Time-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis

A novel reliability-based approach has been developed for multi-state engine systems. Firstly, the output power of the engine is discretized and modeled as a discrete-state continuous-time Markov random process. Secondly, the multi-state Markov model is established. According to the observed data, t...

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Autores principales: Yongfeng FANG, Wenliang TAO, Kong Fah TEE
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: The Japan Society of Mechanical Engineers 2016
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/3e03b650dab74f4bb8cc67c6fd0619cf
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:3e03b650dab74f4bb8cc67c6fd0619cf2021-11-26T06:51:31ZTime-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis2187-974510.1299/mej.16-00084https://doaj.org/article/3e03b650dab74f4bb8cc67c6fd0619cf2016-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/mej/3/3/3_16-00084/_pdf/-char/enhttps://doaj.org/toc/2187-9745A novel reliability-based approach has been developed for multi-state engine systems. Firstly, the output power of the engine is discretized and modeled as a discrete-state continuous-time Markov random process. Secondly, the multi-state Markov model is established. According to the observed data, the transition intensity is determined. Thirdly, the proposed method is extended to compute the forced outage rate and the expected engine capacity deficiency based on time response. The proposed method can therefore be used for forecasting and monitoring the reliability of the multi-state engine utilizing time-domain response data. It is illustrated that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonable prediction which conforms to the engineering practice.Yongfeng FANGWenliang TAOKong Fah TEEThe Japan Society of Mechanical Engineersarticlemulti-stateengine systemmarkovreliabilitytime responseMechanical engineering and machineryTJ1-1570ENMechanical Engineering Journal, Vol 3, Iss 3, Pp 16-00084-16-00084 (2016)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic multi-state
engine system
markov
reliability
time response
Mechanical engineering and machinery
TJ1-1570
spellingShingle multi-state
engine system
markov
reliability
time response
Mechanical engineering and machinery
TJ1-1570
Yongfeng FANG
Wenliang TAO
Kong Fah TEE
Time-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis
description A novel reliability-based approach has been developed for multi-state engine systems. Firstly, the output power of the engine is discretized and modeled as a discrete-state continuous-time Markov random process. Secondly, the multi-state Markov model is established. According to the observed data, the transition intensity is determined. Thirdly, the proposed method is extended to compute the forced outage rate and the expected engine capacity deficiency based on time response. The proposed method can therefore be used for forecasting and monitoring the reliability of the multi-state engine utilizing time-domain response data. It is illustrated that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonable prediction which conforms to the engineering practice.
format article
author Yongfeng FANG
Wenliang TAO
Kong Fah TEE
author_facet Yongfeng FANG
Wenliang TAO
Kong Fah TEE
author_sort Yongfeng FANG
title Time-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis
title_short Time-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis
title_full Time-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis
title_fullStr Time-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis
title_full_unstemmed Time-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis
title_sort time-domain multi-state markov model for engine system reliability analysis
publisher The Japan Society of Mechanical Engineers
publishDate 2016
url https://doaj.org/article/3e03b650dab74f4bb8cc67c6fd0619cf
work_keys_str_mv AT yongfengfang timedomainmultistatemarkovmodelforenginesystemreliabilityanalysis
AT wenliangtao timedomainmultistatemarkovmodelforenginesystemreliabilityanalysis
AT kongfahtee timedomainmultistatemarkovmodelforenginesystemreliabilityanalysis
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