Development and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.

<h4>Background</h4>We have investigated predictors of 90-day-mortality in a large cohort of non-specific cancer of unknown primary patients.<h4>Methods</h4>Predictors have been identified by univariate and then logistic regression analysis in a single-center cohort comprising...

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Autores principales: Nicolas Penel, Sylvie Negrier, Isabelle Ray-Coquard, Charles Ferte, Patrick Devos, Antoine Hollebecque, Michael B Sawyer, Antoine Adenis, Pascal Seve
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2009
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:2a93c6567a9443f396b3d2a0cf75cf432021-11-25T06:21:15ZDevelopment and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0006483https://doaj.org/article/2a93c6567a9443f396b3d2a0cf75cf432009-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/19649260/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Background</h4>We have investigated predictors of 90-day-mortality in a large cohort of non-specific cancer of unknown primary patients.<h4>Methods</h4>Predictors have been identified by univariate and then logistic regression analysis in a single-center cohort comprising 429 patients (development cohort). We identified four predictors that produced a predictive score that has been applied to an independent multi-institutional cohort of 409 patients (validation cohort). The score was the sum of predictors for each patient (0 to 4).<h4>Results</h4>The 90-day-mortality-rate was 33 and 26% in both cohorts. Multivariate analysis has identified 4 predictors for 90-day-mortality: performance status>1 (OR = 3.03, p = 0.001), at least one co-morbidity requiring treatment (OR = 2.68, p = 0.004), LDH>1.5 x the upper limit of normal (OR = 2.88, p = 0.007) and low albumin or protein levels (OR = 3.05, p = 0.007). In the development cohort, 90-day-mortality-rates were 12.5%, 32% and 64% when the score was [0-1], 2 and [3]-[4], respectively. In the validation cohort, risks were 13%, 25% and 62% according to the same score values.<h4>Conclusions</h4>We have validated a score that is easily calculated at the beside that estimates the 90-days mortality rate in non-specific CUP patients. This could be helpful to identify patients who would be better served with palliative care rather than aggressive chemotherapy.Nicolas PenelSylvie NegrierIsabelle Ray-CoquardCharles FertePatrick DevosAntoine HollebecqueMichael B SawyerAntoine AdenisPascal SevePublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 4, Iss 8, p e6483 (2009)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Nicolas Penel
Sylvie Negrier
Isabelle Ray-Coquard
Charles Ferte
Patrick Devos
Antoine Hollebecque
Michael B Sawyer
Antoine Adenis
Pascal Seve
Development and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.
description <h4>Background</h4>We have investigated predictors of 90-day-mortality in a large cohort of non-specific cancer of unknown primary patients.<h4>Methods</h4>Predictors have been identified by univariate and then logistic regression analysis in a single-center cohort comprising 429 patients (development cohort). We identified four predictors that produced a predictive score that has been applied to an independent multi-institutional cohort of 409 patients (validation cohort). The score was the sum of predictors for each patient (0 to 4).<h4>Results</h4>The 90-day-mortality-rate was 33 and 26% in both cohorts. Multivariate analysis has identified 4 predictors for 90-day-mortality: performance status>1 (OR = 3.03, p = 0.001), at least one co-morbidity requiring treatment (OR = 2.68, p = 0.004), LDH>1.5 x the upper limit of normal (OR = 2.88, p = 0.007) and low albumin or protein levels (OR = 3.05, p = 0.007). In the development cohort, 90-day-mortality-rates were 12.5%, 32% and 64% when the score was [0-1], 2 and [3]-[4], respectively. In the validation cohort, risks were 13%, 25% and 62% according to the same score values.<h4>Conclusions</h4>We have validated a score that is easily calculated at the beside that estimates the 90-days mortality rate in non-specific CUP patients. This could be helpful to identify patients who would be better served with palliative care rather than aggressive chemotherapy.
format article
author Nicolas Penel
Sylvie Negrier
Isabelle Ray-Coquard
Charles Ferte
Patrick Devos
Antoine Hollebecque
Michael B Sawyer
Antoine Adenis
Pascal Seve
author_facet Nicolas Penel
Sylvie Negrier
Isabelle Ray-Coquard
Charles Ferte
Patrick Devos
Antoine Hollebecque
Michael B Sawyer
Antoine Adenis
Pascal Seve
author_sort Nicolas Penel
title Development and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.
title_short Development and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.
title_full Development and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.
title_fullStr Development and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.
title_full_unstemmed Development and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.
title_sort development and validation of a bedside score to predict early death in cancer of unknown primary patients.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2009
url https://doaj.org/article/2a93c6567a9443f396b3d2a0cf75cf43
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