Large model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves

Understanding the uncertainties associated with urban heat wave (UHW) projection is critical for local actions to mitigate extreme heat risks in cities. Here, the authors show that choices of model structural design contribute a large proportion of the uncertainty in projecting UHWs under climate ch...

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Autores principales: Zhonghua Zheng, Lei Zhao, Keith W. Oleson
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/273b76a232524243a58ee7b350eed22f
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:273b76a232524243a58ee7b350eed22f2021-12-02T16:04:33ZLarge model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves10.1038/s41467-021-24113-92041-1723https://doaj.org/article/273b76a232524243a58ee7b350eed22f2021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-24113-9https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Understanding the uncertainties associated with urban heat wave (UHW) projection is critical for local actions to mitigate extreme heat risks in cities. Here, the authors show that choices of model structural design contribute a large proportion of the uncertainty in projecting UHWs under climate change.Zhonghua ZhengLei ZhaoKeith W. OlesonNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
Zhonghua Zheng
Lei Zhao
Keith W. Oleson
Large model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves
description Understanding the uncertainties associated with urban heat wave (UHW) projection is critical for local actions to mitigate extreme heat risks in cities. Here, the authors show that choices of model structural design contribute a large proportion of the uncertainty in projecting UHWs under climate change.
format article
author Zhonghua Zheng
Lei Zhao
Keith W. Oleson
author_facet Zhonghua Zheng
Lei Zhao
Keith W. Oleson
author_sort Zhonghua Zheng
title Large model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves
title_short Large model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves
title_full Large model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves
title_fullStr Large model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves
title_full_unstemmed Large model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves
title_sort large model structural uncertainty in global projections of urban heat waves
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/273b76a232524243a58ee7b350eed22f
work_keys_str_mv AT zhonghuazheng largemodelstructuraluncertaintyinglobalprojectionsofurbanheatwaves
AT leizhao largemodelstructuraluncertaintyinglobalprojectionsofurbanheatwaves
AT keithwoleson largemodelstructuraluncertaintyinglobalprojectionsofurbanheatwaves
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