Fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria

This paper deals with the time series analysis of precipitation patterns in Africa’s most populated nation using recently developed flexible modelling techniques to study the monthly precipitation data of some major economically viable and highly populated regions in Nigeria. The results indicate th...

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Autores principales:	O.O. Awe, L.A. Gil-Alana
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Taylor & Francis Group 2021
Materias:	precipitation dynamics agricultural planning fractional integration climate change Oceanography GC1-1581 Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/3734e9f4b85c46ac8b6cef4ac3f1c7b8
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:3734e9f4b85c46ac8b6cef4ac3f1c7b82021-12-01T14:40:58ZFractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria1600-087010.1080/16000870.2020.1822099https://doaj.org/article/3734e9f4b85c46ac8b6cef4ac3f1c7b82021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2020.1822099https://doaj.org/toc/1600-0870This paper deals with the time series analysis of precipitation patterns in Africa’s most populated nation using recently developed flexible modelling techniques to study the monthly precipitation data of some major economically viable and highly populated regions in Nigeria. The results indicate that there is a significant trend for Lagos rainfall data, implying that precipitations have systematically increased over time in this city. Additionally, the seasonal component is more prominent in the cases of Kano and Kaunda than for Ibadan and Lagos. The findings of this study have relevant policy implications for forecasting, agricultural planning, relating precipitation variability in Nigeria with standard climate drivers, as well as for disaster or risk reduction in the context of climate change, global warming and migration in the post-pandemic era.O.O. AweL.A. Gil-AlanaTaylor & Francis Grouparticleprecipitation dynamicsagricultural planningfractional integrationclimate changeOceanographyGC1-1581Meteorology. ClimatologyQC851-999ENTellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Vol 73, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	precipitation dynamics agricultural planning fractional integration climate change Oceanography GC1-1581 Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999
spellingShingle	precipitation dynamics agricultural planning fractional integration climate change Oceanography GC1-1581 Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 O.O. Awe L.A. Gil-Alana Fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria
description	This paper deals with the time series analysis of precipitation patterns in Africa’s most populated nation using recently developed flexible modelling techniques to study the monthly precipitation data of some major economically viable and highly populated regions in Nigeria. The results indicate that there is a significant trend for Lagos rainfall data, implying that precipitations have systematically increased over time in this city. Additionally, the seasonal component is more prominent in the cases of Kano and Kaunda than for Ibadan and Lagos. The findings of this study have relevant policy implications for forecasting, agricultural planning, relating precipitation variability in Nigeria with standard climate drivers, as well as for disaster or risk reduction in the context of climate change, global warming and migration in the post-pandemic era.
format	article
author	O.O. Awe L.A. Gil-Alana
author_facet	O.O. Awe L.A. Gil-Alana
author_sort	O.O. Awe
title	Fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria
title_short	Fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria
title_full	Fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria
title_fullStr	Fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed	Fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria
title_sort	fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from nigeria
publisher	Taylor & Francis Group
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/3734e9f4b85c46ac8b6cef4ac3f1c7b8
work_keys_str_mv	AT ooawe fractionalintegrationanalysisofprecipitationdynamicsempiricalinsightsfromnigeria AT lagilalana fractionalintegrationanalysisofprecipitationdynamicsempiricalinsightsfromnigeria
_version_	1718404984605769728

Fractional integration analysis of precipitation dynamics: empirical insights from Nigeria

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