Does proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.

Although conflict, war, violence, and terrorism affect tourism, research that identifies possible channels of these effects is scarce. We explore if the adverse effects are channelled through proximity to conflict areas. We use the conflict in Kosovo in 1999 and the country Croatia as a quasi-natura...

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Autores principales:	Marina Tkalec, Ivan Žilić
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/2ad59973ea3e4bd99f6dfb74be19f05a
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:2ad59973ea3e4bd99f6dfb74be19f05a2021-12-02T20:13:37ZDoes proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0258195https://doaj.org/article/2ad59973ea3e4bd99f6dfb74be19f05a2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0258195https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Although conflict, war, violence, and terrorism affect tourism, research that identifies possible channels of these effects is scarce. We explore if the adverse effects are channelled through proximity to conflict areas. We use the conflict in Kosovo in 1999 and the country Croatia as a quasi-natural experiment and take advantage of the specific north-west to south-east orientation of Croatian Adriatic counties to identify the effect of NATO bombing in Kosovo on tourism outcomes as well as the potential proximity channel. Using data on the population of Croatian firms and the difference-in-differences identification strategy we find that tourism companies' revenues decreased significantly due to NATO bombing, especially in accommodation services and in companies with 50 or more employees. However, using a synthetic control approach we find that the adverse effect is only transitory. Analysing heterogeneous effects with respect to the distance of the firm from Kosovo-using a linear and a more flexible model-we find compelling evidence that within-country proximity to conflict is not a significant channel through which the negative effect propagates.Marina TkalecIvan ŽilićPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 10, p e0258195 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Marina Tkalec Ivan Žilić Does proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.
description	Although conflict, war, violence, and terrorism affect tourism, research that identifies possible channels of these effects is scarce. We explore if the adverse effects are channelled through proximity to conflict areas. We use the conflict in Kosovo in 1999 and the country Croatia as a quasi-natural experiment and take advantage of the specific north-west to south-east orientation of Croatian Adriatic counties to identify the effect of NATO bombing in Kosovo on tourism outcomes as well as the potential proximity channel. Using data on the population of Croatian firms and the difference-in-differences identification strategy we find that tourism companies' revenues decreased significantly due to NATO bombing, especially in accommodation services and in companies with 50 or more employees. However, using a synthetic control approach we find that the adverse effect is only transitory. Analysing heterogeneous effects with respect to the distance of the firm from Kosovo-using a linear and a more flexible model-we find compelling evidence that within-country proximity to conflict is not a significant channel through which the negative effect propagates.
format	article
author	Marina Tkalec Ivan Žilić
author_facet	Marina Tkalec Ivan Žilić
author_sort	Marina Tkalec
title	Does proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.
title_short	Does proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.
title_full	Does proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.
title_fullStr	Does proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.
title_full_unstemmed	Does proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.
title_sort	does proximity to conflict affect tourism: evidence from nato bombing.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/2ad59973ea3e4bd99f6dfb74be19f05a
work_keys_str_mv	AT marinatkalec doesproximitytoconflictaffecttourismevidencefromnatobombing AT ivanzilic doesproximitytoconflictaffecttourismevidencefromnatobombing
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Does proximity to conflict affect tourism: Evidence from NATO bombing.

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