Poleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.

The white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) is an important reservoir host for Borrelia burgdorferi, the pathogen responsible for Lyme disease, and its distribution is expanding northward. We used an Ecological Niche Factor Analysis to identify the climatic factors associated with the distribution...

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Autores principales: Emilie Roy-Dufresne, Travis Logan, Julie A Simon, Gail L Chmura, Virginie Millien
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/35253f7d965b4698a8190803aa08b0c2
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:35253f7d965b4698a8190803aa08b0c22021-11-18T08:46:04ZPoleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0080724https://doaj.org/article/35253f7d965b4698a8190803aa08b0c22013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24260464/pdf/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203The white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) is an important reservoir host for Borrelia burgdorferi, the pathogen responsible for Lyme disease, and its distribution is expanding northward. We used an Ecological Niche Factor Analysis to identify the climatic factors associated with the distribution shift of the white-footed mouse over the last 30 years at the northern edge of its range, and modeled its current and potential future (2050) distributions using the platform BIOMOD. A mild and shorter winter is favouring the northern expansion of the white-footed mouse in Québec. With more favorable winter conditions projected by 2050, the distribution range of the white-footed mouse is expected to expand further northward by 3° latitude. We also show that today in southern Québec, the occurrence of B. burgdorferi is associated with high probability of presence of the white-footed mouse. Changes in the distribution of the white-footed mouse will likely alter the geographical range of B. burgdorferi and impact the public health in northern regions that have yet to be exposed to Lyme disease.Emilie Roy-DufresneTravis LoganJulie A SimonGail L ChmuraVirginie MillienPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 11, p e80724 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Emilie Roy-Dufresne
Travis Logan
Julie A Simon
Gail L Chmura
Virginie Millien
Poleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.
description The white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) is an important reservoir host for Borrelia burgdorferi, the pathogen responsible for Lyme disease, and its distribution is expanding northward. We used an Ecological Niche Factor Analysis to identify the climatic factors associated with the distribution shift of the white-footed mouse over the last 30 years at the northern edge of its range, and modeled its current and potential future (2050) distributions using the platform BIOMOD. A mild and shorter winter is favouring the northern expansion of the white-footed mouse in Québec. With more favorable winter conditions projected by 2050, the distribution range of the white-footed mouse is expected to expand further northward by 3° latitude. We also show that today in southern Québec, the occurrence of B. burgdorferi is associated with high probability of presence of the white-footed mouse. Changes in the distribution of the white-footed mouse will likely alter the geographical range of B. burgdorferi and impact the public health in northern regions that have yet to be exposed to Lyme disease.
format article
author Emilie Roy-Dufresne
Travis Logan
Julie A Simon
Gail L Chmura
Virginie Millien
author_facet Emilie Roy-Dufresne
Travis Logan
Julie A Simon
Gail L Chmura
Virginie Millien
author_sort Emilie Roy-Dufresne
title Poleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.
title_short Poleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.
title_full Poleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.
title_fullStr Poleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.
title_full_unstemmed Poleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.
title_sort poleward expansion of the white-footed mouse (peromyscus leucopus) under climate change: implications for the spread of lyme disease.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/35253f7d965b4698a8190803aa08b0c2
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