Supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus

The water-energy-food nexus concept is criticized as not yet fit for deeply integrated and contested governance agendas. One problem is how to achieve equitable risk governance and management where there is low consensus on priorities, poor inclusion and coordination of risk assessment procedures, a...

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Autores principales:	Louise Gallagher, Birgit Kopainsky, Andrea M. Bassi, Andrea Betancourt, Chanmeta Buth, Puthearath Chan, Simon Costanzo, Sarah St. George Freeman, Chandet Horm, Sandab Khim, Malyne Neang, Naroeun Rin, Ken Sereyrotha, Kimchhin Sok, Chansopheaktra Sovann, Michele Thieme, Karina Watkins, Carina A. Wyborn, Christian Bréthaut
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Resilience Alliance 2020
Materias:	cambodia mekong participatory research resilience risk scenario analysis system dynamics modeling water-energy-food nexus Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Ecology QH540-549.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/2165143425e74e3c91753a2bcdd606ab
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:2165143425e74e3c91753a2bcdd606ab2021-12-02T14:21:36ZSupporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus1708-308710.5751/ES-11919-250429https://doaj.org/article/2165143425e74e3c91753a2bcdd606ab2020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol25/iss4/art29/https://doaj.org/toc/1708-3087The water-energy-food nexus concept is criticized as not yet fit for deeply integrated and contested governance agendas. One problem is how to achieve equitable risk governance and management where there is low consensus on priorities, poor inclusion and coordination of risk assessment procedures, and a weak emphasis placed on cross-scale and sectoral interactions over time. Participatory system dynamics modeling processes and analyses are promising approaches for such challenges but are currently underutilized in nexus research and policy. This paper shares our experience implementing one such analysis in the Mekong river basin, a paradigmatic example for international nexus research. Our transdisciplinary research design combined participatory causal loop diagramming processes, scenario modeling, and a new resilience analysis method to identify and test anticipated water-energy-food risks in Kratie and Stung Treng provinces in northeastern Cambodia. Our process generated new understanding of potential cross-sectoral and cross-level risks from major hydropower development in the region. The results showed expected trade-offs between national level infrastructure programs and local level food security, but also some new insights into the effects local population increases may have on local food production and consumption even before hydropower developments are built. The analysis shows the benefit of evaluating risks in the nexus at different system levels and over time because of how system dynamics and inflection points are taken into account. Additionally, our case illustrates the contribution participatory system-thinking processes can make to risk assessment procedures for complex systems transitions. We originally anticipated that any new capacity reported by partners and participants would come from our modeling results produced at the end of the process. However, participants in the modeling procedures also found the experience powerful the information sharing, rapid risk assessment, and personal learning it enabled. A lesson from our experience reinforces a message from the transdisciplinary research field that has not yet been absorbed into the nexus research and policy field wholeheartedly: we do not have to wait for perfect data and incontestable results before making a positive contribution to anticipating and responding to risks that emerge from nexus relations if we apply participatory and systems-thinking informed approaches.Louise GallagherBirgit KopainskyAndrea M. BassiAndrea BetancourtChanmeta ButhPuthearath ChanSimon CostanzoSarah St. George FreemanChandet HormSandab KhimMalyne NeangNaroeun RinKen SereyrothaKimchhin SokChansopheaktra SovannMichele ThiemeKarina WatkinsCarina A. WybornChristian BréthautResilience Alliancearticlecambodiamekongparticipatory researchresilienceriskscenario analysissystem dynamics modelingwater-energy-food nexusBiology (General)QH301-705.5EcologyQH540-549.5ENEcology and Society, Vol 25, Iss 4, p 29 (2020)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	cambodia mekong participatory research resilience risk scenario analysis system dynamics modeling water-energy-food nexus Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Ecology QH540-549.5
spellingShingle	cambodia mekong participatory research resilience risk scenario analysis system dynamics modeling water-energy-food nexus Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Ecology QH540-549.5 Louise Gallagher Birgit Kopainsky Andrea M. Bassi Andrea Betancourt Chanmeta Buth Puthearath Chan Simon Costanzo Sarah St. George Freeman Chandet Horm Sandab Khim Malyne Neang Naroeun Rin Ken Sereyrotha Kimchhin Sok Chansopheaktra Sovann Michele Thieme Karina Watkins Carina A. Wyborn Christian Bréthaut Supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus
description	The water-energy-food nexus concept is criticized as not yet fit for deeply integrated and contested governance agendas. One problem is how to achieve equitable risk governance and management where there is low consensus on priorities, poor inclusion and coordination of risk assessment procedures, and a weak emphasis placed on cross-scale and sectoral interactions over time. Participatory system dynamics modeling processes and analyses are promising approaches for such challenges but are currently underutilized in nexus research and policy. This paper shares our experience implementing one such analysis in the Mekong river basin, a paradigmatic example for international nexus research. Our transdisciplinary research design combined participatory causal loop diagramming processes, scenario modeling, and a new resilience analysis method to identify and test anticipated water-energy-food risks in Kratie and Stung Treng provinces in northeastern Cambodia. Our process generated new understanding of potential cross-sectoral and cross-level risks from major hydropower development in the region. The results showed expected trade-offs between national level infrastructure programs and local level food security, but also some new insights into the effects local population increases may have on local food production and consumption even before hydropower developments are built. The analysis shows the benefit of evaluating risks in the nexus at different system levels and over time because of how system dynamics and inflection points are taken into account. Additionally, our case illustrates the contribution participatory system-thinking processes can make to risk assessment procedures for complex systems transitions. We originally anticipated that any new capacity reported by partners and participants would come from our modeling results produced at the end of the process. However, participants in the modeling procedures also found the experience powerful the information sharing, rapid risk assessment, and personal learning it enabled. A lesson from our experience reinforces a message from the transdisciplinary research field that has not yet been absorbed into the nexus research and policy field wholeheartedly: we do not have to wait for perfect data and incontestable results before making a positive contribution to anticipating and responding to risks that emerge from nexus relations if we apply participatory and systems-thinking informed approaches.
format	article
author	Louise Gallagher Birgit Kopainsky Andrea M. Bassi Andrea Betancourt Chanmeta Buth Puthearath Chan Simon Costanzo Sarah St. George Freeman Chandet Horm Sandab Khim Malyne Neang Naroeun Rin Ken Sereyrotha Kimchhin Sok Chansopheaktra Sovann Michele Thieme Karina Watkins Carina A. Wyborn Christian Bréthaut
author_facet	Louise Gallagher Birgit Kopainsky Andrea M. Bassi Andrea Betancourt Chanmeta Buth Puthearath Chan Simon Costanzo Sarah St. George Freeman Chandet Horm Sandab Khim Malyne Neang Naroeun Rin Ken Sereyrotha Kimchhin Sok Chansopheaktra Sovann Michele Thieme Karina Watkins Carina A. Wyborn Christian Bréthaut
author_sort	Louise Gallagher
title	Supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus
title_short	Supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus
title_full	Supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus
title_fullStr	Supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus
title_full_unstemmed	Supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus
title_sort	supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a mekong river water-energy-food nexus
publisher	Resilience Alliance
publishDate	2020
url	https://doaj.org/article/2165143425e74e3c91753a2bcdd606ab
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Supporting stakeholders to anticipate and respond to risks in a Mekong River water-energy-food nexus

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