A Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters

Increasing the market share of low-emission vehicles in relation to individual mobility is one of the main postulates of modern transport policy. In the discussion on low-emission and the new structure of the car fleet, the role of new vehicles is emphasized above all, ignoring the importance of the...

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Autores principales:	Piotr Wróblewski, Wojciech Lewicki
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	low-emission electromobility residual value exploitation factors numerical modeling development policy Technology T
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/3378f5ea764b4b14b5fc0f70833ffac4
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:3378f5ea764b4b14b5fc0f70833ffac4
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:3378f5ea764b4b14b5fc0f70833ffac42021-11-11T15:43:07ZA Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters10.3390/en142168591996-1073https://doaj.org/article/3378f5ea764b4b14b5fc0f70833ffac42021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/21/6859https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073Increasing the market share of low-emission vehicles in relation to individual mobility is one of the main postulates of modern transport policy. In the discussion on low-emission and the new structure of the car fleet, the role of new vehicles is emphasized above all, ignoring the importance of the secondary market. In recent years, both in Poland and in other European Union countries, there has been a noticeable dynamic development of electromobility implementation processes in urban areas, the initial effect of which is increasing market accessibility to commercial vehicles with electric EV/BEV, hybrid HEV/PHEV and fuel cell powered FCEV. As in the case of vehicles powered by conventional ICEV fuels, also in relation to those defined as low-emission, their residual value is lost along with the operational process. Information on this variable is important both for the owner of a newly purchased vehicle, which after the period of its operation will decide to sell it as well as to the future buyer. The scientific aim of the study is to analyze the residual values of selected vehicle models from the primary and secondary market, with particular emphasis on stochastic operational phenomena. The subject of the research is to obtain extensive knowledge on the achieved changes in the residual values of low-emission vehicles in relation to ICEVs. For this purpose, a comparative analysis of the commercial program, data approximated from auction portals and own numerical modeling tool based on a neural network was performed. The research sample included, among others, selected models of passenger cars, the purchase offer of which included the choice of a drive unit powered by conventional and low-emission fuels. The use of this method allowed to answer the question whether low-emission vehicles are characterized by a greater or lesser loss of value in relation to conventionally powered vehicles ICEV.Piotr WróblewskiWojciech LewickiMDPI AGarticlelow-emissionelectromobilityresidual valueexploitation factorsnumerical modelingdevelopment policyTechnologyTENEnergies, Vol 14, Iss 6859, p 6859 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	low-emission electromobility residual value exploitation factors numerical modeling development policy Technology T
spellingShingle	low-emission electromobility residual value exploitation factors numerical modeling development policy Technology T Piotr Wróblewski Wojciech Lewicki A Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters
description	Increasing the market share of low-emission vehicles in relation to individual mobility is one of the main postulates of modern transport policy. In the discussion on low-emission and the new structure of the car fleet, the role of new vehicles is emphasized above all, ignoring the importance of the secondary market. In recent years, both in Poland and in other European Union countries, there has been a noticeable dynamic development of electromobility implementation processes in urban areas, the initial effect of which is increasing market accessibility to commercial vehicles with electric EV/BEV, hybrid HEV/PHEV and fuel cell powered FCEV. As in the case of vehicles powered by conventional ICEV fuels, also in relation to those defined as low-emission, their residual value is lost along with the operational process. Information on this variable is important both for the owner of a newly purchased vehicle, which after the period of its operation will decide to sell it as well as to the future buyer. The scientific aim of the study is to analyze the residual values of selected vehicle models from the primary and secondary market, with particular emphasis on stochastic operational phenomena. The subject of the research is to obtain extensive knowledge on the achieved changes in the residual values of low-emission vehicles in relation to ICEVs. For this purpose, a comparative analysis of the commercial program, data approximated from auction portals and own numerical modeling tool based on a neural network was performed. The research sample included, among others, selected models of passenger cars, the purchase offer of which included the choice of a drive unit powered by conventional and low-emission fuels. The use of this method allowed to answer the question whether low-emission vehicles are characterized by a greater or lesser loss of value in relation to conventionally powered vehicles ICEV.
format	article
author	Piotr Wróblewski Wojciech Lewicki
author_facet	Piotr Wróblewski Wojciech Lewicki
author_sort	Piotr Wróblewski
title	A Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters
title_short	A Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters
title_full	A Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters
title_fullStr	A Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters
title_full_unstemmed	A Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters
title_sort	method of analyzing the residual values of low-emission vehicles based on a selected expert method taking into account stochastic operational parameters
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/3378f5ea764b4b14b5fc0f70833ffac4
work_keys_str_mv	AT piotrwroblewski amethodofanalyzingtheresidualvaluesoflowemissionvehiclesbasedonaselectedexpertmethodtakingintoaccountstochasticoperationalparameters AT wojciechlewicki amethodofanalyzingtheresidualvaluesoflowemissionvehiclesbasedonaselectedexpertmethodtakingintoaccountstochasticoperationalparameters AT piotrwroblewski methodofanalyzingtheresidualvaluesoflowemissionvehiclesbasedonaselectedexpertmethodtakingintoaccountstochasticoperationalparameters AT wojciechlewicki methodofanalyzingtheresidualvaluesoflowemissionvehiclesbasedonaselectedexpertmethodtakingintoaccountstochasticoperationalparameters
_version_	1718434075211988992

A Method of Analyzing the Residual Values of Low-Emission Vehicles Based on a Selected Expert Method Taking into Account Stochastic Operational Parameters

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