Forecast Research on Multidimensional Influencing Factors of Global Offshore Wind Power Investment Based on Random Forest and Elastic Net

Recently, countries around the world have begun to develop low-carbon energy sources to alleviate energy shortage and cope with climate change. The offshore wind power has become a new direction for clean energy exploration. However, the accuracy of offshore wind power investment is still an urgent...

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Autores principales: Mingyu Li, Dongxiao Niu, Zhengsen Ji, Xiwen Cui, Lijie Sun
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/28068234055d4e5a88907d4052aef071
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:28068234055d4e5a88907d4052aef0712021-11-11T19:49:28ZForecast Research on Multidimensional Influencing Factors of Global Offshore Wind Power Investment Based on Random Forest and Elastic Net10.3390/su1321122622071-1050https://doaj.org/article/28068234055d4e5a88907d4052aef0712021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/21/12262https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050Recently, countries around the world have begun to develop low-carbon energy sources to alleviate energy shortage and cope with climate change. The offshore wind power has become a new direction for clean energy exploration. However, the accuracy of offshore wind power investment is still an urgent problem due to its complexity. Therefore, this paper investigates offshore wind power investment to improve the investment forecasting accuracy. In this study, the random forest (RF) algorithm was used to screen out the key factors influencing multi-dimensional global offshore wind power investment, and the elastic net (EN) was optimized using the ADMM algorithm and used in the global offshore wind power investment forecast model. The results show that the adoption of the random forest algorithm can effectively screen out the key influencing factors of global offshore wind power investment. Water depth, offshore distance and sweeping area have the most influence on the investment. Moreover, compared with other models, the elastic net optimized by ADMM can better reflect the changing trend of global offshore wind power investment, with smaller errors and a higher regression accuracy. The application of the RF–EN combined model can screen out effective factors from complex multi-dimensional influencing factors, and perform high-precision regression analysis, which is conducive to improving the global offshore wind power investment forecast. The conclusion obtained can set a more reasonable plan for the future construction and investment of global offshore wind power projects.Mingyu LiDongxiao NiuZhengsen JiXiwen CuiLijie SunMDPI AGarticleoffshore wind power investmentrandom forestelastic netregression forecastEnvironmental effects of industries and plantsTD194-195Renewable energy sourcesTJ807-830Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENSustainability, Vol 13, Iss 12262, p 12262 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic offshore wind power investment
random forest
elastic net
regression forecast
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle offshore wind power investment
random forest
elastic net
regression forecast
Environmental effects of industries and plants
TD194-195
Renewable energy sources
TJ807-830
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Mingyu Li
Dongxiao Niu
Zhengsen Ji
Xiwen Cui
Lijie Sun
Forecast Research on Multidimensional Influencing Factors of Global Offshore Wind Power Investment Based on Random Forest and Elastic Net
description Recently, countries around the world have begun to develop low-carbon energy sources to alleviate energy shortage and cope with climate change. The offshore wind power has become a new direction for clean energy exploration. However, the accuracy of offshore wind power investment is still an urgent problem due to its complexity. Therefore, this paper investigates offshore wind power investment to improve the investment forecasting accuracy. In this study, the random forest (RF) algorithm was used to screen out the key factors influencing multi-dimensional global offshore wind power investment, and the elastic net (EN) was optimized using the ADMM algorithm and used in the global offshore wind power investment forecast model. The results show that the adoption of the random forest algorithm can effectively screen out the key influencing factors of global offshore wind power investment. Water depth, offshore distance and sweeping area have the most influence on the investment. Moreover, compared with other models, the elastic net optimized by ADMM can better reflect the changing trend of global offshore wind power investment, with smaller errors and a higher regression accuracy. The application of the RF–EN combined model can screen out effective factors from complex multi-dimensional influencing factors, and perform high-precision regression analysis, which is conducive to improving the global offshore wind power investment forecast. The conclusion obtained can set a more reasonable plan for the future construction and investment of global offshore wind power projects.
format article
author Mingyu Li
Dongxiao Niu
Zhengsen Ji
Xiwen Cui
Lijie Sun
author_facet Mingyu Li
Dongxiao Niu
Zhengsen Ji
Xiwen Cui
Lijie Sun
author_sort Mingyu Li
title Forecast Research on Multidimensional Influencing Factors of Global Offshore Wind Power Investment Based on Random Forest and Elastic Net
title_short Forecast Research on Multidimensional Influencing Factors of Global Offshore Wind Power Investment Based on Random Forest and Elastic Net
title_full Forecast Research on Multidimensional Influencing Factors of Global Offshore Wind Power Investment Based on Random Forest and Elastic Net
title_fullStr Forecast Research on Multidimensional Influencing Factors of Global Offshore Wind Power Investment Based on Random Forest and Elastic Net
title_full_unstemmed Forecast Research on Multidimensional Influencing Factors of Global Offshore Wind Power Investment Based on Random Forest and Elastic Net
title_sort forecast research on multidimensional influencing factors of global offshore wind power investment based on random forest and elastic net
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/28068234055d4e5a88907d4052aef071
work_keys_str_mv AT mingyuli forecastresearchonmultidimensionalinfluencingfactorsofglobaloffshorewindpowerinvestmentbasedonrandomforestandelasticnet
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AT zhengsenji forecastresearchonmultidimensionalinfluencingfactorsofglobaloffshorewindpowerinvestmentbasedonrandomforestandelasticnet
AT xiwencui forecastresearchonmultidimensionalinfluencingfactorsofglobaloffshorewindpowerinvestmentbasedonrandomforestandelasticnet
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