Socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: An empirical study.

In this study, we seek to perform macro analysis of fertility in a panel of 6 selected Pacific Island Countries (PICs, hereafter). The macro analysis with secondary data, mostly obtained from World Bank database, stretched over the period 1990-2019 was stacked randomly in a balanced panel set-up, wi...

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Autores principales: Sumeet Lal, Rup Singh, Keshmeer Makun, Nilesh Chand, Mohsin Khan
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/308088d75a734fa89fb1bb4ce0533cd6
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:308088d75a734fa89fb1bb4ce0533cd62021-12-02T20:14:17ZSocio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: An empirical study.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0257570https://doaj.org/article/308088d75a734fa89fb1bb4ce0533cd62021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257570https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203In this study, we seek to perform macro analysis of fertility in a panel of 6 selected Pacific Island Countries (PICs, hereafter). The macro analysis with secondary data, mostly obtained from World Bank database, stretched over the period 1990-2019 was stacked randomly in a balanced panel set-up, within which the most preferred fixed effect model is used for multivariate analysis. Pooled OLS and Random effect estimation techniques were applied for comparing results. Categories such as women's empowerment, health, connectivity and cost of living were used to classify proxy variables as regressors for fertility determination. The results indicate variables such as contraceptive prevalence rate, female labour force participation rate and consumer price index (inflation) are negatively correlated with fertility at 1% level, while urbanisation is negatively correlated with fertility rate only at 10% significance level. Real GDP has negative relationship with fertility, however it is not statistically significant. Variables that are positively correlated with fertility but hold limited to no significance effects are female secondary enrolment, female population, mobile subscription and infant mortality rate. It is implied that those variables that are negatively associated with fertility, as well as Real GDP will be the major drivers for achieving replacement level fertility in the long run.Sumeet LalRup SinghKeshmeer MakunNilesh ChandMohsin KhanPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 9, p e0257570 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Sumeet Lal
Rup Singh
Keshmeer Makun
Nilesh Chand
Mohsin Khan
Socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: An empirical study.
description In this study, we seek to perform macro analysis of fertility in a panel of 6 selected Pacific Island Countries (PICs, hereafter). The macro analysis with secondary data, mostly obtained from World Bank database, stretched over the period 1990-2019 was stacked randomly in a balanced panel set-up, within which the most preferred fixed effect model is used for multivariate analysis. Pooled OLS and Random effect estimation techniques were applied for comparing results. Categories such as women's empowerment, health, connectivity and cost of living were used to classify proxy variables as regressors for fertility determination. The results indicate variables such as contraceptive prevalence rate, female labour force participation rate and consumer price index (inflation) are negatively correlated with fertility at 1% level, while urbanisation is negatively correlated with fertility rate only at 10% significance level. Real GDP has negative relationship with fertility, however it is not statistically significant. Variables that are positively correlated with fertility but hold limited to no significance effects are female secondary enrolment, female population, mobile subscription and infant mortality rate. It is implied that those variables that are negatively associated with fertility, as well as Real GDP will be the major drivers for achieving replacement level fertility in the long run.
format article
author Sumeet Lal
Rup Singh
Keshmeer Makun
Nilesh Chand
Mohsin Khan
author_facet Sumeet Lal
Rup Singh
Keshmeer Makun
Nilesh Chand
Mohsin Khan
author_sort Sumeet Lal
title Socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: An empirical study.
title_short Socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: An empirical study.
title_full Socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: An empirical study.
title_fullStr Socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: An empirical study.
title_full_unstemmed Socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: An empirical study.
title_sort socio-economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected pacific island countries: an empirical study.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/308088d75a734fa89fb1bb4ce0533cd6
work_keys_str_mv AT sumeetlal socioeconomicanddemographicdeterminantsoffertilityinsixselectedpacificislandcountriesanempiricalstudy
AT rupsingh socioeconomicanddemographicdeterminantsoffertilityinsixselectedpacificislandcountriesanempiricalstudy
AT keshmeermakun socioeconomicanddemographicdeterminantsoffertilityinsixselectedpacificislandcountriesanempiricalstudy
AT nileshchand socioeconomicanddemographicdeterminantsoffertilityinsixselectedpacificislandcountriesanempiricalstudy
AT mohsinkhan socioeconomicanddemographicdeterminantsoffertilityinsixselectedpacificislandcountriesanempiricalstudy
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