MODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS

A project risk modeling procedure based on the network planning method has been presented. It has been assumed, that each risk can be associated with some positive or negative event or its combination, which can be added to the network model of the project. Depending on the conditions under which ri...

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Autor principal:	A. I. Denisova
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	RU
Publicado:	Publishing House of the State University of Management 2020
Materias:	project management risk modeling project risk assessment network planning simulation software Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/30ecc58b75b94d9d9223d90fa518c1d5
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:30ecc58b75b94d9d9223d90fa518c1d5
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:30ecc58b75b94d9d9223d90fa518c1d52021-12-03T07:43:30ZMODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS1816-42772686-841510.26425/1816-4277-2019-12-56-65https://doaj.org/article/30ecc58b75b94d9d9223d90fa518c1d52020-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/1928https://doaj.org/toc/1816-4277https://doaj.org/toc/2686-8415A project risk modeling procedure based on the network planning method has been presented. It has been assumed, that each risk can be associated with some positive or negative event or its combination, which can be added to the network model of the project. Depending on the conditions under which risk events occur, various scenarios are developed. For each scenario, a series of Monte Carlo tests is accomplished. The value of the risk is estimated based on the expected values of the traditional financial and temporal characteristics of the project. The described procedure is checked on an illustrative example of the infrastructure project, which consists in laying a section of the pipeline along the seabed. The software implementation of discrete optimization algorithms for the project plan and simulation tests has been implemented in the framework of an automated scenario modeling system using Python.A. I. DenisovaPublishing House of the State University of Managementarticleproject managementrisk modelingproject risk assessmentnetwork planningsimulationsoftwareSociology (General)HM401-1281Economics as a scienceHB71-74RUВестник университета, Vol 1, Iss 12, Pp 56-65 (2020)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	RU
topic	project management risk modeling project risk assessment network planning simulation software Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74
spellingShingle	project management risk modeling project risk assessment network planning simulation software Sociology (General) HM401-1281 Economics as a science HB71-74 A. I. Denisova MODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS
description	A project risk modeling procedure based on the network planning method has been presented. It has been assumed, that each risk can be associated with some positive or negative event or its combination, which can be added to the network model of the project. Depending on the conditions under which risk events occur, various scenarios are developed. For each scenario, a series of Monte Carlo tests is accomplished. The value of the risk is estimated based on the expected values of the traditional financial and temporal characteristics of the project. The described procedure is checked on an illustrative example of the infrastructure project, which consists in laying a section of the pipeline along the seabed. The software implementation of discrete optimization algorithms for the project plan and simulation tests has been implemented in the framework of an automated scenario modeling system using Python.
format	article
author	A. I. Denisova
author_facet	A. I. Denisova
author_sort	A. I. Denisova
title	MODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS
title_short	MODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS
title_full	MODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS
title_fullStr	MODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS
title_full_unstemmed	MODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS
title_sort	modeling the risks of developing and implementing the infrastructure project based on network planning methods
publisher	Publishing House of the State University of Management
publishDate	2020
url	https://doaj.org/article/30ecc58b75b94d9d9223d90fa518c1d5
work_keys_str_mv	AT aidenisova modelingtherisksofdevelopingandimplementingtheinfrastructureprojectbasedonnetworkplanningmethods
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MODELING THE RISKS OF DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT BASED ON NETWORK PLANNING METHODS

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