Crop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.

Accurate prediction of crop yield supported by scientific and domain-relevant insights, is useful to improve agricultural breeding, provide monitoring across diverse climatic conditions and thereby protect against climatic challenges to crop production. We used performance records from Uniform Soybe...

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Autores principales: Johnathon Shook, Tryambak Gangopadhyay, Linjiang Wu, Baskar Ganapathysubramanian, Soumik Sarkar, Asheesh K Singh
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/2725d1c2b5ff4022aef0b56c9f7c68bc
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:2725d1c2b5ff4022aef0b56c9f7c68bc2021-11-25T06:23:31ZCrop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0252402https://doaj.org/article/2725d1c2b5ff4022aef0b56c9f7c68bc2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252402https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Accurate prediction of crop yield supported by scientific and domain-relevant insights, is useful to improve agricultural breeding, provide monitoring across diverse climatic conditions and thereby protect against climatic challenges to crop production. We used performance records from Uniform Soybean Tests (UST) in North America to build a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)-Recurrent Neural Network based model that leveraged pedigree relatedness measures along with weekly weather parameters to dissect and predict genotype response in multiple-environments. Our proposed models outperformed other competing machine learning models such as Support Vector Regression with Radial Basis Function kernel (SVR-RBF), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and the data-driven USDA model for yield prediction. Additionally, for providing interpretability of the important time-windows in the growing season, we developed a temporal attention mechanism for LSTM models. The outputs of such interpretable models could provide valuable insights to plant breeders.Johnathon ShookTryambak GangopadhyayLinjiang WuBaskar GanapathysubramanianSoumik SarkarAsheesh K SinghPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 6, p e0252402 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Johnathon Shook
Tryambak Gangopadhyay
Linjiang Wu
Baskar Ganapathysubramanian
Soumik Sarkar
Asheesh K Singh
Crop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.
description Accurate prediction of crop yield supported by scientific and domain-relevant insights, is useful to improve agricultural breeding, provide monitoring across diverse climatic conditions and thereby protect against climatic challenges to crop production. We used performance records from Uniform Soybean Tests (UST) in North America to build a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)-Recurrent Neural Network based model that leveraged pedigree relatedness measures along with weekly weather parameters to dissect and predict genotype response in multiple-environments. Our proposed models outperformed other competing machine learning models such as Support Vector Regression with Radial Basis Function kernel (SVR-RBF), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and the data-driven USDA model for yield prediction. Additionally, for providing interpretability of the important time-windows in the growing season, we developed a temporal attention mechanism for LSTM models. The outputs of such interpretable models could provide valuable insights to plant breeders.
format article
author Johnathon Shook
Tryambak Gangopadhyay
Linjiang Wu
Baskar Ganapathysubramanian
Soumik Sarkar
Asheesh K Singh
author_facet Johnathon Shook
Tryambak Gangopadhyay
Linjiang Wu
Baskar Ganapathysubramanian
Soumik Sarkar
Asheesh K Singh
author_sort Johnathon Shook
title Crop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.
title_short Crop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.
title_full Crop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.
title_fullStr Crop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.
title_full_unstemmed Crop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.
title_sort crop yield prediction integrating genotype and weather variables using deep learning.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/2725d1c2b5ff4022aef0b56c9f7c68bc
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AT tryambakgangopadhyay cropyieldpredictionintegratinggenotypeandweathervariablesusingdeeplearning
AT linjiangwu cropyieldpredictionintegratinggenotypeandweathervariablesusingdeeplearning
AT baskarganapathysubramanian cropyieldpredictionintegratinggenotypeandweathervariablesusingdeeplearning
AT soumiksarkar cropyieldpredictionintegratinggenotypeandweathervariablesusingdeeplearning
AT asheeshksingh cropyieldpredictionintegratinggenotypeandweathervariablesusingdeeplearning
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