Application of naïve Bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.

Detecting high-collision-concentration locations based solely on collision frequency may produce different results compared to those considering the severities of the collisions. In particular, it can lead government agencies focusing sites with a high collision frequency while neglecting those with...

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Autores principales: Eui-Jin Kim, Oh Hoon Kwon, Shin Hyoung Park, Dong-Kyu Kim, Koohong Chung
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/393b24a9822f4beda808bf9441c78dd1
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:393b24a9822f4beda808bf9441c78dd12021-11-25T06:19:09ZApplication of naïve Bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0251866https://doaj.org/article/393b24a9822f4beda808bf9441c78dd12021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0251866https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Detecting high-collision-concentration locations based solely on collision frequency may produce different results compared to those considering the severities of the collisions. In particular, it can lead government agencies focusing sites with a high collision frequency while neglecting those with a lower collision frequency but a higher percentage of injury and fatal collisions. This study developed systematic ways of detecting reproducible fatal collision locations (R) using the naïve Bayes approach and a continuous risk profile (CRP) that estimates the true collision risk by filtering out random noise in the data. The posterior probability of fatal collisions being reproducible at a location is estimated by the relationship between the spatial distribution of fatal-collision locations (i.e., likelihood) and the CRP (i.e., prior probability). The proposed method can be used to detect sites with the highest proxy measure of the posterior probability (PMP) of observing R. An empirical evaluation using 5-year traffic collision data from six routes in California shows that detecting R based on the PMP outperform those based on the SPF-based approaches or random selection, regardless of various conditions and parameters of the proposed method. This method only requires traffic collision and annual traffic volume data to estimate PMP that prioritize sites being R and the PMPs can be compared across multiple routes. Therefore, it helps government agencies prioritizing sites of multiple routes where the number of fatal collisions can be reduced, thus help them to save lives with limited resources of data collection.Eui-Jin KimOh Hoon KwonShin Hyoung ParkDong-Kyu KimKoohong ChungPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 5, p e0251866 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Eui-Jin Kim
Oh Hoon Kwon
Shin Hyoung Park
Dong-Kyu Kim
Koohong Chung
Application of naïve Bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.
description Detecting high-collision-concentration locations based solely on collision frequency may produce different results compared to those considering the severities of the collisions. In particular, it can lead government agencies focusing sites with a high collision frequency while neglecting those with a lower collision frequency but a higher percentage of injury and fatal collisions. This study developed systematic ways of detecting reproducible fatal collision locations (R) using the naïve Bayes approach and a continuous risk profile (CRP) that estimates the true collision risk by filtering out random noise in the data. The posterior probability of fatal collisions being reproducible at a location is estimated by the relationship between the spatial distribution of fatal-collision locations (i.e., likelihood) and the CRP (i.e., prior probability). The proposed method can be used to detect sites with the highest proxy measure of the posterior probability (PMP) of observing R. An empirical evaluation using 5-year traffic collision data from six routes in California shows that detecting R based on the PMP outperform those based on the SPF-based approaches or random selection, regardless of various conditions and parameters of the proposed method. This method only requires traffic collision and annual traffic volume data to estimate PMP that prioritize sites being R and the PMPs can be compared across multiple routes. Therefore, it helps government agencies prioritizing sites of multiple routes where the number of fatal collisions can be reduced, thus help them to save lives with limited resources of data collection.
format article
author Eui-Jin Kim
Oh Hoon Kwon
Shin Hyoung Park
Dong-Kyu Kim
Koohong Chung
author_facet Eui-Jin Kim
Oh Hoon Kwon
Shin Hyoung Park
Dong-Kyu Kim
Koohong Chung
author_sort Eui-Jin Kim
title Application of naïve Bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.
title_short Application of naïve Bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.
title_full Application of naïve Bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.
title_fullStr Application of naïve Bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.
title_full_unstemmed Application of naïve Bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.
title_sort application of naïve bayesian approach in detecting reproducible fatal collision locations on freeway.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/393b24a9822f4beda808bf9441c78dd1
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