FUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA

Energy planning is an important tool for power system utility company and consumer’s profitability and satisfaction respectively. This paper is a study of energy planning (forecasting) in Ogun state of Nigeria using Fuzzy Logic model. Population and gross domestic product (GDP) are used as the inde...

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Autores principales:	ADE-IKUESAN OLANIKE OLUFISAYO, ATILOLA MORUFDEEN OLATUNBOSUN, OYEDEJI AJIBOLA OLUWAFEMI, ADEYEMI HEZEKIAH OLUWOLE
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Alma Mater Publishing House "Vasile Alecsandri" University of Bacau 2021
Materias:	energy planning, load forecasting, fuzzy logic, population, GDP, MAPE Technology T Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/2c0e4583d7624fd085f1308bf8e5fa11
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:2c0e4583d7624fd085f1308bf8e5fa112021-12-02T18:36:09ZFUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA10.29081/jesr.v26i4.2402068-75592344-4932https://doaj.org/article/2c0e4583d7624fd085f1308bf8e5fa112021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.jesr.ub.ro/1/article/view/240https://doaj.org/toc/2068-7559https://doaj.org/toc/2344-4932 Energy planning is an important tool for power system utility company and consumer’s profitability and satisfaction respectively. This paper is a study of energy planning (forecasting) in Ogun state of Nigeria using Fuzzy Logic model. Population and gross domestic product (GDP) are used as the independent variables to forecast load demand based on the previous load demand. After arranging the variables into 5 membership functions and the 19 rules were created, the fuzzy logic model forecast the annual load demand for the next 10 years with a percentage error margin 0.95 % to 21.79 % which results to a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 8.34 %. The result of the forecast shows that within the next 10 years, 2019 to 2028, an average power load of 1985.66 MWH will be required. ADE-IKUESAN OLANIKE OLUFISAYOATILOLA MORUFDEEN OLATUNBOSUNOYEDEJI AJIBOLA OLUWAFEMIADEYEMI HEZEKIAH OLUWOLEAlma Mater Publishing House "Vasile Alecsandri" University of Bacauarticleenergy planning, load forecasting, fuzzy logic, population, GDP, MAPETechnologyTEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040ENJournal of Engineering Studies and Research, Vol 26, Iss 4 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	energy planning, load forecasting, fuzzy logic, population, GDP, MAPE Technology T Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040
spellingShingle	energy planning, load forecasting, fuzzy logic, population, GDP, MAPE Technology T Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040 ADE-IKUESAN OLANIKE OLUFISAYO ATILOLA MORUFDEEN OLATUNBOSUN OYEDEJI AJIBOLA OLUWAFEMI ADEYEMI HEZEKIAH OLUWOLE FUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA
description	Energy planning is an important tool for power system utility company and consumer’s profitability and satisfaction respectively. This paper is a study of energy planning (forecasting) in Ogun state of Nigeria using Fuzzy Logic model. Population and gross domestic product (GDP) are used as the independent variables to forecast load demand based on the previous load demand. After arranging the variables into 5 membership functions and the 19 rules were created, the fuzzy logic model forecast the annual load demand for the next 10 years with a percentage error margin 0.95 % to 21.79 % which results to a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 8.34 %. The result of the forecast shows that within the next 10 years, 2019 to 2028, an average power load of 1985.66 MWH will be required.
format	article
author	ADE-IKUESAN OLANIKE OLUFISAYO ATILOLA MORUFDEEN OLATUNBOSUN OYEDEJI AJIBOLA OLUWAFEMI ADEYEMI HEZEKIAH OLUWOLE
author_facet	ADE-IKUESAN OLANIKE OLUFISAYO ATILOLA MORUFDEEN OLATUNBOSUN OYEDEJI AJIBOLA OLUWAFEMI ADEYEMI HEZEKIAH OLUWOLE
author_sort	ADE-IKUESAN OLANIKE OLUFISAYO
title	FUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA
title_short	FUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA
title_full	FUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA
title_fullStr	FUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA
title_full_unstemmed	FUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA
title_sort	fuzzy logic approach to energy planning in nigeria
publisher	Alma Mater Publishing House "Vasile Alecsandri" University of Bacau
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/2c0e4583d7624fd085f1308bf8e5fa11
work_keys_str_mv	AT adeikuesanolanikeolufisayo fuzzylogicapproachtoenergyplanninginnigeria AT atilolamorufdeenolatunbosun fuzzylogicapproachtoenergyplanninginnigeria AT oyedejiajibolaoluwafemi fuzzylogicapproachtoenergyplanninginnigeria AT adeyemihezekiaholuwole fuzzylogicapproachtoenergyplanninginnigeria
_version_	1718377850524925952

FUZZY LOGIC APPROACH TO ENERGY PLANNING IN NIGERIA

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