Assessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation

This study associates the fuzzy multi-attribute decision making (FMADM) and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to assess the water resources carrying capacity and to tackle uncertain problems of multiple subsystems during its evaluation. For this purpose, the water resources carrying capacity eval...

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Autores principales: Qiting Zuo, Jiahang Guo, Junxia Ma, Guotao Cui, Rongxue Yang, Lei Yu
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Elsevier 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/35e8d36079a64dca885b0784e66e33ff
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:35e8d36079a64dca885b0784e66e33ff2021-12-01T04:58:18ZAssessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation1470-160X10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108034https://doaj.org/article/35e8d36079a64dca885b0784e66e33ff2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X21006993https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160XThis study associates the fuzzy multi-attribute decision making (FMADM) and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to assess the water resources carrying capacity and to tackle uncertain problems of multiple subsystems during its evaluation. For this purpose, the water resources carrying capacity evaluation index system is proposed, and the AHP-FMADM is used to evaluate the water resources carrying capacity of 15 areas in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region from 2004 to 2017. Several scenarios with different weight-allocation modes are also conducted to study the influence of decision-makers’ preferences on target level. Results show that the water resources carrying capacity of all areas have been gradually improved. Overall, the economic and social indexes present an oscillation pattern with a rising, falling, and rising trend simultaneously in the study period from 2004 to 2017. The water resource utilization index varies with the amount of precipitation and reaches its peak in 2010. The ecological environment index depicts a diminishing overall trend initially before reaching a turning point in 2014. Increasing the water resources utilization and controlling rapid population growth can improve the water resources carrying capacity. The AHP-FMADM can help decision-makers to determine management plans based on their preferences, and the results of the study may contribute towards improving water resources carrying capacity.Qiting ZuoJiahang GuoJunxia MaGuotao CuiRongxue YangLei YuElsevierarticleWater resources carrying capacityXinjiang Uygur Autonomous RegionScenario simulationFuzzy multiple attribute decision-makingEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcological Indicators, Vol 130, Iss , Pp 108034- (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Water resources carrying capacity
Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region
Scenario simulation
Fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making
Ecology
QH540-549.5
spellingShingle Water resources carrying capacity
Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region
Scenario simulation
Fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making
Ecology
QH540-549.5
Qiting Zuo
Jiahang Guo
Junxia Ma
Guotao Cui
Rongxue Yang
Lei Yu
Assessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation
description This study associates the fuzzy multi-attribute decision making (FMADM) and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to assess the water resources carrying capacity and to tackle uncertain problems of multiple subsystems during its evaluation. For this purpose, the water resources carrying capacity evaluation index system is proposed, and the AHP-FMADM is used to evaluate the water resources carrying capacity of 15 areas in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region from 2004 to 2017. Several scenarios with different weight-allocation modes are also conducted to study the influence of decision-makers’ preferences on target level. Results show that the water resources carrying capacity of all areas have been gradually improved. Overall, the economic and social indexes present an oscillation pattern with a rising, falling, and rising trend simultaneously in the study period from 2004 to 2017. The water resource utilization index varies with the amount of precipitation and reaches its peak in 2010. The ecological environment index depicts a diminishing overall trend initially before reaching a turning point in 2014. Increasing the water resources utilization and controlling rapid population growth can improve the water resources carrying capacity. The AHP-FMADM can help decision-makers to determine management plans based on their preferences, and the results of the study may contribute towards improving water resources carrying capacity.
format article
author Qiting Zuo
Jiahang Guo
Junxia Ma
Guotao Cui
Rongxue Yang
Lei Yu
author_facet Qiting Zuo
Jiahang Guo
Junxia Ma
Guotao Cui
Rongxue Yang
Lei Yu
author_sort Qiting Zuo
title Assessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation
title_short Assessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation
title_full Assessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation
title_fullStr Assessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation
title_sort assessment of regional-scale water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making and scenario simulation
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/35e8d36079a64dca885b0784e66e33ff
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AT junxiama assessmentofregionalscalewaterresourcescarryingcapacitybasedonfuzzymultipleattributedecisionmakingandscenariosimulation
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