Energy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System

The development of the world’s electric power systems goes back over a century. During this period, the overwhelming majority of states have formed stable, typically centralized systems for generation, transmission, and distribution of electrical energy. At the same time, technologies, primarily for...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Vadim A. Golubev, Viktoria A. Verbnikova, Ilia A. Lopyrev, Daria D. Voznesenskaya, Rashid N. Alimov, Olga V. Novikova, Evgenii A. Konnikov
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	renewable energy sources non-conventional renewable energy sources RES NCRES electric power system information environment Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/2770457c48f84824b71054552933e1ce
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:2770457c48f84824b71054552933e1ce
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:2770457c48f84824b71054552933e1ce2021-11-25T19:05:36ZEnergy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System10.3390/su1322129192071-1050https://doaj.org/article/2770457c48f84824b71054552933e1ce2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/22/12919https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050The development of the world’s electric power systems goes back over a century. During this period, the overwhelming majority of states have formed stable, typically centralized systems for generation, transmission, and distribution of electrical energy. At the same time, technologies, primarily for energy generation, are steadily developing, which leads to the emergence of potentially effective technological solutions based on fundamentally new energy sources. The most rapidly expanding group at the moment are renewable energy sources (RES). This fact is due to the significant coverage of the potential environmental and economic benefits of using technologies based on RES in the information environment. At the same time, the process of transformation of traditional electric power systems, by integrating generation technologies based on the use of renewable energy sources, is extremely resource-intensive, and also potentially reducing the level of sustainability and efficiency of the entire system functioning as a whole. This thesis is primarily true for exclusively centralized power systems. The purpose of this study is to create a forecasting model for the development of non-conventional renewable energy sources (NCRES) for short, medium, and long term, which makes it possible to form an action plan to ensure a reliable and uninterrupted supplying of consumers, taking into account the existing electric power system. The developed model made it possible to identify the most promising directions of NCRES from the integration point of view, and for them the quantification and clustering of the information environment was carried out, which made it possible to identify key trends and the specifics of the development of technological solutions for these directions of renewable energy sources. The developed tool and systemic conclusions formulated on the basis of its application make it possible to develop mathematically sound solutions in the direction of managing the development of traditional electric power systems based on the integration of NCRES.Vadim A. GolubevViktoria A. VerbnikovaIlia A. LopyrevDaria D. VoznesenskayaRashid N. AlimovOlga V. NovikovaEvgenii A. KonnikovMDPI AGarticlerenewable energy sourcesnon-conventional renewable energy sourcesRESNCRESelectric power systeminformation environmentEnvironmental effects of industries and plantsTD194-195Renewable energy sourcesTJ807-830Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENSustainability, Vol 13, Iss 12919, p 12919 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	renewable energy sources non-conventional renewable energy sources RES NCRES electric power system information environment Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350
spellingShingle	renewable energy sources non-conventional renewable energy sources RES NCRES electric power system information environment Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Vadim A. Golubev Viktoria A. Verbnikova Ilia A. Lopyrev Daria D. Voznesenskaya Rashid N. Alimov Olga V. Novikova Evgenii A. Konnikov Energy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System
description	The development of the world’s electric power systems goes back over a century. During this period, the overwhelming majority of states have formed stable, typically centralized systems for generation, transmission, and distribution of electrical energy. At the same time, technologies, primarily for energy generation, are steadily developing, which leads to the emergence of potentially effective technological solutions based on fundamentally new energy sources. The most rapidly expanding group at the moment are renewable energy sources (RES). This fact is due to the significant coverage of the potential environmental and economic benefits of using technologies based on RES in the information environment. At the same time, the process of transformation of traditional electric power systems, by integrating generation technologies based on the use of renewable energy sources, is extremely resource-intensive, and also potentially reducing the level of sustainability and efficiency of the entire system functioning as a whole. This thesis is primarily true for exclusively centralized power systems. The purpose of this study is to create a forecasting model for the development of non-conventional renewable energy sources (NCRES) for short, medium, and long term, which makes it possible to form an action plan to ensure a reliable and uninterrupted supplying of consumers, taking into account the existing electric power system. The developed model made it possible to identify the most promising directions of NCRES from the integration point of view, and for them the quantification and clustering of the information environment was carried out, which made it possible to identify key trends and the specifics of the development of technological solutions for these directions of renewable energy sources. The developed tool and systemic conclusions formulated on the basis of its application make it possible to develop mathematically sound solutions in the direction of managing the development of traditional electric power systems based on the integration of NCRES.
format	article
author	Vadim A. Golubev Viktoria A. Verbnikova Ilia A. Lopyrev Daria D. Voznesenskaya Rashid N. Alimov Olga V. Novikova Evgenii A. Konnikov
author_facet	Vadim A. Golubev Viktoria A. Verbnikova Ilia A. Lopyrev Daria D. Voznesenskaya Rashid N. Alimov Olga V. Novikova Evgenii A. Konnikov
author_sort	Vadim A. Golubev
title	Energy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System
title_short	Energy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System
title_full	Energy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System
title_fullStr	Energy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System
title_full_unstemmed	Energy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System
title_sort	energy evolution: forecasting the development of non-conventional renewable energy sources and their impact on the conventional electricity system
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/2770457c48f84824b71054552933e1ce
work_keys_str_mv	AT vadimagolubev energyevolutionforecastingthedevelopmentofnonconventionalrenewableenergysourcesandtheirimpactontheconventionalelectricitysystem AT viktoriaaverbnikova energyevolutionforecastingthedevelopmentofnonconventionalrenewableenergysourcesandtheirimpactontheconventionalelectricitysystem AT iliaalopyrev energyevolutionforecastingthedevelopmentofnonconventionalrenewableenergysourcesandtheirimpactontheconventionalelectricitysystem AT dariadvoznesenskaya energyevolutionforecastingthedevelopmentofnonconventionalrenewableenergysourcesandtheirimpactontheconventionalelectricitysystem AT rashidnalimov energyevolutionforecastingthedevelopmentofnonconventionalrenewableenergysourcesandtheirimpactontheconventionalelectricitysystem AT olgavnovikova energyevolutionforecastingthedevelopmentofnonconventionalrenewableenergysourcesandtheirimpactontheconventionalelectricitysystem AT evgeniiakonnikov energyevolutionforecastingthedevelopmentofnonconventionalrenewableenergysourcesandtheirimpactontheconventionalelectricitysystem
_version_	1718410267053785088

Energy Evolution: Forecasting the Development of Non-Conventional Renewable Energy Sources and Their Impact on the Conventional Electricity System

Ejemplares similares