Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon

Abstract Compound extremes exhibit greater adverse impacts than their univariate counterparts. Studies have reported changes in frequency and the spatial extent of extremes in India; however, investigation of compound extremes is in the infancy state. This study investigates the historical variation...

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Autores principales: Ravi Kumar Guntu, Ankit Agarwal
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/24bf213e767348ee9b44de0e966379b6
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:24bf213e767348ee9b44de0e966379b62021-12-02T16:43:42ZDisentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon10.1038/s41598-021-95775-02045-2322https://doaj.org/article/24bf213e767348ee9b44de0e966379b62021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-95775-0https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Compound extremes exhibit greater adverse impacts than their univariate counterparts. Studies have reported changes in frequency and the spatial extent of extremes in India; however, investigation of compound extremes is in the infancy state. This study investigates the historical variation of compound dry and hot extremes (CDHE) and compound wet and cold extremes (CWCE) during the Indian summer monsoon period from 1951 to 2019 using monthly data. Results are analyzed for 10 identified homogeneous regions for India. Our results unravelled that CDHE (CWCE) frequency has increased (decreased) by 1–3 events per decade for the recent period (1977–2019) relative to the base period (1951–1976). Overall, the increasing (decreasing) pattern of CDHE (CWCE) is high across North-central India, Western India, North-eastern India and South-eastern coastlines. Our findings help in identification of the parts of the country affected by frequent and widespread CDHE during the recent period, which is alarming. More detailed assessments are required to disentangle the complex physical process of compound extremes to improve risk management options.Ravi Kumar GuntuAnkit AgarwalNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Ravi Kumar Guntu
Ankit Agarwal
Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon
description Abstract Compound extremes exhibit greater adverse impacts than their univariate counterparts. Studies have reported changes in frequency and the spatial extent of extremes in India; however, investigation of compound extremes is in the infancy state. This study investigates the historical variation of compound dry and hot extremes (CDHE) and compound wet and cold extremes (CWCE) during the Indian summer monsoon period from 1951 to 2019 using monthly data. Results are analyzed for 10 identified homogeneous regions for India. Our results unravelled that CDHE (CWCE) frequency has increased (decreased) by 1–3 events per decade for the recent period (1977–2019) relative to the base period (1951–1976). Overall, the increasing (decreasing) pattern of CDHE (CWCE) is high across North-central India, Western India, North-eastern India and South-eastern coastlines. Our findings help in identification of the parts of the country affected by frequent and widespread CDHE during the recent period, which is alarming. More detailed assessments are required to disentangle the complex physical process of compound extremes to improve risk management options.
format article
author Ravi Kumar Guntu
Ankit Agarwal
author_facet Ravi Kumar Guntu
Ankit Agarwal
author_sort Ravi Kumar Guntu
title Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon
title_short Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon
title_full Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon
title_fullStr Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon
title_full_unstemmed Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon
title_sort disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during indian summer monsoon
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/24bf213e767348ee9b44de0e966379b6
work_keys_str_mv AT ravikumarguntu disentanglingincreasingcompoundextremesatregionalscaleduringindiansummermonsoon
AT ankitagarwal disentanglingincreasingcompoundextremesatregionalscaleduringindiansummermonsoon
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