The effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience

Governments around the world are beginning to plan for the effects of climate change. In Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, the city is implementing a variety of green infrastructure practices through the program Green Cities, Clean Waters to meet state and federal stormwater regulations. Though not a...

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Autores principales: Charlotte Shade, Peleg Kremer, Julia S. Rockwell, Keith G. Henderson
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Resilience Alliance 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/28361332ac364e269d42366f9e8a6a0f
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:28361332ac364e269d42366f9e8a6a0f2021-12-02T14:37:54ZThe effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience1708-308710.5751/ES-12076-250437https://doaj.org/article/28361332ac364e269d42366f9e8a6a0f2020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol25/iss4/art37/https://doaj.org/toc/1708-3087Governments around the world are beginning to plan for the effects of climate change. In Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, the city is implementing a variety of green infrastructure practices through the program Green Cities, Clean Waters to meet state and federal stormwater regulations. Though not a current goal of the program, when implemented effectively, a cobenefit of green infrastructure is increased local resilience to potential ecosystem alterations, such as increasing summer temperatures and heavier precipitation, also defined as climate change adaptation. We analyzed the potential of the Green City, Clean Waters plan to increase the city's resilience to the future consequences of climate change. Three future landcover models of Philadelphia were used to analyze climate change adaptation through green infrastructure in the near term, midcentury, and end of century under two climate change scenarios. Green infrastructure was overall found to locally decrease runoff throughout Philadelphia over time. Green infrastructure impact on surface temperature showed mixed results. Impact on runoff and surface temperature differed between types of green infrastructure. As the city is forecasted to grow warmer, wetter, and more urbanized over the century, runoff and local temperatures will increase on average throughout the city, despite the planned growth in green infrastructure. If increased resilience is to keep pace with climate change, the city government will need to expand its green infrastructure plan and consider the cobenefit of climate change adaptation when planning new projects. Additionally, for true climate change resiliency to be achieved, green infrastructure implementation must be connected to citywide greening efforts, accelerate and continue beyond the near term for localities to function as they do today.Charlotte ShadePeleg KremerJulia S. RockwellKeith G. HendersonResilience Alliancearticleclimate change resiliencecobenefitsgreen stormwater infrastructureurban stormwater runoffurban surface temperatureBiology (General)QH301-705.5EcologyQH540-549.5ENEcology and Society, Vol 25, Iss 4, p 37 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic climate change resilience
cobenefits
green stormwater infrastructure
urban stormwater runoff
urban surface temperature
Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Ecology
QH540-549.5
spellingShingle climate change resilience
cobenefits
green stormwater infrastructure
urban stormwater runoff
urban surface temperature
Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Ecology
QH540-549.5
Charlotte Shade
Peleg Kremer
Julia S. Rockwell
Keith G. Henderson
The effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience
description Governments around the world are beginning to plan for the effects of climate change. In Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, the city is implementing a variety of green infrastructure practices through the program Green Cities, Clean Waters to meet state and federal stormwater regulations. Though not a current goal of the program, when implemented effectively, a cobenefit of green infrastructure is increased local resilience to potential ecosystem alterations, such as increasing summer temperatures and heavier precipitation, also defined as climate change adaptation. We analyzed the potential of the Green City, Clean Waters plan to increase the city's resilience to the future consequences of climate change. Three future landcover models of Philadelphia were used to analyze climate change adaptation through green infrastructure in the near term, midcentury, and end of century under two climate change scenarios. Green infrastructure was overall found to locally decrease runoff throughout Philadelphia over time. Green infrastructure impact on surface temperature showed mixed results. Impact on runoff and surface temperature differed between types of green infrastructure. As the city is forecasted to grow warmer, wetter, and more urbanized over the century, runoff and local temperatures will increase on average throughout the city, despite the planned growth in green infrastructure. If increased resilience is to keep pace with climate change, the city government will need to expand its green infrastructure plan and consider the cobenefit of climate change adaptation when planning new projects. Additionally, for true climate change resiliency to be achieved, green infrastructure implementation must be connected to citywide greening efforts, accelerate and continue beyond the near term for localities to function as they do today.
format article
author Charlotte Shade
Peleg Kremer
Julia S. Rockwell
Keith G. Henderson
author_facet Charlotte Shade
Peleg Kremer
Julia S. Rockwell
Keith G. Henderson
author_sort Charlotte Shade
title The effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience
title_short The effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience
title_full The effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience
title_fullStr The effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience
title_full_unstemmed The effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience
title_sort effects of urban development and current green infrastructure policy on future climate change resilience
publisher Resilience Alliance
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/28361332ac364e269d42366f9e8a6a0f
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