Analysis of climate anomalies for La Villa river basin, Panama, based on RCP scenarios

The use of climate change projections is crucial for mitigation and adaptation, which are the basis for creating resilience. However, access to these scientific products is scarce in Latin America and the existing studies lack of an appropriate resolution to analyze small but highly vulnerable regio...

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Autores principales: Karina García, Luis Del Castillo, Casilda Saavedra
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Publicado: Editorial Universitaria 2020
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:3417efdeb078466f991bfa8a01235cca2021-11-16T18:55:04ZAnalysis of climate anomalies for La Villa river basin, Panama, based on RCP scenarios1680-88942219-671410.33412/idt.v16.1.2444https://doaj.org/article/3417efdeb078466f991bfa8a01235cca2020-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://revistas.utp.ac.pa/index.php/id-tecnologico/article/view/2444https://doaj.org/toc/1680-8894https://doaj.org/toc/2219-6714The use of climate change projections is crucial for mitigation and adaptation, which are the basis for creating resilience. However, access to these scientific products is scarce in Latin America and the existing studies lack of an appropriate resolution to analyze small but highly vulnerable regions, such as river basins for planning purposes.   La Villa river basin, Republic of Panama, is one of the watersheds of highest priority for adaptation to climate change. This study used downscaled projections from four climate models. The models are based on the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP), presented in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change-IPCC. Results of this study suggest increases of the annual average precipitation in the watershed for the years 2050 and 2070. Meanwhile, maximum and minimum temperatures will increase an average of 1-2 ° C and near 4 ° C by the end of the 21st century. With these results, we observed that the use of small-scale climate projections in the RCP scenarios is feasible to determine the effects of climate change on small regions.Karina GarcíaLuis Del CastilloCasilda SaavedraEditorial Universitariaarticleclimate change, rcp scenarios, anomalies, climate modeling, temperature, precipitation.BiotechnologyTP248.13-248.65ESRevista de I + D Tecnológico, Vol 16, Iss 1, Pp 84-90 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language ES
topic climate change, rcp scenarios, anomalies, climate modeling, temperature, precipitation.
Biotechnology
TP248.13-248.65
spellingShingle climate change, rcp scenarios, anomalies, climate modeling, temperature, precipitation.
Biotechnology
TP248.13-248.65
Karina García
Luis Del Castillo
Casilda Saavedra
Analysis of climate anomalies for La Villa river basin, Panama, based on RCP scenarios
description The use of climate change projections is crucial for mitigation and adaptation, which are the basis for creating resilience. However, access to these scientific products is scarce in Latin America and the existing studies lack of an appropriate resolution to analyze small but highly vulnerable regions, such as river basins for planning purposes.   La Villa river basin, Republic of Panama, is one of the watersheds of highest priority for adaptation to climate change. This study used downscaled projections from four climate models. The models are based on the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP), presented in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change-IPCC. Results of this study suggest increases of the annual average precipitation in the watershed for the years 2050 and 2070. Meanwhile, maximum and minimum temperatures will increase an average of 1-2 ° C and near 4 ° C by the end of the 21st century. With these results, we observed that the use of small-scale climate projections in the RCP scenarios is feasible to determine the effects of climate change on small regions.
format article
author Karina García
Luis Del Castillo
Casilda Saavedra
author_facet Karina García
Luis Del Castillo
Casilda Saavedra
author_sort Karina García
title Analysis of climate anomalies for La Villa river basin, Panama, based on RCP scenarios
title_short Analysis of climate anomalies for La Villa river basin, Panama, based on RCP scenarios
title_full Analysis of climate anomalies for La Villa river basin, Panama, based on RCP scenarios
title_fullStr Analysis of climate anomalies for La Villa river basin, Panama, based on RCP scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of climate anomalies for La Villa river basin, Panama, based on RCP scenarios
title_sort analysis of climate anomalies for la villa river basin, panama, based on rcp scenarios
publisher Editorial Universitaria
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/3417efdeb078466f991bfa8a01235cca
work_keys_str_mv AT karinagarcia analysisofclimateanomaliesforlavillariverbasinpanamabasedonrcpscenarios
AT luisdelcastillo analysisofclimateanomaliesforlavillariverbasinpanamabasedonrcpscenarios
AT casildasaavedra analysisofclimateanomaliesforlavillariverbasinpanamabasedonrcpscenarios
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