From food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.

Achieving global food security is one of the major challenges of the coming decades. In order to tackle future food security challenges we must understand the past. This study presents a historical analysis of global food availability, one of the key elements of food security. By calculating nationa...

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Autores principales: Miina Porkka, Matti Kummu, Stefan Siebert, Olli Varis
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/32ab26be5a314bce95a6db215f8dca3b
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:32ab26be5a314bce95a6db215f8dca3b2021-11-18T08:41:21ZFrom food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0082714https://doaj.org/article/32ab26be5a314bce95a6db215f8dca3b2013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24367545/pdf/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Achieving global food security is one of the major challenges of the coming decades. In order to tackle future food security challenges we must understand the past. This study presents a historical analysis of global food availability, one of the key elements of food security. By calculating national level dietary energy supply and production for nine time steps during 1965-2005 we classify countries based on their food availability, food self-sufficiency and food trade. We also look at how diets have changed during this period with regard to supply of animal based calories. Our results show that food availability has increased substantially both in absolute and relative terms. The percentage of population living in countries with sufficient food supply (>2500 kcal/cap/d) has almost doubled from 33% in 1965 to 61% in 2005. The population living with critically low food supply (<2000 kcal/cap/d) has dropped from 52% to 3%. Largest improvements are seen in the MENA region, Latin America, China and Southeast Asia. Besides, the composition of diets has changed considerably within the study period: the world population living with high supply of animal source food (>15% of dietary energy supply) increased from 33% to over 50%. While food supply has increased globally, food self-sufficiency (domestic production>2500 kcal/cap/d) has not changed remarkably. In the beginning of the study period insufficient domestic production meant insufficient food supply, but in recent years the deficit has been increasingly compensated by rising food imports. This highlights the growing importance of food trade, either for food supply in importing countries or as a source of income for exporters. Our results provide a basis for understanding past global food system dynamics which, in turn, can benefit research on future food security.Miina PorkkaMatti KummuStefan SiebertOlli VarisPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 12, p e82714 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Miina Porkka
Matti Kummu
Stefan Siebert
Olli Varis
From food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.
description Achieving global food security is one of the major challenges of the coming decades. In order to tackle future food security challenges we must understand the past. This study presents a historical analysis of global food availability, one of the key elements of food security. By calculating national level dietary energy supply and production for nine time steps during 1965-2005 we classify countries based on their food availability, food self-sufficiency and food trade. We also look at how diets have changed during this period with regard to supply of animal based calories. Our results show that food availability has increased substantially both in absolute and relative terms. The percentage of population living in countries with sufficient food supply (>2500 kcal/cap/d) has almost doubled from 33% in 1965 to 61% in 2005. The population living with critically low food supply (<2000 kcal/cap/d) has dropped from 52% to 3%. Largest improvements are seen in the MENA region, Latin America, China and Southeast Asia. Besides, the composition of diets has changed considerably within the study period: the world population living with high supply of animal source food (>15% of dietary energy supply) increased from 33% to over 50%. While food supply has increased globally, food self-sufficiency (domestic production>2500 kcal/cap/d) has not changed remarkably. In the beginning of the study period insufficient domestic production meant insufficient food supply, but in recent years the deficit has been increasingly compensated by rising food imports. This highlights the growing importance of food trade, either for food supply in importing countries or as a source of income for exporters. Our results provide a basis for understanding past global food system dynamics which, in turn, can benefit research on future food security.
format article
author Miina Porkka
Matti Kummu
Stefan Siebert
Olli Varis
author_facet Miina Porkka
Matti Kummu
Stefan Siebert
Olli Varis
author_sort Miina Porkka
title From food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.
title_short From food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.
title_full From food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.
title_fullStr From food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.
title_full_unstemmed From food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.
title_sort from food insufficiency towards trade dependency: a historical analysis of global food availability.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/32ab26be5a314bce95a6db215f8dca3b
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