Research on Precipitation Forecast Based on LSTM–CP Combined Model

The tremendous progress made in the field of deep learning allows us to accurately predict precipitation and avoid major and long-term disruptions to the entire socio-economic system caused by floods. This paper presents an LSTM–CP combined model formed by the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network a...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Yan Guo, Wei Tang, Guanghua Hou, Fei Pan, Yubo Wang, Wei Wang
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/26159ca290c34267be2bb61213fe78a6
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
id oai:doaj.org-article:26159ca290c34267be2bb61213fe78a6
record_format dspace
spelling oai:doaj.org-article:26159ca290c34267be2bb61213fe78a62021-11-11T19:21:36ZResearch on Precipitation Forecast Based on LSTM–CP Combined Model10.3390/su1321115962071-1050https://doaj.org/article/26159ca290c34267be2bb61213fe78a62021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/21/11596https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050The tremendous progress made in the field of deep learning allows us to accurately predict precipitation and avoid major and long-term disruptions to the entire socio-economic system caused by floods. This paper presents an LSTM–CP combined model formed by the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network and Chebyshev polynomial (CP) as applied to the precipitation forecast of Yibin City. Firstly, the data are fed into the LSTM network to extract the time-series features. Then, the sequence features obtained are input into the BP (Back Propagation) neural network with CP as the excitation function. Finally, the prediction results are obtained. By theoretical analysis and experimental comparison, the LSTM–CP combined model proposed in this paper has fewer parameters, shorter running time, and relatively smaller prediction error than the LSTM network. Meanwhile, compared with the SVR model, ARIMA model, and MLP model, the prediction accuracy of the LSTM–CP combination model is significantly improved, which can aid relevant departments in making disaster response measures in advance to reduce disaster losses and promote sustainable development by providing them data support.Yan GuoWei TangGuanghua HouFei PanYubo WangWei WangMDPI AGarticleprecipitation forecastlong short-term memory networkChebyshev polynomialBP neural networkEnvironmental effects of industries and plantsTD194-195Renewable energy sourcesTJ807-830Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENSustainability, Vol 13, Iss 11596, p 11596 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic precipitation forecast
long short-term memory network
Chebyshev polynomial
BP neural network
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle precipitation forecast
long short-term memory network
Chebyshev polynomial
BP neural network
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Yan Guo
Wei Tang
Guanghua Hou
Fei Pan
Yubo Wang
Wei Wang
Research on Precipitation Forecast Based on LSTM–CP Combined Model
description The tremendous progress made in the field of deep learning allows us to accurately predict precipitation and avoid major and long-term disruptions to the entire socio-economic system caused by floods. This paper presents an LSTM–CP combined model formed by the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network and Chebyshev polynomial (CP) as applied to the precipitation forecast of Yibin City. Firstly, the data are fed into the LSTM network to extract the time-series features. Then, the sequence features obtained are input into the BP (Back Propagation) neural network with CP as the excitation function. Finally, the prediction results are obtained. By theoretical analysis and experimental comparison, the LSTM–CP combined model proposed in this paper has fewer parameters, shorter running time, and relatively smaller prediction error than the LSTM network. Meanwhile, compared with the SVR model, ARIMA model, and MLP model, the prediction accuracy of the LSTM–CP combination model is significantly improved, which can aid relevant departments in making disaster response measures in advance to reduce disaster losses and promote sustainable development by providing them data support.
format article
author Yan Guo
Wei Tang
Guanghua Hou
Fei Pan
Yubo Wang
Wei Wang
author_facet Yan Guo
Wei Tang
Guanghua Hou
Fei Pan
Yubo Wang
Wei Wang
author_sort Yan Guo
title Research on Precipitation Forecast Based on LSTM–CP Combined Model
title_short Research on Precipitation Forecast Based on LSTM–CP Combined Model
title_full Research on Precipitation Forecast Based on LSTM–CP Combined Model
title_fullStr Research on Precipitation Forecast Based on LSTM–CP Combined Model
title_full_unstemmed Research on Precipitation Forecast Based on LSTM–CP Combined Model
title_sort research on precipitation forecast based on lstm–cp combined model
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/26159ca290c34267be2bb61213fe78a6
work_keys_str_mv AT yanguo researchonprecipitationforecastbasedonlstmcpcombinedmodel
AT weitang researchonprecipitationforecastbasedonlstmcpcombinedmodel
AT guanghuahou researchonprecipitationforecastbasedonlstmcpcombinedmodel
AT feipan researchonprecipitationforecastbasedonlstmcpcombinedmodel
AT yubowang researchonprecipitationforecastbasedonlstmcpcombinedmodel
AT weiwang researchonprecipitationforecastbasedonlstmcpcombinedmodel
_version_ 1718431515502706688