Rainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central Morocco

Here, we investigate the precipitation regionalization and the spatial variability of rainfall extremes, using a 47-year long station-based dataset from western central Morocco, a region with marked topographic and climatic variations. The principal component analysis revealed three homogeneous rain...

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Autores principales: Abdelhafid El Alaoui El Fels, Mohamed El Mehdi Saidi, Assma Bouiji, Mounia Benrhanem
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/1da44d2e334c4a4e810f7f90b6346584
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:1da44d2e334c4a4e810f7f90b63465842021-11-05T18:52:14ZRainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central Morocco2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2020.217https://doaj.org/article/1da44d2e334c4a4e810f7f90b63465842021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/4/1107https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354Here, we investigate the precipitation regionalization and the spatial variability of rainfall extremes, using a 47-year long station-based dataset from western central Morocco, a region with marked topographic and climatic variations. The principal component analysis revealed three homogeneous rainfall regimes, consistent with topographic features: the coastal area receives heavy rainfall during autumns and winters, whereas the inner lowlands, in the middle of the study area, are characterized by an overall rainfall deficit regardless of their high water demand for irrigation, and the highest rainfall amounts take place in the mid-mountain area, including the summer seasons. Furthermore, the frequency analysis of daily rainfall extremes revealed high ten-year precipitation amounts in the coastal region (about 88 mm) and exceptional daily precipitation for longer return periods (182 mm for a 100-year period). Using artificial neural networks, the spatialization of these extreme precipitation events shows that they increase from the plain to the Atlas mountains and especially from the plain to the Atlantic Ocean. The spatial distribution of extreme precipitation highlights the areas where stormwater management needs to be improved, such as efficient stormwater drainage, and where floods are more likely to take place in the future.Abdelhafid El Alaoui El FelsMohamed El Mehdi SaidiAssma BouijiMounia BenrhanemIWA Publishingarticleartificial neural networksmoroccoprecipitation extremesprincipal components analysisrainfall regionalizationrainfall variabilityEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 4, Pp 1107-1122 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic artificial neural networks
morocco
precipitation extremes
principal components analysis
rainfall regionalization
rainfall variability
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle artificial neural networks
morocco
precipitation extremes
principal components analysis
rainfall regionalization
rainfall variability
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Abdelhafid El Alaoui El Fels
Mohamed El Mehdi Saidi
Assma Bouiji
Mounia Benrhanem
Rainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central Morocco
description Here, we investigate the precipitation regionalization and the spatial variability of rainfall extremes, using a 47-year long station-based dataset from western central Morocco, a region with marked topographic and climatic variations. The principal component analysis revealed three homogeneous rainfall regimes, consistent with topographic features: the coastal area receives heavy rainfall during autumns and winters, whereas the inner lowlands, in the middle of the study area, are characterized by an overall rainfall deficit regardless of their high water demand for irrigation, and the highest rainfall amounts take place in the mid-mountain area, including the summer seasons. Furthermore, the frequency analysis of daily rainfall extremes revealed high ten-year precipitation amounts in the coastal region (about 88 mm) and exceptional daily precipitation for longer return periods (182 mm for a 100-year period). Using artificial neural networks, the spatialization of these extreme precipitation events shows that they increase from the plain to the Atlas mountains and especially from the plain to the Atlantic Ocean. The spatial distribution of extreme precipitation highlights the areas where stormwater management needs to be improved, such as efficient stormwater drainage, and where floods are more likely to take place in the future.
format article
author Abdelhafid El Alaoui El Fels
Mohamed El Mehdi Saidi
Assma Bouiji
Mounia Benrhanem
author_facet Abdelhafid El Alaoui El Fels
Mohamed El Mehdi Saidi
Assma Bouiji
Mounia Benrhanem
author_sort Abdelhafid El Alaoui El Fels
title Rainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central Morocco
title_short Rainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central Morocco
title_full Rainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central Morocco
title_fullStr Rainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central Morocco
title_full_unstemmed Rainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central Morocco
title_sort rainfall regionalization and variability of extreme precipitation using artificial neural networks: a case study from western central morocco
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/1da44d2e334c4a4e810f7f90b6346584
work_keys_str_mv AT abdelhafidelalaouielfels rainfallregionalizationandvariabilityofextremeprecipitationusingartificialneuralnetworksacasestudyfromwesterncentralmorocco
AT mohamedelmehdisaidi rainfallregionalizationandvariabilityofextremeprecipitationusingartificialneuralnetworksacasestudyfromwesterncentralmorocco
AT assmabouiji rainfallregionalizationandvariabilityofextremeprecipitationusingartificialneuralnetworksacasestudyfromwesterncentralmorocco
AT mouniabenrhanem rainfallregionalizationandvariabilityofextremeprecipitationusingartificialneuralnetworksacasestudyfromwesterncentralmorocco
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