Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making

The Delphi method is a process where subjective data are transformed into quasi-objective data using statistical analysis and are converged to stable points. The Delphi method was developed by the RAND Corporation at Santa Monica, California, and is widely used for long-range forecasting in manageme...

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Autores principales:	Majed G. Alharbi, Hamiden Abd El- Wahed Khalifa
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Hindawi Limited 2021
Materias:	Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering TK1-9971 Computer software QA76.75-76.765
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/35f8060d6cc344379c2ecbc91a1f5ccb
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:35f8060d6cc344379c2ecbc91a1f5ccb2021-11-08T02:37:06ZEnhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making1687-711X10.1155/2021/2459573https://doaj.org/article/35f8060d6cc344379c2ecbc91a1f5ccb2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2459573https://doaj.org/toc/1687-711XThe Delphi method is a process where subjective data are transformed into quasi-objective data using statistical analysis and are converged to stable points. The Delphi method was developed by the RAND Corporation at Santa Monica, California, and is widely used for long-range forecasting in management science. It is a method by which the subjective data of experts are made to converge using some statistical analyses. This article proposes a variation of the Delphi method using triangular fuzzy numbers, where the communication method with the experts is the same, but the estimation procedure is different. The utility of the method is illustrated by a numerical example.Majed G. AlharbiHamiden Abd El- Wahed KhalifaHindawi LimitedarticleElectrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineeringTK1-9971Computer softwareQA76.75-76.765ENAdvances in Fuzzy Systems, Vol 2021 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering TK1-9971 Computer software QA76.75-76.765
spellingShingle	Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering TK1-9971 Computer software QA76.75-76.765 Majed G. Alharbi Hamiden Abd El- Wahed Khalifa Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making
description	The Delphi method is a process where subjective data are transformed into quasi-objective data using statistical analysis and are converged to stable points. The Delphi method was developed by the RAND Corporation at Santa Monica, California, and is widely used for long-range forecasting in management science. It is a method by which the subjective data of experts are made to converge using some statistical analyses. This article proposes a variation of the Delphi method using triangular fuzzy numbers, where the communication method with the experts is the same, but the estimation procedure is different. The utility of the method is illustrated by a numerical example.
format	article
author	Majed G. Alharbi Hamiden Abd El- Wahed Khalifa
author_facet	Majed G. Alharbi Hamiden Abd El- Wahed Khalifa
author_sort	Majed G. Alharbi
title	Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making
title_short	Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making
title_full	Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making
title_fullStr	Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making
title_full_unstemmed	Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making
title_sort	enhanced fuzzy delphi method in forecasting and decision-making
publisher	Hindawi Limited
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/35f8060d6cc344379c2ecbc91a1f5ccb
work_keys_str_mv	AT majedgalharbi enhancedfuzzydelphimethodinforecastinganddecisionmaking AT hamidenabdelwahedkhalifa enhancedfuzzydelphimethodinforecastinganddecisionmaking
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Enhanced Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting and Decision-Making

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