ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES

The new method of estimation of the values of the VaR using the modified GARCH model is presented, effectively assessing risks as in the quiet periods of financial market and at the same time the system instabilities.To check the efficiency of the estimation of the VaR used for statistics, calculate...

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Autores principales: I. E. Denezhkina, G. N. Martirosyan, V. YU. Popov, A. B. Shapoval
Formato: article
Lenguaje:RU
Publicado: Real Economics Publishing House 2014
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/34a8f12efd7542d6860d3fb6ef6252d9
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:34a8f12efd7542d6860d3fb6ef6252d92021-11-19T10:41:56ZASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES2618-947X2618-998410.17747/2078-8886-2013-1-70-75https://doaj.org/article/34a8f12efd7542d6860d3fb6ef6252d92014-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/63https://doaj.org/toc/2618-947Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2618-9984The new method of estimation of the values of the VaR using the modified GARCH model is presented, effectively assessing risks as in the quiet periods of financial market and at the same time the system instabilities.To check the efficiency of the estimation of the VaR used for statistics, calculated as on total time interval, and in the sliding window. Results of local and global use of these statistics are in good agreement with each other, with the statistics computed in sliding window provide information about the uniformity of the effectiveness of calculating VaR. In particular, the effectiveness of the assessment of VaR practically did not change during the periods of the significant rise in prices in comparison with the «quiet» periods.I. E. DenezhkinaG. N. MartirosyanV. YU. PopovA. B. ShapovalReal Economics Publishing House articlevalue at riskgarch modelsystem instabilityfinancial marketRisk in industry. Risk managementHD61RU Strategičeskie Rešeniâ i Risk-Menedžment, Vol 0, Iss 1, Pp 70-75 (2014)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language RU
topic value at risk
garch model
system instability
financial market
Risk in industry. Risk management
HD61
spellingShingle value at risk
garch model
system instability
financial market
Risk in industry. Risk management
HD61
I. E. Denezhkina
G. N. Martirosyan
V. YU. Popov
A. B. Shapoval
ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES
description The new method of estimation of the values of the VaR using the modified GARCH model is presented, effectively assessing risks as in the quiet periods of financial market and at the same time the system instabilities.To check the efficiency of the estimation of the VaR used for statistics, calculated as on total time interval, and in the sliding window. Results of local and global use of these statistics are in good agreement with each other, with the statistics computed in sliding window provide information about the uniformity of the effectiveness of calculating VaR. In particular, the effectiveness of the assessment of VaR practically did not change during the periods of the significant rise in prices in comparison with the «quiet» periods.
format article
author I. E. Denezhkina
G. N. Martirosyan
V. YU. Popov
A. B. Shapoval
author_facet I. E. Denezhkina
G. N. Martirosyan
V. YU. Popov
A. B. Shapoval
author_sort I. E. Denezhkina
title ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES
title_short ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES
title_full ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES
title_fullStr ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES
title_full_unstemmed ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES
title_sort assessment of market volatility dynamics in the periods of systemic instabilities
publisher Real Economics Publishing House
publishDate 2014
url https://doaj.org/article/34a8f12efd7542d6860d3fb6ef6252d9
work_keys_str_mv AT iedenezhkina assessmentofmarketvolatilitydynamicsintheperiodsofsystemicinstabilities
AT gnmartirosyan assessmentofmarketvolatilitydynamicsintheperiodsofsystemicinstabilities
AT vyupopov assessmentofmarketvolatilitydynamicsintheperiodsofsystemicinstabilities
AT abshapoval assessmentofmarketvolatilitydynamicsintheperiodsofsystemicinstabilities
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