Effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition
Abstract The adoption of contraception often coincides with market integration and has transformative effects on fertility behavior. Yet many parents in small-scale societies make decisions about whether and when to adopt family planning in an environment where the payoffs to have smaller families ...
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Nature Portfolio
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:23649a92da1c4d08aa7817889d4f73152021-12-02T17:32:57ZEffects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition10.1038/s41598-021-86180-82045-2322https://doaj.org/article/23649a92da1c4d08aa7817889d4f73152021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-86180-8https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The adoption of contraception often coincides with market integration and has transformative effects on fertility behavior. Yet many parents in small-scale societies make decisions about whether and when to adopt family planning in an environment where the payoffs to have smaller families are uncertain. Here we track the fertility of Maya women across 90 years, spanning the transition from natural to contracepting fertility. We first situate the uncertainty in which fertility decisions are made and model how childbearing behaviors respond. We find that contraception, a key factor in cultural transmission models of fertility decline, initially has little effect on family size as women appear to hedge their bets and adopt fertility control only at the end of their reproductive careers. Family planning is, however, associated with the spread of lower fertility in later cohorts. Distinguishing influences on the origin versus spread of a behaviour provides valuable insight into causal factors shaping individual and normative changes in fertility.Karen L. KramerJoe HackmanRyan SchachtHelen E. DavisNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2021) |
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Medicine R Science Q Karen L. Kramer Joe Hackman Ryan Schacht Helen E. Davis Effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition |
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Abstract The adoption of contraception often coincides with market integration and has transformative effects on fertility behavior. Yet many parents in small-scale societies make decisions about whether and when to adopt family planning in an environment where the payoffs to have smaller families are uncertain. Here we track the fertility of Maya women across 90 years, spanning the transition from natural to contracepting fertility. We first situate the uncertainty in which fertility decisions are made and model how childbearing behaviors respond. We find that contraception, a key factor in cultural transmission models of fertility decline, initially has little effect on family size as women appear to hedge their bets and adopt fertility control only at the end of their reproductive careers. Family planning is, however, associated with the spread of lower fertility in later cohorts. Distinguishing influences on the origin versus spread of a behaviour provides valuable insight into causal factors shaping individual and normative changes in fertility. |
format |
article |
author |
Karen L. Kramer Joe Hackman Ryan Schacht Helen E. Davis |
author_facet |
Karen L. Kramer Joe Hackman Ryan Schacht Helen E. Davis |
author_sort |
Karen L. Kramer |
title |
Effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition |
title_short |
Effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition |
title_full |
Effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition |
title_fullStr |
Effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition |
title_full_unstemmed |
Effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition |
title_sort |
effects of family planning on fertility behaviour across the demographic transition |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/23649a92da1c4d08aa7817889d4f7315 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT karenlkramer effectsoffamilyplanningonfertilitybehaviouracrossthedemographictransition AT joehackman effectsoffamilyplanningonfertilitybehaviouracrossthedemographictransition AT ryanschacht effectsoffamilyplanningonfertilitybehaviouracrossthedemographictransition AT helenedavis effectsoffamilyplanningonfertilitybehaviouracrossthedemographictransition |
_version_ |
1718380108289409024 |