Improving Spatiotemporal Breast Cancer Assessment and Prediction in Hangzhou City, China
Abstract Breast cancer (BC) is the main cause of death of female cancer patients in China. Mainstream mapping techniques, like spatiotemporal ordinary kriging (STOK), generate disease incidence maps that improve our understanding of disease distribution. Yet, the implementation of these techniques e...
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Nature Portfolio
2017
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oai:doaj.org-article:1df1b5f7c72c49b89f998747ac9679112021-12-02T12:32:00ZImproving Spatiotemporal Breast Cancer Assessment and Prediction in Hangzhou City, China10.1038/s41598-017-03524-z2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/1df1b5f7c72c49b89f998747ac9679112017-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-03524-zhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Breast cancer (BC) is the main cause of death of female cancer patients in China. Mainstream mapping techniques, like spatiotemporal ordinary kriging (STOK), generate disease incidence maps that improve our understanding of disease distribution. Yet, the implementation of these techniques experiences substantive and technical complications (due mainly to the different characteristics of space and time). A new spatiotemporal projection (STP) technique that is free of the above complications was implemented to model the space-time distribution of BC incidence in Hangzhou city and to estimate incidence values at locations-times for which no BC data exist. For comparison, both the STP and the STOK techniques were used to generate BC incidence maps in Hangzhou. STP performed considerably better than STOK in terms of generating more accurate incidence maps showing a closer similarity to the observed incidence distribution, and providing an improved assessment of the space-time BC correlation structure. In sum, the inter-connections between space, time, BC incidence and spread velocity established by STP allow a more realistic representation of the actual incidence distribution, and generate incidence maps that are more accurate and more informative, at a lower computational cost and involving fewer approximations than the incidence maps produced by mainstream space-time techniques.Zhaohan LouXufeng FeiGeorge ChristakosJianbo YanJiaping WuNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2017) |
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Medicine R Science Q Zhaohan Lou Xufeng Fei George Christakos Jianbo Yan Jiaping Wu Improving Spatiotemporal Breast Cancer Assessment and Prediction in Hangzhou City, China |
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Abstract Breast cancer (BC) is the main cause of death of female cancer patients in China. Mainstream mapping techniques, like spatiotemporal ordinary kriging (STOK), generate disease incidence maps that improve our understanding of disease distribution. Yet, the implementation of these techniques experiences substantive and technical complications (due mainly to the different characteristics of space and time). A new spatiotemporal projection (STP) technique that is free of the above complications was implemented to model the space-time distribution of BC incidence in Hangzhou city and to estimate incidence values at locations-times for which no BC data exist. For comparison, both the STP and the STOK techniques were used to generate BC incidence maps in Hangzhou. STP performed considerably better than STOK in terms of generating more accurate incidence maps showing a closer similarity to the observed incidence distribution, and providing an improved assessment of the space-time BC correlation structure. In sum, the inter-connections between space, time, BC incidence and spread velocity established by STP allow a more realistic representation of the actual incidence distribution, and generate incidence maps that are more accurate and more informative, at a lower computational cost and involving fewer approximations than the incidence maps produced by mainstream space-time techniques. |
format |
article |
author |
Zhaohan Lou Xufeng Fei George Christakos Jianbo Yan Jiaping Wu |
author_facet |
Zhaohan Lou Xufeng Fei George Christakos Jianbo Yan Jiaping Wu |
author_sort |
Zhaohan Lou |
title |
Improving Spatiotemporal Breast Cancer Assessment and Prediction in Hangzhou City, China |
title_short |
Improving Spatiotemporal Breast Cancer Assessment and Prediction in Hangzhou City, China |
title_full |
Improving Spatiotemporal Breast Cancer Assessment and Prediction in Hangzhou City, China |
title_fullStr |
Improving Spatiotemporal Breast Cancer Assessment and Prediction in Hangzhou City, China |
title_full_unstemmed |
Improving Spatiotemporal Breast Cancer Assessment and Prediction in Hangzhou City, China |
title_sort |
improving spatiotemporal breast cancer assessment and prediction in hangzhou city, china |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/1df1b5f7c72c49b89f998747ac967911 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT zhaohanlou improvingspatiotemporalbreastcancerassessmentandpredictioninhangzhoucitychina AT xufengfei improvingspatiotemporalbreastcancerassessmentandpredictioninhangzhoucitychina AT georgechristakos improvingspatiotemporalbreastcancerassessmentandpredictioninhangzhoucitychina AT jianboyan improvingspatiotemporalbreastcancerassessmentandpredictioninhangzhoucitychina AT jiapingwu improvingspatiotemporalbreastcancerassessmentandpredictioninhangzhoucitychina |
_version_ |
1718394204360540160 |