A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave

A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave

Forecasting models have been used extensively to inform decision making during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this preregistered and prospective study, the authors evaluated 14 short-term models for Germany and Poland, finding considerable heterogeneity in predictions and highlighting the benefits of com...

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Autores principales: J. Bracher, D. Wolffram, J. Deuschel, K. Görgen, J. L. Ketterer, A. Ullrich, S. Abbott, M. V. Barbarossa, D. Bertsimas, S. Bhatia, M. Bodych, N. I. Bosse, J. P. Burgard, L. Castro, G. Fairchild, J. Fuhrmann, S. Funk, K. Gogolewski, Q. Gu, S. Heyder, T. Hotz, Y. Kheifetz, H. Kirsten, T. Krueger, E. Krymova, M. L. Li, J. H. Meinke, I. J. Michaud, K. Niedzielewski, T. Ożański, F. Rakowski, M. Scholz, S. Soni, A. Srivastava, J. Zieliński, D. Zou, T. Gneiting, M. Schienle, List of Contributors by Team
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/24a309c146094b3e8b03c37e224aa56b
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Sumario:Forecasting models have been used extensively to inform decision making during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this preregistered and prospective study, the authors evaluated 14 short-term models for Germany and Poland, finding considerable heterogeneity in predictions and highlighting the benefits of combined forecasts.

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