Investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries

Abstract In this paper, we measure the effect of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic wave at the national and subnational levels in selected Latin American countries that were most affected: Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Guatemala, Mexico, and Peru. We used publicly available monthly mortality data to measure the...

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Autores principales: Everton E. C. Lima, Estevão A. Vilela, Andrés Peralta, Marília Rocha, Bernardo L. Queiroz, Marcos R. Gonzaga, Mario Piscoya-Díaz, Kevin Martinez-Folgar, Víctor M. García-Guerrero, Flávio H. M. A. Freire
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Publicado: SpringerOpen 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/1d7540623e7e4a40ac0fbcf43afca3de
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:1d7540623e7e4a40ac0fbcf43afca3de2021-11-07T12:15:53ZInvestigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries10.1186/s41118-021-00139-12035-5556https://doaj.org/article/1d7540623e7e4a40ac0fbcf43afca3de2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-021-00139-1https://doaj.org/toc/2035-5556Abstract In this paper, we measure the effect of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic wave at the national and subnational levels in selected Latin American countries that were most affected: Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Guatemala, Mexico, and Peru. We used publicly available monthly mortality data to measure the impacts of the pandemic using excess mortality for each country and its regions. We compare the mortality, at national and regional levels, in 2020 to the mortality levels of recent trends and provide estimates of the impact of mortality on life expectancy at birth. Our findings indicate that from April 2020 on, mortality exceeded its usual monthly levels in multiple areas of each country. In Mexico and Peru, excess mortality was spreading through many areas by the end of the second half of 2020. To a lesser extent, we observed a similar pattern in Brazil, Chile, and Ecuador. We also found that as the pandemic progressed, excess mortality became more visible in areas with poorer socioeconomic and sanitary conditions. This excess mortality has reduced life expectancy across these countries by 2–10 years. Despite the lack of reliable information on COVID-19 mortality, excess mortality is a useful indicator for measuring the effects of the coronavirus pandemic, especially in the context of Latin American countries, where there is still a lack of good information on causes of death in their vital registration systems.Everton E. C. LimaEstevão A. VilelaAndrés PeraltaMarília RochaBernardo L. QueirozMarcos R. GonzagaMario Piscoya-DíazKevin Martinez-FolgarVíctor M. García-GuerreroFlávio H. M. A. FreireSpringerOpenarticleCOVID-19PandemicExcess mortalityLatin AmericaSubnational areasDemography. Population. Vital eventsHB848-3697ENGenus, Vol 77, Iss 1, Pp 1-20 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic COVID-19
Pandemic
Excess mortality
Latin America
Subnational areas
Demography. Population. Vital events
HB848-3697
spellingShingle COVID-19
Pandemic
Excess mortality
Latin America
Subnational areas
Demography. Population. Vital events
HB848-3697
Everton E. C. Lima
Estevão A. Vilela
Andrés Peralta
Marília Rocha
Bernardo L. Queiroz
Marcos R. Gonzaga
Mario Piscoya-Díaz
Kevin Martinez-Folgar
Víctor M. García-Guerrero
Flávio H. M. A. Freire
Investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries
description Abstract In this paper, we measure the effect of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic wave at the national and subnational levels in selected Latin American countries that were most affected: Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Guatemala, Mexico, and Peru. We used publicly available monthly mortality data to measure the impacts of the pandemic using excess mortality for each country and its regions. We compare the mortality, at national and regional levels, in 2020 to the mortality levels of recent trends and provide estimates of the impact of mortality on life expectancy at birth. Our findings indicate that from April 2020 on, mortality exceeded its usual monthly levels in multiple areas of each country. In Mexico and Peru, excess mortality was spreading through many areas by the end of the second half of 2020. To a lesser extent, we observed a similar pattern in Brazil, Chile, and Ecuador. We also found that as the pandemic progressed, excess mortality became more visible in areas with poorer socioeconomic and sanitary conditions. This excess mortality has reduced life expectancy across these countries by 2–10 years. Despite the lack of reliable information on COVID-19 mortality, excess mortality is a useful indicator for measuring the effects of the coronavirus pandemic, especially in the context of Latin American countries, where there is still a lack of good information on causes of death in their vital registration systems.
format article
author Everton E. C. Lima
Estevão A. Vilela
Andrés Peralta
Marília Rocha
Bernardo L. Queiroz
Marcos R. Gonzaga
Mario Piscoya-Díaz
Kevin Martinez-Folgar
Víctor M. García-Guerrero
Flávio H. M. A. Freire
author_facet Everton E. C. Lima
Estevão A. Vilela
Andrés Peralta
Marília Rocha
Bernardo L. Queiroz
Marcos R. Gonzaga
Mario Piscoya-Díaz
Kevin Martinez-Folgar
Víctor M. García-Guerrero
Flávio H. M. A. Freire
author_sort Everton E. C. Lima
title Investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries
title_short Investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries
title_full Investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries
title_fullStr Investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries
title_full_unstemmed Investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries
title_sort investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 covid-19 pandemic in selected latin american countries
publisher SpringerOpen
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/1d7540623e7e4a40ac0fbcf43afca3de
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