Ambient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide

Abstract We studied globally representative data to quantify how daily fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations influence both daily stock market returns and volatility. Time-series analysis was applied on 47 city-level environmental and economic datasets and meta-analysis of the city-specific...

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Autores principales: Simo-Pekka Kiihamäki, Marko Korhonen, Jouni J. K. Jaakkola
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/320dd1c3773b426a8e892f7cb7c697c2
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:320dd1c3773b426a8e892f7cb7c697c22021-12-02T18:27:46ZAmbient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide10.1038/s41598-021-88041-w2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/320dd1c3773b426a8e892f7cb7c697c22021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-88041-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We studied globally representative data to quantify how daily fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations influence both daily stock market returns and volatility. Time-series analysis was applied on 47 city-level environmental and economic datasets and meta-analysis of the city-specific estimates was used to generate a global summary effect estimate. We found that, on average, a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 reduces same day returns by 1.2% (regression coefficient: − 0.012, 95% confidence interval: − 0.021, − 0.003) Based on a meta-regression, these associations are stronger in areas where the average PM2.5 concentrations are lower, the mean returns are higher, and where the local stock market capitalization is low. Our results suggest that a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure increases stock market volatility by 0.2% (regression coefficient 0.002, 95% CI 0.000, 0.004), but the city-specific estimates were heterogeneous. Meta-regression analysis did not explain much of the between-city heterogeneity. Our results provide global evidence that short-term exposure to air pollution both reduces daily stock market returns and increases volatility.Simo-Pekka KiihamäkiMarko KorhonenJouni J. K. JaakkolaNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Simo-Pekka Kiihamäki
Marko Korhonen
Jouni J. K. Jaakkola
Ambient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide
description Abstract We studied globally representative data to quantify how daily fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations influence both daily stock market returns and volatility. Time-series analysis was applied on 47 city-level environmental and economic datasets and meta-analysis of the city-specific estimates was used to generate a global summary effect estimate. We found that, on average, a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 reduces same day returns by 1.2% (regression coefficient: − 0.012, 95% confidence interval: − 0.021, − 0.003) Based on a meta-regression, these associations are stronger in areas where the average PM2.5 concentrations are lower, the mean returns are higher, and where the local stock market capitalization is low. Our results suggest that a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure increases stock market volatility by 0.2% (regression coefficient 0.002, 95% CI 0.000, 0.004), but the city-specific estimates were heterogeneous. Meta-regression analysis did not explain much of the between-city heterogeneity. Our results provide global evidence that short-term exposure to air pollution both reduces daily stock market returns and increases volatility.
format article
author Simo-Pekka Kiihamäki
Marko Korhonen
Jouni J. K. Jaakkola
author_facet Simo-Pekka Kiihamäki
Marko Korhonen
Jouni J. K. Jaakkola
author_sort Simo-Pekka Kiihamäki
title Ambient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide
title_short Ambient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide
title_full Ambient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide
title_fullStr Ambient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide
title_full_unstemmed Ambient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide
title_sort ambient particulate air pollution and daily stock market returns and volatility in 47 cities worldwide
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/320dd1c3773b426a8e892f7cb7c697c2
work_keys_str_mv AT simopekkakiihamaki ambientparticulateairpollutionanddailystockmarketreturnsandvolatilityin47citiesworldwide
AT markokorhonen ambientparticulateairpollutionanddailystockmarketreturnsandvolatilityin47citiesworldwide
AT jounijkjaakkola ambientparticulateairpollutionanddailystockmarketreturnsandvolatilityin47citiesworldwide
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