Forecasting Spatiotemporal Boundary of Emergency-Event-Based Traffic Congestion in Expressway Network Considering Highway Node Acceptance Capacity

Emergency events can induce serious traffic congestions in a local area which may propagate to the upstream roads, and even the whole network. Until now, the methodology forecasting spatiotemporal boundary propagation of emergency-event-based traffic congestions, with both explicitness and road netw...

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Autores principales: Xingliang Liu, Jian Wang, Tangzhi Liu, Jin Xu
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/24b7ea5704af4178ae80aaf9ac29e507
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:24b7ea5704af4178ae80aaf9ac29e5072021-11-11T19:47:32ZForecasting Spatiotemporal Boundary of Emergency-Event-Based Traffic Congestion in Expressway Network Considering Highway Node Acceptance Capacity10.3390/su1321121952071-1050https://doaj.org/article/24b7ea5704af4178ae80aaf9ac29e5072021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/21/12195https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050Emergency events can induce serious traffic congestions in a local area which may propagate to the upstream roads, and even the whole network. Until now, the methodology forecasting spatiotemporal boundary propagation of emergency-event-based traffic congestions, with both explicitness and road network availability, has not been found. This study develops a new method for predicting spatiotemporal boundary of the congestion caused by emergency events, which is more applicable and practical than cell transmission model (CTM)-derived methods. This method divides the expressway network into different sections based on their functions and the shockwave direction caused by the emergency events. It characterizes the velocity of the moving congestion boundary based on kinetic wave theory and volume–density relationship. After determining whether the congestion will spread into the network level through an interchange using a new concept, highway node acceptance capacity (HNAC), we can predict the spatiotemporal boundary and corresponding traffic condition within the boundary. The proposed method is tested under four traffic incident cases with corresponding traffic data collected through field observations. We also compare its prediction performances with other methods used in the literature.Xingliang LiuJian WangTangzhi LiuJin XuMDPI AGarticlespatiotemporal boundaryemergency eventexpressway networkHNACtraffic incident casesEnvironmental effects of industries and plantsTD194-195Renewable energy sourcesTJ807-830Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENSustainability, Vol 13, Iss 12195, p 12195 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic spatiotemporal boundary
emergency event
expressway network
HNAC
traffic incident cases
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle spatiotemporal boundary
emergency event
expressway network
HNAC
traffic incident cases
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Xingliang Liu
Jian Wang
Tangzhi Liu
Jin Xu
Forecasting Spatiotemporal Boundary of Emergency-Event-Based Traffic Congestion in Expressway Network Considering Highway Node Acceptance Capacity
description Emergency events can induce serious traffic congestions in a local area which may propagate to the upstream roads, and even the whole network. Until now, the methodology forecasting spatiotemporal boundary propagation of emergency-event-based traffic congestions, with both explicitness and road network availability, has not been found. This study develops a new method for predicting spatiotemporal boundary of the congestion caused by emergency events, which is more applicable and practical than cell transmission model (CTM)-derived methods. This method divides the expressway network into different sections based on their functions and the shockwave direction caused by the emergency events. It characterizes the velocity of the moving congestion boundary based on kinetic wave theory and volume–density relationship. After determining whether the congestion will spread into the network level through an interchange using a new concept, highway node acceptance capacity (HNAC), we can predict the spatiotemporal boundary and corresponding traffic condition within the boundary. The proposed method is tested under four traffic incident cases with corresponding traffic data collected through field observations. We also compare its prediction performances with other methods used in the literature.
format article
author Xingliang Liu
Jian Wang
Tangzhi Liu
Jin Xu
author_facet Xingliang Liu
Jian Wang
Tangzhi Liu
Jin Xu
author_sort Xingliang Liu
title Forecasting Spatiotemporal Boundary of Emergency-Event-Based Traffic Congestion in Expressway Network Considering Highway Node Acceptance Capacity
title_short Forecasting Spatiotemporal Boundary of Emergency-Event-Based Traffic Congestion in Expressway Network Considering Highway Node Acceptance Capacity
title_full Forecasting Spatiotemporal Boundary of Emergency-Event-Based Traffic Congestion in Expressway Network Considering Highway Node Acceptance Capacity
title_fullStr Forecasting Spatiotemporal Boundary of Emergency-Event-Based Traffic Congestion in Expressway Network Considering Highway Node Acceptance Capacity
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting Spatiotemporal Boundary of Emergency-Event-Based Traffic Congestion in Expressway Network Considering Highway Node Acceptance Capacity
title_sort forecasting spatiotemporal boundary of emergency-event-based traffic congestion in expressway network considering highway node acceptance capacity
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/24b7ea5704af4178ae80aaf9ac29e507
work_keys_str_mv AT xingliangliu forecastingspatiotemporalboundaryofemergencyeventbasedtrafficcongestioninexpresswaynetworkconsideringhighwaynodeacceptancecapacity
AT jianwang forecastingspatiotemporalboundaryofemergencyeventbasedtrafficcongestioninexpresswaynetworkconsideringhighwaynodeacceptancecapacity
AT tangzhiliu forecastingspatiotemporalboundaryofemergencyeventbasedtrafficcongestioninexpresswaynetworkconsideringhighwaynodeacceptancecapacity
AT jinxu forecastingspatiotemporalboundaryofemergencyeventbasedtrafficcongestioninexpresswaynetworkconsideringhighwaynodeacceptancecapacity
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