The Impact of Trading Information Sets on Exchange Rate Change and Volatility: Evidence From Taiwan

This study explores the Taiwan Dollar (TWD) as the currency of a small island economy, uses the trading information sets from overseas and the market itself to examine the impacts on the adjustment of daily spot exchange rates. The daily USD/TWD is explained by the trading information sets, contain...

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Autor principal: Ying-Sing Liu
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: SAGE Publishing 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:2512b71ee2a54d6bb073bec63dc0905e2021-11-20T00:33:28ZThe Impact of Trading Information Sets on Exchange Rate Change and Volatility: Evidence From Taiwan2158-244010.1177/21582440211052947https://doaj.org/article/2512b71ee2a54d6bb073bec63dc0905e2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1177/21582440211052947https://doaj.org/toc/2158-2440This study explores the Taiwan Dollar (TWD) as the currency of a small island economy, uses the trading information sets from overseas and the market itself to examine the impacts on the adjustment of daily spot exchange rates. The daily USD/TWD is explained by the trading information sets, contain which the daily trading activities and the ratio of the real body on the daily candlestick chart of technical analysis on the Taipei Foreign Exchange Market, as well as the US-dollar index return to explain the USD/TWD spot rate change. The results showed that some of the USD/TWD changes were related to the US-dollar index return on overseas, and that the effect of the US-dollar index return was not limited to the adjustment rate from the previous closing rate to the opening rate on the day, which would affect the adjustment spot exchange rate in the intraday opening-to-closing period. There is a significant positive relationship between the real body ratio of the daily candlestick chart and the return of the exchange rate, supporting the real body ratio related to the change of the exchange rate. The study model can greatly improve the model interpretation ability of the change of exchange rate by about 50% after considering the trading activity factors. Finally, this study found that the volatility has a positive effect on Mondays and the 2008-financial crisis, and based on the shock that the news of depreciation was higher than the news of appreciation, so there exist asymmetry volatility.Ying-Sing LiuSAGE PublishingarticleHistory of scholarship and learning. The humanitiesAZ20-999Social SciencesHENSAGE Open, Vol 11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic History of scholarship and learning. The humanities
AZ20-999
Social Sciences
H
spellingShingle History of scholarship and learning. The humanities
AZ20-999
Social Sciences
H
Ying-Sing Liu
The Impact of Trading Information Sets on Exchange Rate Change and Volatility: Evidence From Taiwan
description This study explores the Taiwan Dollar (TWD) as the currency of a small island economy, uses the trading information sets from overseas and the market itself to examine the impacts on the adjustment of daily spot exchange rates. The daily USD/TWD is explained by the trading information sets, contain which the daily trading activities and the ratio of the real body on the daily candlestick chart of technical analysis on the Taipei Foreign Exchange Market, as well as the US-dollar index return to explain the USD/TWD spot rate change. The results showed that some of the USD/TWD changes were related to the US-dollar index return on overseas, and that the effect of the US-dollar index return was not limited to the adjustment rate from the previous closing rate to the opening rate on the day, which would affect the adjustment spot exchange rate in the intraday opening-to-closing period. There is a significant positive relationship between the real body ratio of the daily candlestick chart and the return of the exchange rate, supporting the real body ratio related to the change of the exchange rate. The study model can greatly improve the model interpretation ability of the change of exchange rate by about 50% after considering the trading activity factors. Finally, this study found that the volatility has a positive effect on Mondays and the 2008-financial crisis, and based on the shock that the news of depreciation was higher than the news of appreciation, so there exist asymmetry volatility.
format article
author Ying-Sing Liu
author_facet Ying-Sing Liu
author_sort Ying-Sing Liu
title The Impact of Trading Information Sets on Exchange Rate Change and Volatility: Evidence From Taiwan
title_short The Impact of Trading Information Sets on Exchange Rate Change and Volatility: Evidence From Taiwan
title_full The Impact of Trading Information Sets on Exchange Rate Change and Volatility: Evidence From Taiwan
title_fullStr The Impact of Trading Information Sets on Exchange Rate Change and Volatility: Evidence From Taiwan
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Trading Information Sets on Exchange Rate Change and Volatility: Evidence From Taiwan
title_sort impact of trading information sets on exchange rate change and volatility: evidence from taiwan
publisher SAGE Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/2512b71ee2a54d6bb073bec63dc0905e
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