Hazardous Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Predialysis Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Assessed by Machine Learning Method Feature Selection

<i>Background</i>: Low-dose aspirin (100 mg) is widely used in preventing cardiovascular disease in chronic kidney disease (CKD) because its benefits outweighs the harm, however, its effect on clinical outcomes in patients with predialysis advanced CKD is still unclear. This study aimed...

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Autores principales: Ming-Hsien Tsai, Hung-Hsiang Liou, Yen-Chun Huang, Tian-Shyug Lee, Mingchih Chen, Yu-Wei Fang
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Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/32b7f629c96148328af6c502461415dd
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:32b7f629c96148328af6c502461415dd2021-11-25T17:44:37ZHazardous Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Predialysis Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Assessed by Machine Learning Method Feature Selection10.3390/healthcare91114842227-9032https://doaj.org/article/32b7f629c96148328af6c502461415dd2021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/9/11/1484https://doaj.org/toc/2227-9032<i>Background</i>: Low-dose aspirin (100 mg) is widely used in preventing cardiovascular disease in chronic kidney disease (CKD) because its benefits outweighs the harm, however, its effect on clinical outcomes in patients with predialysis advanced CKD is still unclear. This study aimed to assess the effect of aspirin use on clinical outcomes in such group. <i>Methods</i>: Patients were selected from a nationwide diabetes database from January 2009 to June 2017, and divided into two groups, a case group with aspirin use (<i>n</i> = 3021) and a control group without aspirin use (<i>n</i> = 9063), by propensity score matching with a 1:3 ratio. The Cox regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR). Moreover, machine learning method feature selection was used to assess the importance of parameters in the clinical outcomes. <i>Results</i>: In a mean follow-up of 1.54 years, aspirin use was associated with higher risk for entering dialysis (HR, 1.15 [95%CI, 1.10–1.21]) and death before entering dialysis (1.46 [1.25–1.71]), which were also supported by feature selection. The renal effect of aspirin use was consistent across patient subgroups. Nonusers and aspirin users did not show a significant difference, except for gastrointestinal bleeding (1.05 [0.96–1.15]), intracranial hemorrhage events (1.23 [0.98–1.55]), or ischemic stroke (1.15 [0.98–1.55]). <i>Conclusions</i>: Patients with predialysis advanced CKD and anemia who received aspirin exhibited higher risk of entering dialysis and death before entering dialysis by 15% and 46%, respectively.Ming-Hsien TsaiHung-Hsiang LiouYen-Chun HuangTian-Shyug LeeMingchih ChenYu-Wei FangMDPI AGarticlechronic kidney diseasereal-world evidencemachine learningaspirinnonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugsdialysisMedicineRENHealthcare, Vol 9, Iss 1484, p 1484 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic chronic kidney disease
real-world evidence
machine learning
aspirin
nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs
dialysis
Medicine
R
spellingShingle chronic kidney disease
real-world evidence
machine learning
aspirin
nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs
dialysis
Medicine
R
Ming-Hsien Tsai
Hung-Hsiang Liou
Yen-Chun Huang
Tian-Shyug Lee
Mingchih Chen
Yu-Wei Fang
Hazardous Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Predialysis Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Assessed by Machine Learning Method Feature Selection
description <i>Background</i>: Low-dose aspirin (100 mg) is widely used in preventing cardiovascular disease in chronic kidney disease (CKD) because its benefits outweighs the harm, however, its effect on clinical outcomes in patients with predialysis advanced CKD is still unclear. This study aimed to assess the effect of aspirin use on clinical outcomes in such group. <i>Methods</i>: Patients were selected from a nationwide diabetes database from January 2009 to June 2017, and divided into two groups, a case group with aspirin use (<i>n</i> = 3021) and a control group without aspirin use (<i>n</i> = 9063), by propensity score matching with a 1:3 ratio. The Cox regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR). Moreover, machine learning method feature selection was used to assess the importance of parameters in the clinical outcomes. <i>Results</i>: In a mean follow-up of 1.54 years, aspirin use was associated with higher risk for entering dialysis (HR, 1.15 [95%CI, 1.10–1.21]) and death before entering dialysis (1.46 [1.25–1.71]), which were also supported by feature selection. The renal effect of aspirin use was consistent across patient subgroups. Nonusers and aspirin users did not show a significant difference, except for gastrointestinal bleeding (1.05 [0.96–1.15]), intracranial hemorrhage events (1.23 [0.98–1.55]), or ischemic stroke (1.15 [0.98–1.55]). <i>Conclusions</i>: Patients with predialysis advanced CKD and anemia who received aspirin exhibited higher risk of entering dialysis and death before entering dialysis by 15% and 46%, respectively.
format article
author Ming-Hsien Tsai
Hung-Hsiang Liou
Yen-Chun Huang
Tian-Shyug Lee
Mingchih Chen
Yu-Wei Fang
author_facet Ming-Hsien Tsai
Hung-Hsiang Liou
Yen-Chun Huang
Tian-Shyug Lee
Mingchih Chen
Yu-Wei Fang
author_sort Ming-Hsien Tsai
title Hazardous Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Predialysis Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Assessed by Machine Learning Method Feature Selection
title_short Hazardous Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Predialysis Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Assessed by Machine Learning Method Feature Selection
title_full Hazardous Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Predialysis Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Assessed by Machine Learning Method Feature Selection
title_fullStr Hazardous Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Predialysis Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Assessed by Machine Learning Method Feature Selection
title_full_unstemmed Hazardous Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin in Patients with Predialysis Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Assessed by Machine Learning Method Feature Selection
title_sort hazardous effect of low-dose aspirin in patients with predialysis advanced chronic kidney disease assessed by machine learning method feature selection
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/32b7f629c96148328af6c502461415dd
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