Low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.

<h4>Background</h4>Low resting heart rate (RHR) and low systolic blood pressure (SBP) are associated with criminal behavior. However, knowledge is lacking about their predictive value for reoffending.<h4>Aim</h4>We aimed to examine associations of RHR and SBP with reoffending...

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Autores principales: Sofi Oskarsson, Ralf Kuja-Halkola, Antti Latvala, Anneli Andersson, Miguel Garcia-Argibay, Bridget M Bertoldi, Adrian Raine, Christopher J Patrick, Henrik Larsson, Catherine Tuvblad
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/2c073e64fe3c485ba2189ff3f01da3e6
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:2c073e64fe3c485ba2189ff3f01da3e62021-12-02T20:17:42ZLow autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0256250https://doaj.org/article/2c073e64fe3c485ba2189ff3f01da3e62021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0256250https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Background</h4>Low resting heart rate (RHR) and low systolic blood pressure (SBP) are associated with criminal behavior. However, knowledge is lacking about their predictive value for reoffending.<h4>Aim</h4>We aimed to examine associations of RHR and SBP with reoffending in a large population-based sample.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted a cohort study of all convicted male conscripts born in Sweden 1958-1990 (N = 407,533). We obtained data by linking Swedish population-based registers. Predictor variables were RHR and SBP, measured at conscription which was mandatory until 2010 for men at age 18. The outcome variable was reoffending, defined as criminal convictions (any crime, violent crime and non-violent crime), obtained from the National Crime Register. We used survival analyses to test for associations of RHR and SBP with reoffending, adjusting for pertinent covariates such as socioeconomic status, height, weight and physical energy capacity.<h4>Results</h4>In fully adjusted Cox regression models, men with lower RHR (≤60 bpm) had higher risk of reoffending (any crime: HR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.19, violent crime: HR = 1.23, 95% CI: 1.17, 1.29, non-violent crime: HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.19), compared to men with higher RHR (≥ 82 bpm). Men with lower SBP (≤80 mmHg) had higher risk of reoffending (any crime: HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.17, 1.21, violent crime: HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.12, 1.20, non-violent crime: HR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.18, 1.22), compared to men with higher SBP (≥138 mmHg).<h4>Conclusions</h4>Low autonomic arousal is associated with increased risk of reoffending. RHR and SBP should be investigated further as potential predictors for reoffending as they each may have predictive value in risk assessment protocols.Sofi OskarssonRalf Kuja-HalkolaAntti LatvalaAnneli AnderssonMiguel Garcia-ArgibayBridget M BertoldiAdrian RaineChristopher J PatrickHenrik LarssonCatherine TuvbladPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 8, p e0256250 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Sofi Oskarsson
Ralf Kuja-Halkola
Antti Latvala
Anneli Andersson
Miguel Garcia-Argibay
Bridget M Bertoldi
Adrian Raine
Christopher J Patrick
Henrik Larsson
Catherine Tuvblad
Low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.
description <h4>Background</h4>Low resting heart rate (RHR) and low systolic blood pressure (SBP) are associated with criminal behavior. However, knowledge is lacking about their predictive value for reoffending.<h4>Aim</h4>We aimed to examine associations of RHR and SBP with reoffending in a large population-based sample.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted a cohort study of all convicted male conscripts born in Sweden 1958-1990 (N = 407,533). We obtained data by linking Swedish population-based registers. Predictor variables were RHR and SBP, measured at conscription which was mandatory until 2010 for men at age 18. The outcome variable was reoffending, defined as criminal convictions (any crime, violent crime and non-violent crime), obtained from the National Crime Register. We used survival analyses to test for associations of RHR and SBP with reoffending, adjusting for pertinent covariates such as socioeconomic status, height, weight and physical energy capacity.<h4>Results</h4>In fully adjusted Cox regression models, men with lower RHR (≤60 bpm) had higher risk of reoffending (any crime: HR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.19, violent crime: HR = 1.23, 95% CI: 1.17, 1.29, non-violent crime: HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.19), compared to men with higher RHR (≥ 82 bpm). Men with lower SBP (≤80 mmHg) had higher risk of reoffending (any crime: HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.17, 1.21, violent crime: HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.12, 1.20, non-violent crime: HR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.18, 1.22), compared to men with higher SBP (≥138 mmHg).<h4>Conclusions</h4>Low autonomic arousal is associated with increased risk of reoffending. RHR and SBP should be investigated further as potential predictors for reoffending as they each may have predictive value in risk assessment protocols.
format article
author Sofi Oskarsson
Ralf Kuja-Halkola
Antti Latvala
Anneli Andersson
Miguel Garcia-Argibay
Bridget M Bertoldi
Adrian Raine
Christopher J Patrick
Henrik Larsson
Catherine Tuvblad
author_facet Sofi Oskarsson
Ralf Kuja-Halkola
Antti Latvala
Anneli Andersson
Miguel Garcia-Argibay
Bridget M Bertoldi
Adrian Raine
Christopher J Patrick
Henrik Larsson
Catherine Tuvblad
author_sort Sofi Oskarsson
title Low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.
title_short Low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.
title_full Low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.
title_fullStr Low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.
title_full_unstemmed Low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.
title_sort low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: a population-based study.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/2c073e64fe3c485ba2189ff3f01da3e6
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