Evaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: A machine learning and model-agnostic approach

To effectively plan and manage the use of agricultural land, it is crucial to identify and evaluate the multiple human and environmental factors that influence it. In this study, we propose a model framework to identify the factors potentially explaining the use of agricultural land for wheat, maize...

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Autores principales: Cláudia M. Viana, Maurício Santos, Dulce Freire, Patrícia Abrantes, Jorge Rocha
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Elsevier 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/214ec55220a846e7910bffcad1440efe
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:214ec55220a846e7910bffcad1440efe2021-12-01T05:00:36ZEvaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: A machine learning and model-agnostic approach1470-160X10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108200https://doaj.org/article/214ec55220a846e7910bffcad1440efe2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X21008657https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160XTo effectively plan and manage the use of agricultural land, it is crucial to identify and evaluate the multiple human and environmental factors that influence it. In this study, we propose a model framework to identify the factors potentially explaining the use of agricultural land for wheat, maize, and olive grove plantations at the regional level. By developing a machine-learning model coupled with a model-agnostic approach, we provide global and local interpretations of the most influential factors. We collected nearly 140 variables related to biophysical, bioclimatic, and agricultural socioeconomic conditions. Overall, the results indicated that biophysical and bioclimatic conditions were more influential than socioeconomic conditions. At the global interpretation level, the proposed model identified a strong contribution of conditions related to drainage density, slope, and soil type. In contrast, the local interpretation level indicated that socioeconomic conditions such as the degree of mechanisation could be influential in specific parcels of wheat. As demonstrated, the proposed analytical approach has the potential to serve as a decision-making tool instrument to better plan and control the use of agricultural land.Cláudia M. VianaMaurício SantosDulce FreirePatrícia AbrantesJorge RochaElsevierarticleCroplandInterpretabilityArtificial intelligencexAILIMEEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcological Indicators, Vol 131, Iss , Pp 108200- (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Cropland
Interpretability
Artificial intelligence
xAI
LIME
Ecology
QH540-549.5
spellingShingle Cropland
Interpretability
Artificial intelligence
xAI
LIME
Ecology
QH540-549.5
Cláudia M. Viana
Maurício Santos
Dulce Freire
Patrícia Abrantes
Jorge Rocha
Evaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: A machine learning and model-agnostic approach
description To effectively plan and manage the use of agricultural land, it is crucial to identify and evaluate the multiple human and environmental factors that influence it. In this study, we propose a model framework to identify the factors potentially explaining the use of agricultural land for wheat, maize, and olive grove plantations at the regional level. By developing a machine-learning model coupled with a model-agnostic approach, we provide global and local interpretations of the most influential factors. We collected nearly 140 variables related to biophysical, bioclimatic, and agricultural socioeconomic conditions. Overall, the results indicated that biophysical and bioclimatic conditions were more influential than socioeconomic conditions. At the global interpretation level, the proposed model identified a strong contribution of conditions related to drainage density, slope, and soil type. In contrast, the local interpretation level indicated that socioeconomic conditions such as the degree of mechanisation could be influential in specific parcels of wheat. As demonstrated, the proposed analytical approach has the potential to serve as a decision-making tool instrument to better plan and control the use of agricultural land.
format article
author Cláudia M. Viana
Maurício Santos
Dulce Freire
Patrícia Abrantes
Jorge Rocha
author_facet Cláudia M. Viana
Maurício Santos
Dulce Freire
Patrícia Abrantes
Jorge Rocha
author_sort Cláudia M. Viana
title Evaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: A machine learning and model-agnostic approach
title_short Evaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: A machine learning and model-agnostic approach
title_full Evaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: A machine learning and model-agnostic approach
title_fullStr Evaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: A machine learning and model-agnostic approach
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: A machine learning and model-agnostic approach
title_sort evaluation of the factors explaining the use of agricultural land: a machine learning and model-agnostic approach
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/214ec55220a846e7910bffcad1440efe
work_keys_str_mv AT claudiamviana evaluationofthefactorsexplainingtheuseofagriculturallandamachinelearningandmodelagnosticapproach
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AT dulcefreire evaluationofthefactorsexplainingtheuseofagriculturallandamachinelearningandmodelagnosticapproach
AT patriciaabrantes evaluationofthefactorsexplainingtheuseofagriculturallandamachinelearningandmodelagnosticapproach
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