Unprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction

India, one of the most disaster-prone countries in the world, has suffered severe economic losses as well as life losses as per the World Focus report.1 More than 80% of its land and more than 50 million of its people are affected by weather disasters. Disaster mitigation necessitates reliable futur...

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Autores principales:	Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao, Karumuri Ashok, Dandu Govardhan
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
Materias:	KUM method extreme weather human suffering tropical cyclone monsoon Indian summer monsoon (ISM) Environmental sciences GE1-350
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/2f3a34edda65469098b2e25edbf85319
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:2f3a34edda65469098b2e25edbf853192021-11-15T06:23:19ZUnprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction2624-955310.3389/fclim.2021.716507https://doaj.org/article/2f3a34edda65469098b2e25edbf853192021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2021.716507/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2624-9553India, one of the most disaster-prone countries in the world, has suffered severe economic losses as well as life losses as per the World Focus report.1 More than 80% of its land and more than 50 million of its people are affected by weather disasters. Disaster mitigation necessitates reliable future predictions, which need focused climate change research. From the climate change perspective, the summer monsoon, the main lifeline of India, is predicted to change very adversely. The duration of the rainy season is going to shrink, and pre-monsoon drying can also occur. These future changes can impact the increase of vector-borne diseases, such as malaria, dengue, and others. In another recent study, 29 world experts from various institutions found that the largest exposure to disasters, such as tropical cyclones (TCs), river floods, droughts, and heat waves, is over India. For improved and skillful prediction, we suggest a three-stage cumulative method, namely, K is for observational analysis, U is for knowledge and understanding, and M is for modeling and prediction. In this brief note, we report our perspective of imminent weather disasters to India, namely, monsoons and TCs, and how the weather and climate forecasting can be improved, leading to better climate change adaptation.Vadlamudi Brahmananda RaoVadlamudi Brahmananda RaoKarumuri AshokDandu GovardhanFrontiers Media S.A.articleKUM methodextreme weatherhuman sufferingtropical cyclonemonsoonIndian summer monsoon (ISM)Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENFrontiers in Climate, Vol 3 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	KUM method extreme weather human suffering tropical cyclone monsoon Indian summer monsoon (ISM) Environmental sciences GE1-350
spellingShingle	KUM method extreme weather human suffering tropical cyclone monsoon Indian summer monsoon (ISM) Environmental sciences GE1-350 Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao Karumuri Ashok Dandu Govardhan Unprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction
description	India, one of the most disaster-prone countries in the world, has suffered severe economic losses as well as life losses as per the World Focus report.1 More than 80% of its land and more than 50 million of its people are affected by weather disasters. Disaster mitigation necessitates reliable future predictions, which need focused climate change research. From the climate change perspective, the summer monsoon, the main lifeline of India, is predicted to change very adversely. The duration of the rainy season is going to shrink, and pre-monsoon drying can also occur. These future changes can impact the increase of vector-borne diseases, such as malaria, dengue, and others. In another recent study, 29 world experts from various institutions found that the largest exposure to disasters, such as tropical cyclones (TCs), river floods, droughts, and heat waves, is over India. For improved and skillful prediction, we suggest a three-stage cumulative method, namely, K is for observational analysis, U is for knowledge and understanding, and M is for modeling and prediction. In this brief note, we report our perspective of imminent weather disasters to India, namely, monsoons and TCs, and how the weather and climate forecasting can be improved, leading to better climate change adaptation.
format	article
author	Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao Karumuri Ashok Dandu Govardhan
author_facet	Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao Karumuri Ashok Dandu Govardhan
author_sort	Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao
title	Unprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction
title_short	Unprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction
title_full	Unprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction
title_fullStr	Unprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction
title_full_unstemmed	Unprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction
title_sort	unprecedented climate change in india and a three-pronged method for reliable weather and climate prediction
publisher	Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/2f3a34edda65469098b2e25edbf85319
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Unprecedented Climate Change in India and a Three-Pronged Method for Reliable Weather and Climate Prediction

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