Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?

In this paper we take issue with the claim made in some recent empirical studies that real money balances, real income and interest rates are cointegrated, or, alternatively, that velocity is a stationary variable, which is in contrast with the well known stylised facts about the behaviour of monet...

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Autores principales: Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Stephen Hall, Giovanni Urga, Geoffrey Williams
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PT
Publicado: Universidade de São Paulo 2001
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/3886581c32074650a2a2468945bdacd0
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:3886581c32074650a2a2468945bdacd02021-11-24T16:07:39ZAggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?0101-41611980-5357https://doaj.org/article/3886581c32074650a2a2468945bdacd02001-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/117745https://doaj.org/toc/0101-4161https://doaj.org/toc/1980-5357 In this paper we take issue with the claim made in some recent empirical studies that real money balances, real income and interest rates are cointegrated, or, alternatively, that velocity is a stationary variable, which is in contrast with the well known stylised facts about the behaviour of monetary aggregates in theUKand other industrial countries. We show that in fact this surprising result can be explained away in terms of statistical bias. It is only because in these studies inference is based on a mis-specified VAR that the null of no cointegration can be rejected - the standard result that money demand functions exhibit instability and that velocity is a non-stationary variable is confirmed when the analysis is carried out within a correctly specified system.  Guglielmo Maria CaporaleStephen HallGiovanni UrgaGeoffrey WilliamsUniversidade de São Pauloarticlemoney demandvelocitycointegrationEconomics as a scienceHB71-74ENPTEstudos Econômicos, Vol 31, Iss 2 (2001)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
PT
topic money demand
velocity
cointegration
Economics as a science
HB71-74
spellingShingle money demand
velocity
cointegration
Economics as a science
HB71-74
Guglielmo Maria Caporale
Stephen Hall
Giovanni Urga
Geoffrey Williams
Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?
description In this paper we take issue with the claim made in some recent empirical studies that real money balances, real income and interest rates are cointegrated, or, alternatively, that velocity is a stationary variable, which is in contrast with the well known stylised facts about the behaviour of monetary aggregates in theUKand other industrial countries. We show that in fact this surprising result can be explained away in terms of statistical bias. It is only because in these studies inference is based on a mis-specified VAR that the null of no cointegration can be rejected - the standard result that money demand functions exhibit instability and that velocity is a non-stationary variable is confirmed when the analysis is carried out within a correctly specified system. 
format article
author Guglielmo Maria Caporale
Stephen Hall
Giovanni Urga
Geoffrey Williams
author_facet Guglielmo Maria Caporale
Stephen Hall
Giovanni Urga
Geoffrey Williams
author_sort Guglielmo Maria Caporale
title Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?
title_short Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?
title_full Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?
title_fullStr Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?
title_full_unstemmed Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?
title_sort aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: are they cointegrated?
publisher Universidade de São Paulo
publishDate 2001
url https://doaj.org/article/3886581c32074650a2a2468945bdacd0
work_keys_str_mv AT guglielmomariacaporale aggregatemoneydemandfunctionsinfiveindustrialcountriesaretheycointegrated
AT stephenhall aggregatemoneydemandfunctionsinfiveindustrialcountriesaretheycointegrated
AT giovanniurga aggregatemoneydemandfunctionsinfiveindustrialcountriesaretheycointegrated
AT geoffreywilliams aggregatemoneydemandfunctionsinfiveindustrialcountriesaretheycointegrated
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