THE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH

The Albanian factor of the Balkan policy, which received its first institutional design in the late 19th century – “Prizrenskaya League”, is currently a serious destructor of the situation in the Western Balkans (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), Macedonia, Serbia, Montenegro and partially reco...

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Autor principal:	E. G. Ponomareva
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	MGIMO University Press 2018
Materias:	«великая албания» International relations JZ2-6530
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/2b0be9b565cd4618b6bfe3772a18657f
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:2b0be9b565cd4618b6bfe3772a18657f2021-11-23T14:50:40ZTHE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH2071-81602541-909910.24833/2071-8160-2018-2-59-99-124https://doaj.org/article/2b0be9b565cd4618b6bfe3772a18657f2018-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/767https://doaj.org/toc/2071-8160https://doaj.org/toc/2541-9099The Albanian factor of the Balkan policy, which received its first institutional design in the late 19th century – “Prizrenskaya League”, is currently a serious destructor of the situation in the Western Balkans (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), Macedonia, Serbia, Montenegro and partially recognized Kosovo).On the basis of historical, demographic, cultural, religious and political facts the article explores the nature of Albanian irredentism and provides a substantiation of the possibility of implementing the scenario of “Albanization”, the development of which can proceed in two directions. In the first case the question is of creating a pan-Albanian (con)federative polity under the provisional name of “Great Albania” in the territories of Albania, Kosovo, western Macedonia (Republic of Ilirida), south-eastern Montenegro (Malesia) and north-western Greece (Chameria). In the second case the question is of the unification of the territories of Albanian residence through the association of Islamic provinces of the countries of the region. Special role in the implementation of the scenario is played by the structures of international terrorism which regard Kosovo as one of the central training zones for militants. Substantiation of the probability of the development and implementation of the scenario is given in four key parameters, including political, economic, military and cultural and religious spheres.Among the main actors of the scenario the author singles out the armed forces of Kosovo, Albanian paramilitary formations on the territory of western Macedonia, transnational corporations, private military companies, as well as the United States, Britain, Turkey and the Arab monarchies who support the project politically and financially.The article concludes that there is a need for an objective political assessment of the situation in the region, an analysis of security threats and risks of another round of destabilization of the Western Balkans. It has not only scientific but also practical implications for the formation of the Russian foreign policy agenda.E. G. PonomarevaMGIMO University Pressarticle«великая албания»International relationsJZ2-6530ENRUVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta, Vol 0, Iss 2(59), Pp 99-124 (2018)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	«великая албания» International relations JZ2-6530
spellingShingle	«великая албания» International relations JZ2-6530 E. G. Ponomareva THE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH
description	The Albanian factor of the Balkan policy, which received its first institutional design in the late 19th century – “Prizrenskaya League”, is currently a serious destructor of the situation in the Western Balkans (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), Macedonia, Serbia, Montenegro and partially recognized Kosovo).On the basis of historical, demographic, cultural, religious and political facts the article explores the nature of Albanian irredentism and provides a substantiation of the possibility of implementing the scenario of “Albanization”, the development of which can proceed in two directions. In the first case the question is of creating a pan-Albanian (con)federative polity under the provisional name of “Great Albania” in the territories of Albania, Kosovo, western Macedonia (Republic of Ilirida), south-eastern Montenegro (Malesia) and north-western Greece (Chameria). In the second case the question is of the unification of the territories of Albanian residence through the association of Islamic provinces of the countries of the region. Special role in the implementation of the scenario is played by the structures of international terrorism which regard Kosovo as one of the central training zones for militants. Substantiation of the probability of the development and implementation of the scenario is given in four key parameters, including political, economic, military and cultural and religious spheres.Among the main actors of the scenario the author singles out the armed forces of Kosovo, Albanian paramilitary formations on the territory of western Macedonia, transnational corporations, private military companies, as well as the United States, Britain, Turkey and the Arab monarchies who support the project politically and financially.The article concludes that there is a need for an objective political assessment of the situation in the region, an analysis of security threats and risks of another round of destabilization of the Western Balkans. It has not only scientific but also practical implications for the formation of the Russian foreign policy agenda.
format	article
author	E. G. Ponomareva
author_facet	E. G. Ponomareva
author_sort	E. G. Ponomareva
title	THE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH
title_short	THE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH
title_full	THE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH
title_fullStr	THE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH
title_full_unstemmed	THE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH
title_sort	albanian factor of destabilization of the western balkans: scenario approach
publisher	MGIMO University Press
publishDate	2018
url	https://doaj.org/article/2b0be9b565cd4618b6bfe3772a18657f
work_keys_str_mv	AT egponomareva thealbanianfactorofdestabilizationofthewesternbalkansscenarioapproach AT egponomareva albanianfactorofdestabilizationofthewesternbalkansscenarioapproach
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THE ALBANIAN FACTOR OF DESTABILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BALKANS: SCENARIO APPROACH

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