A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave

A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave

Forecasting models have been used extensively to inform decision making during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this preregistered and prospective study, the authors evaluated 14 short-term models for Germany and Poland, finding considerable heterogeneity in predictions and highlighting the benefits of com...

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Autores principales: J. Bracher, D. Wolffram, J. Deuschel, K. Görgen, J. L. Ketterer, A. Ullrich, S. Abbott, M. V. Barbarossa, D. Bertsimas, S. Bhatia, M. Bodych, N. I. Bosse, J. P. Burgard, L. Castro, G. Fairchild, J. Fuhrmann, S. Funk, K. Gogolewski, Q. Gu, S. Heyder, T. Hotz, Y. Kheifetz, H. Kirsten, T. Krueger, E. Krymova, M. L. Li, J. H. Meinke, I. J. Michaud, K. Niedzielewski, T. Ożański, F. Rakowski, M. Scholz, S. Soni, A. Srivastava, J. Zieliński, D. Zou, T. Gneiting, M. Schienle, List of Contributors by Team
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/24a309c146094b3e8b03c37e224aa56b
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:24a309c146094b3e8b03c37e224aa56b2021-12-02T16:34:55ZA pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave10.1038/s41467-021-25207-02041-1723https://doaj.org/article/24a309c146094b3e8b03c37e224aa56b2021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25207-0https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Forecasting models have been used extensively to inform decision making during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this preregistered and prospective study, the authors evaluated 14 short-term models for Germany and Poland, finding considerable heterogeneity in predictions and highlighting the benefits of combined forecasts.J. BracherD. WolfframJ. DeuschelK. GörgenJ. L. KettererA. UllrichS. AbbottM. V. BarbarossaD. BertsimasS. BhatiaM. BodychN. I. BosseJ. P. BurgardL. CastroG. FairchildJ. FuhrmannS. FunkK. GogolewskiQ. GuS. HeyderT. HotzY. KheifetzH. KirstenT. KruegerE. KrymovaM. L. LiJ. H. MeinkeI. J. MichaudK. NiedzielewskiT. OżańskiF. RakowskiM. ScholzS. SoniA. SrivastavaJ. ZielińskiD. ZouT. GneitingM. SchienleList of Contributors by TeamNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
J. Bracher
D. Wolffram
J. Deuschel
K. Görgen
J. L. Ketterer
A. Ullrich
S. Abbott
M. V. Barbarossa
D. Bertsimas
S. Bhatia
M. Bodych
N. I. Bosse
J. P. Burgard
L. Castro
G. Fairchild
J. Fuhrmann
S. Funk
K. Gogolewski
Q. Gu
S. Heyder
T. Hotz
Y. Kheifetz
H. Kirsten
T. Krueger
E. Krymova
M. L. Li
J. H. Meinke
I. J. Michaud
K. Niedzielewski
T. Ożański
F. Rakowski
M. Scholz
S. Soni
A. Srivastava
J. Zieliński
D. Zou
T. Gneiting
M. Schienle
List of Contributors by Team
A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave
description Forecasting models have been used extensively to inform decision making during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this preregistered and prospective study, the authors evaluated 14 short-term models for Germany and Poland, finding considerable heterogeneity in predictions and highlighting the benefits of combined forecasts.
format article
author J. Bracher
D. Wolffram
J. Deuschel
K. Görgen
J. L. Ketterer
A. Ullrich
S. Abbott
M. V. Barbarossa
D. Bertsimas
S. Bhatia
M. Bodych
N. I. Bosse
J. P. Burgard
L. Castro
G. Fairchild
J. Fuhrmann
S. Funk
K. Gogolewski
Q. Gu
S. Heyder
T. Hotz
Y. Kheifetz
H. Kirsten
T. Krueger
E. Krymova
M. L. Li
J. H. Meinke
I. J. Michaud
K. Niedzielewski
T. Ożański
F. Rakowski
M. Scholz
S. Soni
A. Srivastava
J. Zieliński
D. Zou
T. Gneiting
M. Schienle
List of Contributors by Team
author_facet J. Bracher
D. Wolffram
J. Deuschel
K. Görgen
J. L. Ketterer
A. Ullrich
S. Abbott
M. V. Barbarossa
D. Bertsimas
S. Bhatia
M. Bodych
N. I. Bosse
J. P. Burgard
L. Castro
G. Fairchild
J. Fuhrmann
S. Funk
K. Gogolewski
Q. Gu
S. Heyder
T. Hotz
Y. Kheifetz
H. Kirsten
T. Krueger
E. Krymova
M. L. Li
J. H. Meinke
I. J. Michaud
K. Niedzielewski
T. Ożański
F. Rakowski
M. Scholz
S. Soni
A. Srivastava
J. Zieliński
D. Zou
T. Gneiting
M. Schienle
List of Contributors by Team
author_sort J. Bracher
title A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave
title_short A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave
title_full A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave
title_fullStr A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave
title_full_unstemmed A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave
title_sort pre-registered short-term forecasting study of covid-19 in germany and poland during the second wave
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/24a309c146094b3e8b03c37e224aa56b
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