Moore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.

Gordon Moore famously observed that the number of transistors in state-of-the-art integrated circuits (units per chip) increases exponentially, doubling every 12-24 months. Analysts have debated whether simple exponential growth describes the dynamics of computer processor evolution. We note that th...

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Autores principales:	David Burg, Jesse H Ausubel
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/282be42cc5d9417688fad76183c4de62
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:282be42cc5d9417688fad76183c4de622021-12-02T20:17:51ZMoore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0256245https://doaj.org/article/282be42cc5d9417688fad76183c4de622021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0256245https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Gordon Moore famously observed that the number of transistors in state-of-the-art integrated circuits (units per chip) increases exponentially, doubling every 12-24 months. Analysts have debated whether simple exponential growth describes the dynamics of computer processor evolution. We note that the increase encompasses two related phenomena, integration of larger numbers of transistors and transistor miniaturization. Growth in the number of transistors per unit area, or chip density, allows examination of the evolution with a single measure. Density of Intel processors between 1959 and 2013 are consistent with a biphasic sigmoidal curve with characteristic times of 9.5 years. During each stage, transistor density increased at least tenfold within approximately six years, followed by at least three years with negligible growth rates. The six waves of transistor density increase account for and give insight into the underlying processes driving advances in processor manufacturing and point to future limits that might be overcome.David BurgJesse H AusubelPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 8, p e0256245 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q David Burg Jesse H Ausubel Moore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.
description	Gordon Moore famously observed that the number of transistors in state-of-the-art integrated circuits (units per chip) increases exponentially, doubling every 12-24 months. Analysts have debated whether simple exponential growth describes the dynamics of computer processor evolution. We note that the increase encompasses two related phenomena, integration of larger numbers of transistors and transistor miniaturization. Growth in the number of transistors per unit area, or chip density, allows examination of the evolution with a single measure. Density of Intel processors between 1959 and 2013 are consistent with a biphasic sigmoidal curve with characteristic times of 9.5 years. During each stage, transistor density increased at least tenfold within approximately six years, followed by at least three years with negligible growth rates. The six waves of transistor density increase account for and give insight into the underlying processes driving advances in processor manufacturing and point to future limits that might be overcome.
format	article
author	David Burg Jesse H Ausubel
author_facet	David Burg Jesse H Ausubel
author_sort	David Burg
title	Moore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.
title_short	Moore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.
title_full	Moore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.
title_fullStr	Moore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.
title_full_unstemmed	Moore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.
title_sort	moore's law revisited through intel chip density.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/282be42cc5d9417688fad76183c4de62
work_keys_str_mv	AT davidburg mooreslawrevisitedthroughintelchipdensity AT jessehausubel mooreslawrevisitedthroughintelchipdensity
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Moore's Law revisited through Intel chip density.

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