COVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States

Abstract We investigate the connection between the choice of transportation mode used by commuters and the probability of COVID-19 transmission. This interplay might influence the choice of transportation means for years to come. We present data on commuting, socioeconomic factors, and COVID-19 dise...

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Autores principales:	Kenneth B. Medlock, Ted Temzelides, Shih Yu (Elsie) Hung
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/3c5d11ac9252462884f18e77fa91d5f3
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:3c5d11ac9252462884f18e77fa91d5f32021-11-08T10:56:11ZCOVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States10.1038/s41598-021-01202-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/3c5d11ac9252462884f18e77fa91d5f32021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01202-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We investigate the connection between the choice of transportation mode used by commuters and the probability of COVID-19 transmission. This interplay might influence the choice of transportation means for years to come. We present data on commuting, socioeconomic factors, and COVID-19 disease incidence for several US metropolitan areas. The data highlights important connections between population density and mobility, public transportation use, race, and increased likelihood of transmission. We use a transportation model to highlight the effect of uncertainty about transmission on the commuters’ choice of transportation means. Using multiple estimation techniques, we found strong evidence that public transit ridership in several US metro areas has been considerably impacted by COVID-19 and by the policy responses to the pandemic. Concerns about disease transmission had a negative effect on ridership, which is over and above the adverse effect from the observed reduction in employment. The COVID-19 effect is likely to reduce the demand for public transport in favor of lower density alternatives. This change relative to the status quo will have implications for fuel use, congestion, accident frequency, and air quality. More vulnerable communities might be disproportionally affected as a result. We point to the need for additional studies to further quantify these effects and to assist policy in planning for the post-COVID-19 transportation future.Kenneth B. MedlockTed TemzelidesShih Yu (Elsie) HungNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Kenneth B. Medlock Ted Temzelides Shih Yu (Elsie) Hung COVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States
description	Abstract We investigate the connection between the choice of transportation mode used by commuters and the probability of COVID-19 transmission. This interplay might influence the choice of transportation means for years to come. We present data on commuting, socioeconomic factors, and COVID-19 disease incidence for several US metropolitan areas. The data highlights important connections between population density and mobility, public transportation use, race, and increased likelihood of transmission. We use a transportation model to highlight the effect of uncertainty about transmission on the commuters’ choice of transportation means. Using multiple estimation techniques, we found strong evidence that public transit ridership in several US metro areas has been considerably impacted by COVID-19 and by the policy responses to the pandemic. Concerns about disease transmission had a negative effect on ridership, which is over and above the adverse effect from the observed reduction in employment. The COVID-19 effect is likely to reduce the demand for public transport in favor of lower density alternatives. This change relative to the status quo will have implications for fuel use, congestion, accident frequency, and air quality. More vulnerable communities might be disproportionally affected as a result. We point to the need for additional studies to further quantify these effects and to assist policy in planning for the post-COVID-19 transportation future.
format	article
author	Kenneth B. Medlock Ted Temzelides Shih Yu (Elsie) Hung
author_facet	Kenneth B. Medlock Ted Temzelides Shih Yu (Elsie) Hung
author_sort	Kenneth B. Medlock
title	COVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States
title_short	COVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States
title_full	COVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States
title_fullStr	COVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States
title_full_unstemmed	COVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States
title_sort	covid-19 and the value of safe transport in the united states
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/3c5d11ac9252462884f18e77fa91d5f3
work_keys_str_mv	AT kennethbmedlock covid19andthevalueofsafetransportintheunitedstates AT tedtemzelides covid19andthevalueofsafetransportintheunitedstates AT shihyuelsiehung covid19andthevalueofsafetransportintheunitedstates
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COVID-19 and the value of safe transport in the United States

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