Detections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine

Background. Unfortunately, the COVID-19 pandemic is still far from stabilizing. Of particular concern is the sharp increase in the number of diseases in June-July, September-October 2020 and February-March 2021. The causes and consequences of this sharp increase in the number of cases are still wait...

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Autor principal:	Nesteruk Igor
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	De Gruyter 2021
Materias:	covid-19 pandemic covid-19 epidemic in ukraine mathematical modeling of infection diseases sir model parameter identification statistical methods 34a34 62j05 92c60 Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Physics QC1-999
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/357b1d1dd1d840e7af6f5a4216f08d0d
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:357b1d1dd1d840e7af6f5a4216f08d0d2021-12-05T14:10:44ZDetections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine2544-729710.1515/cmb-2020-0117https://doaj.org/article/357b1d1dd1d840e7af6f5a4216f08d0d2021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1515/cmb-2020-0117https://doaj.org/toc/2544-7297Background. Unfortunately, the COVID-19 pandemic is still far from stabilizing. Of particular concern is the sharp increase in the number of diseases in June-July, September-October 2020 and February-March 2021. The causes and consequences of this sharp increase in the number of cases are still waiting for their researchers, but there is already an urgent need to assess the possible duration of the pandemic, the expected number of patients and deaths. Correct simulation of the infectious disease dynamics needs complicated mathematical models and many efforts for unknown parameters identification. Constant changes in the pandemic conditions (in particular, the peculiarities of quarantine and its violation, situations with testing and isolation of patients) cause various epidemic waves, lead to changes in the parameter values of the mathematical models.Nesteruk IgorDe Gruyterarticlecovid-19 pandemiccovid-19 epidemic in ukrainemathematical modeling of infection diseasessir modelparameter identificationstatistical methods34a3462j0592c60BiotechnologyTP248.13-248.65PhysicsQC1-999ENComputational and Mathematical Biophysics, Vol 9, Iss 1, Pp 46-65 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	covid-19 pandemic covid-19 epidemic in ukraine mathematical modeling of infection diseases sir model parameter identification statistical methods 34a34 62j05 92c60 Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Physics QC1-999
spellingShingle	covid-19 pandemic covid-19 epidemic in ukraine mathematical modeling of infection diseases sir model parameter identification statistical methods 34a34 62j05 92c60 Biotechnology TP248.13-248.65 Physics QC1-999 Nesteruk Igor Detections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine
description	Background. Unfortunately, the COVID-19 pandemic is still far from stabilizing. Of particular concern is the sharp increase in the number of diseases in June-July, September-October 2020 and February-March 2021. The causes and consequences of this sharp increase in the number of cases are still waiting for their researchers, but there is already an urgent need to assess the possible duration of the pandemic, the expected number of patients and deaths. Correct simulation of the infectious disease dynamics needs complicated mathematical models and many efforts for unknown parameters identification. Constant changes in the pandemic conditions (in particular, the peculiarities of quarantine and its violation, situations with testing and isolation of patients) cause various epidemic waves, lead to changes in the parameter values of the mathematical models.
format	article
author	Nesteruk Igor
author_facet	Nesteruk Igor
author_sort	Nesteruk Igor
title	Detections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine
title_short	Detections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine
title_full	Detections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine
title_fullStr	Detections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine
title_full_unstemmed	Detections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine
title_sort	detections and sir simulations of the covid-19 pandemic waves in ukraine
publisher	De Gruyter
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/357b1d1dd1d840e7af6f5a4216f08d0d
work_keys_str_mv	AT nesterukigor detectionsandsirsimulationsofthecovid19pandemicwavesinukraine
_version_	1718371782513131520

Detections and SIR simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic waves in Ukraine

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