Exploring urban dynamics of crowding with COVID-19 incidence A case study of Mumbai and Bengaluru city in India

Cities are the economic hubs of any country and their production efficiency increases with size and density. However, the rapid spread of COVID-19 in almost all the major cities has raised several questions on the efficacy of urban densification. The objective of this paper is to understand this dyn...

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Autores principales: Sudha Panda, S.S. Ray
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Elsevier 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/278b492afe45447d8eaa8a3a13d1a35d
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:278b492afe45447d8eaa8a3a13d1a35d2021-11-26T04:30:36ZExploring urban dynamics of crowding with COVID-19 incidence A case study of Mumbai and Bengaluru city in India2226-585610.1016/j.jum.2021.08.002https://doaj.org/article/278b492afe45447d8eaa8a3a13d1a35d2021-12-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2226585621000728https://doaj.org/toc/2226-5856Cities are the economic hubs of any country and their production efficiency increases with size and density. However, the rapid spread of COVID-19 in almost all the major cities has raised several questions on the efficacy of urban densification. The objective of this paper is to understand this dynamic interplay between crowding and virus incidence. The research seeks to explain the impact of crowding parameters (population, net and gross density, street crowding, indoor crowding) on the spread of the contagion, together with the confounding explanatory variables (government policies, socioeconomic and environmental characteristics). The study is based on two metropolitan cities of India, namely Mumbai and Bengaluru, which are the hotspots of the infection. At a time when there is a huge debate of compact cities versus sprawling cities, the results are favorable towards densification as the study reveals that other crowding variables have a much higher correlation with the infection transmission than density. In fact, density follows a sub-linear relationship with transmission rate and after a threshold density; the transmission rate is almost independent of the population density. The findings show that contrary to popular belief, dense cities are resilient to pandemics.Sudha PandaS.S. RayElsevierarticleDensityStreet crowdingIndoor crowdingCOVID-19 incidence ratePopulationUrbanization. City and countryHT361-384Political institutions and public administration (General)JF20-2112ENJournal of Urban Management, Vol 10, Iss 4, Pp 345-356 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Density
Street crowding
Indoor crowding
COVID-19 incidence rate
Population
Urbanization. City and country
HT361-384
Political institutions and public administration (General)
JF20-2112
spellingShingle Density
Street crowding
Indoor crowding
COVID-19 incidence rate
Population
Urbanization. City and country
HT361-384
Political institutions and public administration (General)
JF20-2112
Sudha Panda
S.S. Ray
Exploring urban dynamics of crowding with COVID-19 incidence A case study of Mumbai and Bengaluru city in India
description Cities are the economic hubs of any country and their production efficiency increases with size and density. However, the rapid spread of COVID-19 in almost all the major cities has raised several questions on the efficacy of urban densification. The objective of this paper is to understand this dynamic interplay between crowding and virus incidence. The research seeks to explain the impact of crowding parameters (population, net and gross density, street crowding, indoor crowding) on the spread of the contagion, together with the confounding explanatory variables (government policies, socioeconomic and environmental characteristics). The study is based on two metropolitan cities of India, namely Mumbai and Bengaluru, which are the hotspots of the infection. At a time when there is a huge debate of compact cities versus sprawling cities, the results are favorable towards densification as the study reveals that other crowding variables have a much higher correlation with the infection transmission than density. In fact, density follows a sub-linear relationship with transmission rate and after a threshold density; the transmission rate is almost independent of the population density. The findings show that contrary to popular belief, dense cities are resilient to pandemics.
format article
author Sudha Panda
S.S. Ray
author_facet Sudha Panda
S.S. Ray
author_sort Sudha Panda
title Exploring urban dynamics of crowding with COVID-19 incidence A case study of Mumbai and Bengaluru city in India
title_short Exploring urban dynamics of crowding with COVID-19 incidence A case study of Mumbai and Bengaluru city in India
title_full Exploring urban dynamics of crowding with COVID-19 incidence A case study of Mumbai and Bengaluru city in India
title_fullStr Exploring urban dynamics of crowding with COVID-19 incidence A case study of Mumbai and Bengaluru city in India
title_full_unstemmed Exploring urban dynamics of crowding with COVID-19 incidence A case study of Mumbai and Bengaluru city in India
title_sort exploring urban dynamics of crowding with covid-19 incidence a case study of mumbai and bengaluru city in india
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/278b492afe45447d8eaa8a3a13d1a35d
work_keys_str_mv AT sudhapanda exploringurbandynamicsofcrowdingwithcovid19incidenceacasestudyofmumbaiandbengalurucityinindia
AT ssray exploringurbandynamicsofcrowdingwithcovid19incidenceacasestudyofmumbaiandbengalurucityinindia
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