ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES
The new method of estimation of the values of the VaR using the modified GARCH model is presented, effectively assessing risks as in the quiet periods of financial market and at the same time the system instabilities.To check the efficiency of the estimation of the VaR used for statistics, calculate...
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Real Economics Publishing House
2014
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oai:doaj.org-article:34a8f12efd7542d6860d3fb6ef6252d92021-11-19T10:41:56ZASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES2618-947X2618-998410.17747/2078-8886-2013-1-70-75https://doaj.org/article/34a8f12efd7542d6860d3fb6ef6252d92014-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/63https://doaj.org/toc/2618-947Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2618-9984The new method of estimation of the values of the VaR using the modified GARCH model is presented, effectively assessing risks as in the quiet periods of financial market and at the same time the system instabilities.To check the efficiency of the estimation of the VaR used for statistics, calculated as on total time interval, and in the sliding window. Results of local and global use of these statistics are in good agreement with each other, with the statistics computed in sliding window provide information about the uniformity of the effectiveness of calculating VaR. In particular, the effectiveness of the assessment of VaR practically did not change during the periods of the significant rise in prices in comparison with the «quiet» periods.I. E. DenezhkinaG. N. MartirosyanV. YU. PopovA. B. ShapovalReal Economics Publishing House articlevalue at riskgarch modelsystem instabilityfinancial marketRisk in industry. Risk managementHD61RU Strategičeskie Rešeniâ i Risk-Menedžment, Vol 0, Iss 1, Pp 70-75 (2014) |
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value at risk garch model system instability financial market Risk in industry. Risk management HD61 |
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value at risk garch model system instability financial market Risk in industry. Risk management HD61 I. E. Denezhkina G. N. Martirosyan V. YU. Popov A. B. Shapoval ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES |
description |
The new method of estimation of the values of the VaR using the modified GARCH model is presented, effectively assessing risks as in the quiet periods of financial market and at the same time the system instabilities.To check the efficiency of the estimation of the VaR used for statistics, calculated as on total time interval, and in the sliding window. Results of local and global use of these statistics are in good agreement with each other, with the statistics computed in sliding window provide information about the uniformity of the effectiveness of calculating VaR. In particular, the effectiveness of the assessment of VaR practically did not change during the periods of the significant rise in prices in comparison with the «quiet» periods. |
format |
article |
author |
I. E. Denezhkina G. N. Martirosyan V. YU. Popov A. B. Shapoval |
author_facet |
I. E. Denezhkina G. N. Martirosyan V. YU. Popov A. B. Shapoval |
author_sort |
I. E. Denezhkina |
title |
ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES |
title_short |
ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES |
title_full |
ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES |
title_fullStr |
ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES |
title_full_unstemmed |
ASSESSMENT OF MARKET VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN THE PERIODS OF SYSTEMIC INSTABILITIES |
title_sort |
assessment of market volatility dynamics in the periods of systemic instabilities |
publisher |
Real Economics Publishing House |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/34a8f12efd7542d6860d3fb6ef6252d9 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT iedenezhkina assessmentofmarketvolatilitydynamicsintheperiodsofsystemicinstabilities AT gnmartirosyan assessmentofmarketvolatilitydynamicsintheperiodsofsystemicinstabilities AT vyupopov assessmentofmarketvolatilitydynamicsintheperiodsofsystemicinstabilities AT abshapoval assessmentofmarketvolatilitydynamicsintheperiodsofsystemicinstabilities |
_version_ |
1718420251134132224 |