A Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States

Abstract The COVID-19 global pandemic has significantly impacted every aspect of life all over the world. The United States is reported to have suffered more than 20% of the global casualties from this pandemic. It is imperative to investigate the growth dynamics of the disease in the US based on va...

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Autores principales:	Sadra Hemmati, Hossein Rastgoftar
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/3d4058220226448193040c169348f79c
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:3d4058220226448193040c169348f79c2021-12-02T17:19:16ZA Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States10.1038/s41598-021-97021-z2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/3d4058220226448193040c169348f79c2021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-97021-zhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The COVID-19 global pandemic has significantly impacted every aspect of life all over the world. The United States is reported to have suffered more than 20% of the global casualties from this pandemic. It is imperative to investigate the growth dynamics of the disease in the US based on varying geographical and governmental factors that best manifest itself in each State of the Country. This paper utilizes a hybrid machine learning and continuum deformation-based approach for analyzing the stability and growth rate of the pandemic. To this end, principal stress values of the pandemic continuum body are obtained using Mohr’s Circle method and overlapping, moving windows of data are analysed successively. This helps in finding the correlations between the growth rate and Governments’ action/Public’s reaction. Government actions include “state of emergency”, “shelter at place”, and “phase declarations”. We also consider the vaccination rate milestones, which shows us the coordinated Governments’ action/Public’s reaction. Finally, a number of recommendations are made to the Governments and people for better management of future pandemics.Sadra HemmatiHossein RastgoftarNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Sadra Hemmati Hossein Rastgoftar A Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States
description	Abstract The COVID-19 global pandemic has significantly impacted every aspect of life all over the world. The United States is reported to have suffered more than 20% of the global casualties from this pandemic. It is imperative to investigate the growth dynamics of the disease in the US based on varying geographical and governmental factors that best manifest itself in each State of the Country. This paper utilizes a hybrid machine learning and continuum deformation-based approach for analyzing the stability and growth rate of the pandemic. To this end, principal stress values of the pandemic continuum body are obtained using Mohr’s Circle method and overlapping, moving windows of data are analysed successively. This helps in finding the correlations between the growth rate and Governments’ action/Public’s reaction. Government actions include “state of emergency”, “shelter at place”, and “phase declarations”. We also consider the vaccination rate milestones, which shows us the coordinated Governments’ action/Public’s reaction. Finally, a number of recommendations are made to the Governments and people for better management of future pandemics.
format	article
author	Sadra Hemmati Hossein Rastgoftar
author_facet	Sadra Hemmati Hossein Rastgoftar
author_sort	Sadra Hemmati
title	A Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States
title_short	A Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States
title_full	A Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States
title_fullStr	A Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States
title_full_unstemmed	A Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States
title_sort	continuum deformation approach for growth analysis of covid-19 in the united states
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/3d4058220226448193040c169348f79c
work_keys_str_mv	AT sadrahemmati acontinuumdeformationapproachforgrowthanalysisofcovid19intheunitedstates AT hosseinrastgoftar acontinuumdeformationapproachforgrowthanalysisofcovid19intheunitedstates AT sadrahemmati continuumdeformationapproachforgrowthanalysisofcovid19intheunitedstates AT hosseinrastgoftar continuumdeformationapproachforgrowthanalysisofcovid19intheunitedstates
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A Continuum Deformation Approach for Growth Analysis of COVID-19 in the United States

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