Hot money: Illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world

Summary: Major infrastructure financiers will have to significantly decarbonize their investments to meet mounting promises to cut carbon emissions to “net-zero” by mid-century. We provide new details about those needed shifts. Using two World Bank databases of infrastructure projects throughout the...

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Autores principales: Jeffrey Ball, Angela Ortega Pastor, David Liou, Emily Dickey
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Elsevier 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/1f48d53bc9bb4bbf86aa30d47abeaea4
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:1f48d53bc9bb4bbf86aa30d47abeaea42021-11-20T05:10:37ZHot money: Illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world2589-004210.1016/j.isci.2021.103358https://doaj.org/article/1f48d53bc9bb4bbf86aa30d47abeaea42021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004221013274https://doaj.org/toc/2589-0042Summary: Major infrastructure financiers will have to significantly decarbonize their investments to meet mounting promises to cut carbon emissions to “net-zero” by mid-century. We provide new details about those needed shifts. Using two World Bank databases of infrastructure projects throughout the developing world, and applying a methodology for imputing the projects' likely future carbon output, we assess the emissions profile of power-plant projects executed from 2018 through 2020 — the three years immediately preceding the spate of net-zero pledges. We find that approximately half the generation executed in those years is too carbon-intensive to align with keeping Earth's average temperature from exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, largely because of the prevalence of new natural-gas–fired power plants. We also find new evidence of host countries' agency in shaping carbon trajectories: Much of the climate-misaligned financing is not foreign but domestic. And we find different institutions are financing infrastructure portfolios with significantly differing carbon intensities.Jeffrey BallAngela Ortega PastorDavid LiouEmily DickeyElsevierarticleEnergy policyEnergy sustainabilityEconomicsScienceQENiScience, Vol 24, Iss 11, Pp 103358- (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Energy policy
Energy sustainability
Economics
Science
Q
spellingShingle Energy policy
Energy sustainability
Economics
Science
Q
Jeffrey Ball
Angela Ortega Pastor
David Liou
Emily Dickey
Hot money: Illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world
description Summary: Major infrastructure financiers will have to significantly decarbonize their investments to meet mounting promises to cut carbon emissions to “net-zero” by mid-century. We provide new details about those needed shifts. Using two World Bank databases of infrastructure projects throughout the developing world, and applying a methodology for imputing the projects' likely future carbon output, we assess the emissions profile of power-plant projects executed from 2018 through 2020 — the three years immediately preceding the spate of net-zero pledges. We find that approximately half the generation executed in those years is too carbon-intensive to align with keeping Earth's average temperature from exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, largely because of the prevalence of new natural-gas–fired power plants. We also find new evidence of host countries' agency in shaping carbon trajectories: Much of the climate-misaligned financing is not foreign but domestic. And we find different institutions are financing infrastructure portfolios with significantly differing carbon intensities.
format article
author Jeffrey Ball
Angela Ortega Pastor
David Liou
Emily Dickey
author_facet Jeffrey Ball
Angela Ortega Pastor
David Liou
Emily Dickey
author_sort Jeffrey Ball
title Hot money: Illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world
title_short Hot money: Illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world
title_full Hot money: Illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world
title_fullStr Hot money: Illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world
title_full_unstemmed Hot money: Illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world
title_sort hot money: illuminating the financing of high-carbon infrastructure in the developing world
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/1f48d53bc9bb4bbf86aa30d47abeaea4
work_keys_str_mv AT jeffreyball hotmoneyilluminatingthefinancingofhighcarboninfrastructureinthedevelopingworld
AT angelaortegapastor hotmoneyilluminatingthefinancingofhighcarboninfrastructureinthedevelopingworld
AT davidliou hotmoneyilluminatingthefinancingofhighcarboninfrastructureinthedevelopingworld
AT emilydickey hotmoneyilluminatingthefinancingofhighcarboninfrastructureinthedevelopingworld
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