The threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.

<h4>Background</h4>Comparative and predictive analyses of suicide data from different countries are difficult to perform due to varying approaches and the lack of comparative parameters.<h4>Methodology/principal findings</h4>A simple model (the Threshold Bias Model) was teste...

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Autor principal: Walter Sydney Dutra Folly
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2011
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/2754495e39184e23ae8d2415ac2cbaf4
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:2754495e39184e23ae8d2415ac2cbaf42021-11-18T06:46:49ZThe threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0024414https://doaj.org/article/2754495e39184e23ae8d2415ac2cbaf42011-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/21909431/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Background</h4>Comparative and predictive analyses of suicide data from different countries are difficult to perform due to varying approaches and the lack of comparative parameters.<h4>Methodology/principal findings</h4>A simple model (the Threshold Bias Model) was tested for comparative and predictive analyses of suicide rates by age. The model comprises of a six parameter distribution that was applied to the USA suicide rates by age for the years 2001 and 2002. Posteriorly, linear extrapolations are performed of the parameter values previously obtained for these years in order to estimate the values corresponding to the year 2003. The calculated distributions agreed reasonably well with the aggregate data. The model was also used to determine the age above which suicide rates become statistically observable in USA, Brazil and Sri Lanka.<h4>Conclusions/significance</h4>The Threshold Bias Model has considerable potential applications in demographic studies of suicide. Moreover, since the model can be used to predict the evolution of suicide rates based on information extracted from past data, it will be of great interest to suicidologists and other researchers in the field of mental health.Walter Sydney Dutra FollyPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 6, Iss 9, p e24414 (2011)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Walter Sydney Dutra Folly
The threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.
description <h4>Background</h4>Comparative and predictive analyses of suicide data from different countries are difficult to perform due to varying approaches and the lack of comparative parameters.<h4>Methodology/principal findings</h4>A simple model (the Threshold Bias Model) was tested for comparative and predictive analyses of suicide rates by age. The model comprises of a six parameter distribution that was applied to the USA suicide rates by age for the years 2001 and 2002. Posteriorly, linear extrapolations are performed of the parameter values previously obtained for these years in order to estimate the values corresponding to the year 2003. The calculated distributions agreed reasonably well with the aggregate data. The model was also used to determine the age above which suicide rates become statistically observable in USA, Brazil and Sri Lanka.<h4>Conclusions/significance</h4>The Threshold Bias Model has considerable potential applications in demographic studies of suicide. Moreover, since the model can be used to predict the evolution of suicide rates based on information extracted from past data, it will be of great interest to suicidologists and other researchers in the field of mental health.
format article
author Walter Sydney Dutra Folly
author_facet Walter Sydney Dutra Folly
author_sort Walter Sydney Dutra Folly
title The threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.
title_short The threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.
title_full The threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.
title_fullStr The threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.
title_full_unstemmed The threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.
title_sort threshold bias model: a mathematical model for the nomothetic approach of suicide.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2011
url https://doaj.org/article/2754495e39184e23ae8d2415ac2cbaf4
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