Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?
In this paper we take issue with the claim made in some recent empirical studies that real money balances, real income and interest rates are cointegrated, or, alternatively, that velocity is a stationary variable, which is in contrast with the well known stylised facts about the behaviour of monet...
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Universidade de São Paulo
2001
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oai:doaj.org-article:3886581c32074650a2a2468945bdacd02021-11-24T16:07:39ZAggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?0101-41611980-5357https://doaj.org/article/3886581c32074650a2a2468945bdacd02001-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/117745https://doaj.org/toc/0101-4161https://doaj.org/toc/1980-5357 In this paper we take issue with the claim made in some recent empirical studies that real money balances, real income and interest rates are cointegrated, or, alternatively, that velocity is a stationary variable, which is in contrast with the well known stylised facts about the behaviour of monetary aggregates in theUKand other industrial countries. We show that in fact this surprising result can be explained away in terms of statistical bias. It is only because in these studies inference is based on a mis-specified VAR that the null of no cointegration can be rejected - the standard result that money demand functions exhibit instability and that velocity is a non-stationary variable is confirmed when the analysis is carried out within a correctly specified system. Guglielmo Maria CaporaleStephen HallGiovanni UrgaGeoffrey WilliamsUniversidade de São Pauloarticlemoney demandvelocitycointegrationEconomics as a scienceHB71-74ENPTEstudos Econômicos, Vol 31, Iss 2 (2001) |
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money demand velocity cointegration Economics as a science HB71-74 |
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money demand velocity cointegration Economics as a science HB71-74 Guglielmo Maria Caporale Stephen Hall Giovanni Urga Geoffrey Williams Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated? |
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In this paper we take issue with the claim made in some recent empirical studies that real money balances, real income and interest rates are cointegrated, or, alternatively, that velocity is a stationary variable, which is in contrast with the well known stylised facts about the behaviour of monetary aggregates in theUKand other industrial countries. We show that in fact this surprising result can be explained away in terms of statistical bias. It is only because in these studies inference is based on a mis-specified VAR that the null of no cointegration can be rejected - the standard result that money demand functions exhibit instability and that velocity is a non-stationary variable is confirmed when the analysis is carried out within a correctly specified system.
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format |
article |
author |
Guglielmo Maria Caporale Stephen Hall Giovanni Urga Geoffrey Williams |
author_facet |
Guglielmo Maria Caporale Stephen Hall Giovanni Urga Geoffrey Williams |
author_sort |
Guglielmo Maria Caporale |
title |
Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated? |
title_short |
Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated? |
title_full |
Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated? |
title_fullStr |
Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated? |
title_sort |
aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: are they cointegrated? |
publisher |
Universidade de São Paulo |
publishDate |
2001 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/3886581c32074650a2a2468945bdacd0 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT guglielmomariacaporale aggregatemoneydemandfunctionsinfiveindustrialcountriesaretheycointegrated AT stephenhall aggregatemoneydemandfunctionsinfiveindustrialcountriesaretheycointegrated AT giovanniurga aggregatemoneydemandfunctionsinfiveindustrialcountriesaretheycointegrated AT geoffreywilliams aggregatemoneydemandfunctionsinfiveindustrialcountriesaretheycointegrated |
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1718414804672053248 |