Factors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River

Village-level agricultural specialization in China is becoming increasingly important for rural development. However, existing knowledge of specialized agricultural villages (SAVs) based on singular assessment criteria and data describing static time points becomes insufficient in addressing multifa...

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Autores principales:	Li Li, Ning Niu, Xiaojian Li
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	specialized agricultural villages long-term development random forest regression Huai River China Agriculture S
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/3a776a9f085342cca8fe6614d1c515b2
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:3a776a9f085342cca8fe6614d1c515b2
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:3a776a9f085342cca8fe6614d1c515b22021-11-25T18:09:44ZFactors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River10.3390/land101112152073-445Xhttps://doaj.org/article/3a776a9f085342cca8fe6614d1c515b22021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/10/11/1215https://doaj.org/toc/2073-445XVillage-level agricultural specialization in China is becoming increasingly important for rural development. However, existing knowledge of specialized agricultural villages (SAVs) based on singular assessment criteria and data describing static time points becomes insufficient in addressing multifaceted developmental questions today. We examined the long-term development patterns of SAVs in Anhui, China, with attributes from multiple angles, and explored how local factors affected SAV development across space and time using random forest regression. We found that as time elapsed, economic rationality drove specialized farmers closer to sale dependency and made SAVs more susceptible to market and economic factors, which builds upon previous findings analyzing SAVs at specific time points and consolidates the importance of market factors in the long-term development of SAVs. However, this susceptibility manifests differently in these two geographically contrasting regions north and south of Huai River. The northern SAVs received increased influences from market and economic factors, while the southern SAVs were continuously controlled by market and location factors. The dynamic spatial and temporal patterns of the two regions point to different dependencies, which emphasized local sales in the north and distant sales in the south. We propose that policies and strategies regarding SAV development accommodate these dynamics and address appropriate influencing factors accordingly.Li LiNing NiuXiaojian LiMDPI AGarticlespecialized agricultural villageslong-term developmentrandom forest regressionHuai RiverChinaAgricultureSENLand, Vol 10, Iss 1215, p 1215 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	specialized agricultural villages long-term development random forest regression Huai River China Agriculture S
spellingShingle	specialized agricultural villages long-term development random forest regression Huai River China Agriculture S Li Li Ning Niu Xiaojian Li Factors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River
description	Village-level agricultural specialization in China is becoming increasingly important for rural development. However, existing knowledge of specialized agricultural villages (SAVs) based on singular assessment criteria and data describing static time points becomes insufficient in addressing multifaceted developmental questions today. We examined the long-term development patterns of SAVs in Anhui, China, with attributes from multiple angles, and explored how local factors affected SAV development across space and time using random forest regression. We found that as time elapsed, economic rationality drove specialized farmers closer to sale dependency and made SAVs more susceptible to market and economic factors, which builds upon previous findings analyzing SAVs at specific time points and consolidates the importance of market factors in the long-term development of SAVs. However, this susceptibility manifests differently in these two geographically contrasting regions north and south of Huai River. The northern SAVs received increased influences from market and economic factors, while the southern SAVs were continuously controlled by market and location factors. The dynamic spatial and temporal patterns of the two regions point to different dependencies, which emphasized local sales in the north and distant sales in the south. We propose that policies and strategies regarding SAV development accommodate these dynamics and address appropriate influencing factors accordingly.
format	article
author	Li Li Ning Niu Xiaojian Li
author_facet	Li Li Ning Niu Xiaojian Li
author_sort	Li Li
title	Factors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River
title_short	Factors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River
title_full	Factors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River
title_fullStr	Factors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River
title_full_unstemmed	Factors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River
title_sort	factors affecting the long-term development of specialized agricultural villages north and south of huai river
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/3a776a9f085342cca8fe6614d1c515b2
work_keys_str_mv	AT lili factorsaffectingthelongtermdevelopmentofspecializedagriculturalvillagesnorthandsouthofhuairiver AT ningniu factorsaffectingthelongtermdevelopmentofspecializedagriculturalvillagesnorthandsouthofhuairiver AT xiaojianli factorsaffectingthelongtermdevelopmentofspecializedagriculturalvillagesnorthandsouthofhuairiver
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Factors Affecting the Long-Term Development of Specialized Agricultural Villages North and South of Huai River

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