Predication of oxygen requirement in COVID-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: CRP, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (CHANeL)

Abstract The objective of the study was to develop and validate a prediction model that identifies COVID-19 patients at risk of requiring oxygen support based on five parameters: C-reactive protein (CRP), hypertension, age, and neutrophil and lymphocyte counts (CHANeL). This retrospective cohort stu...

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Autores principales: Eunyoung Emily Lee, Woochang Hwang, Kyoung-Ho Song, Jongtak Jung, Chang Kyung Kang, Jeong-Han Kim, Hong Sang Oh, Yu Min Kang, Eun Bong Lee, Bum Sik Chin, Woojeung Song, Nam Joong Kim, Jin Kyun Park
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:36c39848d50e4665ae92c6686d53c0a62021-12-02T17:45:21ZPredication of oxygen requirement in COVID-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: CRP, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (CHANeL)10.1038/s41598-021-92418-22045-2322https://doaj.org/article/36c39848d50e4665ae92c6686d53c0a62021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-92418-2https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The objective of the study was to develop and validate a prediction model that identifies COVID-19 patients at risk of requiring oxygen support based on five parameters: C-reactive protein (CRP), hypertension, age, and neutrophil and lymphocyte counts (CHANeL). This retrospective cohort study included 221 consecutive COVID-19 patients and the patients were randomly assigned randomly to a training set and a test set in a ratio of 1:1. Logistic regression, logistic LASSO regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and XGBoost analyses were performed based on age, hypertension status, serial CRP, and neutrophil and lymphocyte counts during the first 3 days of hospitalization. The ability of the model to predict oxygen requirement during hospitalization was tested. During hospitalization, 45 (41.8%) patients in the training set (n = 110) and 41 (36.9%) in the test set (n = 111) required supplementary oxygen support. The logistic LASSO regression model exhibited the highest AUC for the test set, with a sensitivity of 0.927 and a specificity of 0.814. An online risk calculator for oxygen requirement using CHANeL predictors was developed. “CHANeL” prediction models based on serial CRP, neutrophil, and lymphocyte counts during the first 3 days of hospitalization, along with age and hypertension status, provide a reliable estimate of the risk of supplement oxygen requirement among patients hospitalized with COVID-19.Eunyoung Emily LeeWoochang HwangKyoung-Ho SongJongtak JungChang Kyung KangJeong-Han KimHong Sang OhYu Min KangEun Bong LeeBum Sik ChinWoojeung SongNam Joong KimJin Kyun ParkNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Eunyoung Emily Lee
Woochang Hwang
Kyoung-Ho Song
Jongtak Jung
Chang Kyung Kang
Jeong-Han Kim
Hong Sang Oh
Yu Min Kang
Eun Bong Lee
Bum Sik Chin
Woojeung Song
Nam Joong Kim
Jin Kyun Park
Predication of oxygen requirement in COVID-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: CRP, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (CHANeL)
description Abstract The objective of the study was to develop and validate a prediction model that identifies COVID-19 patients at risk of requiring oxygen support based on five parameters: C-reactive protein (CRP), hypertension, age, and neutrophil and lymphocyte counts (CHANeL). This retrospective cohort study included 221 consecutive COVID-19 patients and the patients were randomly assigned randomly to a training set and a test set in a ratio of 1:1. Logistic regression, logistic LASSO regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and XGBoost analyses were performed based on age, hypertension status, serial CRP, and neutrophil and lymphocyte counts during the first 3 days of hospitalization. The ability of the model to predict oxygen requirement during hospitalization was tested. During hospitalization, 45 (41.8%) patients in the training set (n = 110) and 41 (36.9%) in the test set (n = 111) required supplementary oxygen support. The logistic LASSO regression model exhibited the highest AUC for the test set, with a sensitivity of 0.927 and a specificity of 0.814. An online risk calculator for oxygen requirement using CHANeL predictors was developed. “CHANeL” prediction models based on serial CRP, neutrophil, and lymphocyte counts during the first 3 days of hospitalization, along with age and hypertension status, provide a reliable estimate of the risk of supplement oxygen requirement among patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
format article
author Eunyoung Emily Lee
Woochang Hwang
Kyoung-Ho Song
Jongtak Jung
Chang Kyung Kang
Jeong-Han Kim
Hong Sang Oh
Yu Min Kang
Eun Bong Lee
Bum Sik Chin
Woojeung Song
Nam Joong Kim
Jin Kyun Park
author_facet Eunyoung Emily Lee
Woochang Hwang
Kyoung-Ho Song
Jongtak Jung
Chang Kyung Kang
Jeong-Han Kim
Hong Sang Oh
Yu Min Kang
Eun Bong Lee
Bum Sik Chin
Woojeung Song
Nam Joong Kim
Jin Kyun Park
author_sort Eunyoung Emily Lee
title Predication of oxygen requirement in COVID-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: CRP, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (CHANeL)
title_short Predication of oxygen requirement in COVID-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: CRP, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (CHANeL)
title_full Predication of oxygen requirement in COVID-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: CRP, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (CHANeL)
title_fullStr Predication of oxygen requirement in COVID-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: CRP, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (CHANeL)
title_full_unstemmed Predication of oxygen requirement in COVID-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: CRP, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (CHANeL)
title_sort predication of oxygen requirement in covid-19 patients using dynamic change of inflammatory markers: crp, hypertension, age, neutrophil and lymphocyte (chanel)
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/36c39848d50e4665ae92c6686d53c0a6
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