887171https://doaj.org/toc/1099-0526Defining and quantifying complexity is one of the major challenges of modern science and contemporary societies. This task is particularly critical for model selection, which is aimed at properly identifying the most adequate equations to interpret the available data. The traditional solution of equating the complexity of the models to the number of their parameters is clearly unsatisfactory. Three alternative approaches are proposed in this work. The first one estimates the flexibility of the proposed models to quantify their potential to overfit. The second interprets complexity as lack of stability and is implemented by computing the variations in the predictions due to uncertainties in their parameters. The third alternative is focused on assessing the consistency of extrapolation of the candidate models. All the upgrades are easy to implement and typically outperform the traditional versions of model selection criteria and constitute a good set of alternatives to be deployed, depending on the priorities of the investigators and the characteristics of the application.Murari AndreaRiccardo RossiTeddy CraciunescuHindawi-WileyarticleElectronic computers. Computer scienceQA75.5-76.95ENComplexity, Vol 2021 (2021) |
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Electronic computers. Computer science QA75.5-76.95 Murari Andrea Riccardo Rossi Teddy Craciunescu Alternative Definitions of Complexity for Practical Applications of Model Selection Criteria |
description |
Defining and quantifying complexity is one of the major challenges of modern science and contemporary societies. This task is particularly critical for model selection, which is aimed at properly identifying the most adequate equations to interpret the available data. The traditional solution of equating the complexity of the models to the number of their parameters is clearly unsatisfactory. Three alternative approaches are proposed in this work. The first one estimates the flexibility of the proposed models to quantify their potential to overfit. The second interprets complexity as lack of stability and is implemented by computing the variations in the predictions due to uncertainties in their parameters. The third alternative is focused on assessing the consistency of extrapolation of the candidate models. All the upgrades are easy to implement and typically outperform the traditional versions of model selection criteria and constitute a good set of alternatives to be deployed, depending on the priorities of the investigators and the characteristics of the application. |
format |
article |
author |
Murari Andrea Riccardo Rossi Teddy Craciunescu |
author_facet |
Murari Andrea Riccardo Rossi Teddy Craciunescu |
author_sort |
Murari Andrea |
title |
Alternative Definitions of Complexity for Practical Applications of Model Selection Criteria |
title_short |
Alternative Definitions of Complexity for Practical Applications of Model Selection Criteria |
title_full |
Alternative Definitions of Complexity for Practical Applications of Model Selection Criteria |
title_fullStr |
Alternative Definitions of Complexity for Practical Applications of Model Selection Criteria |
title_full_unstemmed |
Alternative Definitions of Complexity for Practical Applications of Model Selection Criteria |
title_sort |
alternative definitions of complexity for practical applications of model selection criteria |
publisher |
Hindawi-Wiley |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/1bcb2024796e423b9c083749a3448a0f |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT murariandrea alternativedefinitionsofcomplexityforpracticalapplicationsofmodelselectioncriteria AT riccardorossi alternativedefinitionsofcomplexityforpracticalapplicationsofmodelselectioncriteria AT teddycraciunescu alternativedefinitionsofcomplexityforpracticalapplicationsofmodelselectioncriteria |
_version_ |
1718428910130036736 |