What Drives Long Term Real Interest Rates in Brazil?
This paper investigates the drivers of long term real interest rates in Brazil. It is shown that long term yield on inflation linked bonds are driven by yields on 10 year interest rates of United States (US) government bonds and 10 year risk premium, as measured by the Credit Default S...
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FUCAPE Business School
2017
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oai:doaj.org-article:20ae96e02dca4cc7bf0982832648f56d2021-11-11T15:48:07ZWhat Drives Long Term Real Interest Rates in Brazil?1807-734Xhttps://doaj.org/article/20ae96e02dca4cc7bf0982832648f56d2017-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123053350005https://doaj.org/toc/1807-734XThis paper investigates the drivers of long term real interest rates in Brazil. It is shown that long term yield on inflation linked bonds are driven by yields on 10 year interest rates of United States (US) government bonds and 10 year risk premium, as measured by the Credit Default Swap (CDS). Long term interest rates in Brazil were on a downward trend, following US real rates and stable risk premium, until the taper tantrum in the first half of 2013. From then onwards, real interest rates rose due to the increase in US real rates in anticipation of the beginning of monetary policy normalization and, more recently, due to a sharp increase in Brazilian risk premium. Policy interest rates do not significantly affect long term real interest rates.Adonias Evaristo da Costa FilhoFUCAPE Business Schoolarticleinterest ratesrisk premiummonetary policytaperingBusinessHF5001-6182ENPTBBR: Brazilian Business Review, Vol 14, Iss 6, Pp 624-635 (2017) |
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interest rates risk premium monetary policy tapering Business HF5001-6182 |
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interest rates risk premium monetary policy tapering Business HF5001-6182 Adonias Evaristo da Costa Filho What Drives Long Term Real Interest Rates in Brazil? |
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This paper investigates the drivers of long term real interest rates in Brazil. It is shown that long term yield on inflation linked bonds are driven by yields on 10 year interest rates of United States (US) government bonds and 10 year risk premium, as measured by the Credit Default Swap (CDS). Long term interest rates in Brazil were on a downward trend, following US real rates and stable risk premium, until the taper tantrum in the first half of 2013. From then onwards, real interest rates rose due to the increase in US real rates in anticipation of the beginning of monetary policy normalization and, more recently, due to a sharp increase in Brazilian risk premium. Policy interest rates do not significantly affect long term real interest rates. |
format |
article |
author |
Adonias Evaristo da Costa Filho |
author_facet |
Adonias Evaristo da Costa Filho |
author_sort |
Adonias Evaristo da Costa Filho |
title |
What Drives Long Term Real Interest Rates in Brazil? |
title_short |
What Drives Long Term Real Interest Rates in Brazil? |
title_full |
What Drives Long Term Real Interest Rates in Brazil? |
title_fullStr |
What Drives Long Term Real Interest Rates in Brazil? |
title_full_unstemmed |
What Drives Long Term Real Interest Rates in Brazil? |
title_sort |
what drives long term real interest rates in brazil? |
publisher |
FUCAPE Business School |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/20ae96e02dca4cc7bf0982832648f56d |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT adoniasevaristodacostafilho whatdriveslongtermrealinterestratesinbrazil |
_version_ |
1718433878613426176 |